Warwick Classic Chase Preview 2016
Saturday sees the Betfred sponsored Warwick Classic Chase and our fifth big race preview of the NH season.
Two successes to date means the feature has proved profitable for followers but we come to this on a losing spin of two so we aim for some value to get back on track
Betfair Chase, where we landed the winner with CUE CARD
Tingle Creek where we landed with SIRE DU GRUGY.
The Long Walk Hurdle Saphir Du Rheu
Lanzarote Hurdle Bivouac
On a day of little NH across the country, Warwick hosts their feature meet of the year and with it the Betfred sponsored Warwick Classic Chase with a scheduled 15 runners should give us an each-way opportunity.
It’s not been a happy hunting ground for the Irish since its inception in 2004 and only Mouse Morris is represented by Dromnea in the Grade 3 event over 3m 5f .
Paul Nicholls and Alan King have dominated this event, winning 5 of the ten runnings and their charges, Vivaldi Collonges, Midnight Prayer and Sego Success head the market.
Looking at Nicholls sole representative, Vivaldi Collonges got off the mark at Kelso in December lookin impressive in albeit a weakish field and comes into this with a 8lb hike for that. He’s certainly bred to be a stayer related to a National winner (Neptune) but we do have concern with some of Nichols horses apparently folding at the end of races recently.
With that in mind, plus the fact he doesn’t look that well in, he offers nothing in terms of value we’ll pass over his chances.
Alan King’s Midnight Prayer comes into this on a bout of reported coughing….missed the Welsh National and another who is an easy skip, so that brings us to the likely favourite in Sego Success.
He took time to produce the goods as a staying chaser but whose jumping has been questionable, though distractions were removed with the addition of first-time cheekpieces LTO. However, with those niggling jumping doubts and at just around 11/2 we will look elsewhere.
From an in form Venetia Williams stable…Houblon Des Obeaux has been dropped 13lb for his three runs to date and was a serious Hennessy fancy this season before Christmas.
Clearly something has been amiss, but on ability would surely go close (ran Conegree a decent 2nd at virtually level weights). However, he does have to prove himself at further that 3m and another we will skip
Foxbridge is one proven on this surface and goes for NTD who has won this before. He is relatively lightly raced and goes off a light weight here. He ran well from fresh FTO this season and backed that up with a staying on 4th at Kempton. Goes in a tongue tie today where he interestingly has 3 wins and a place from eight runs in that garb….and the first ‘longer priced’ ones to seriously consider?
Russe Blanc looks to have been crying out for a long distance test like this on this going but may not have the class of this bunch….but certainly a live place contender if you can find a bookie offering 4 places at 20/1 ……leading us to…….
DE KERRY MAN, who goes off bottom rung and ran so well for a long way LTO before he pitched and shipped 5lb claimer, Jake Hodson 3 fences out. As an eight-year-old he was very progressive last spring, winning three handicaps convincingly.
He’s an unexposed sort who is lightly raced with just 4 outings, David Bridgewater sticks with his claimer for this who has a decent overall strike rate as a combo?
Fancy a bet today?
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