Cheltenham Day 1 2017 – Ultima Chase

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14:50 The Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+, 3m 110y)

The Ultima Handicap Chase open to 5 year olds that often pre-empts a tilt at the Aintree Grand National next month. It’s the first handicap of the meeting and previous winners have a good record in this.

This hasn’t been a favourites paradise over the years with just two winning since 1977, though outsiders are a bit of a rarity with 12 winners from the last 16 been in the first four in the forecast.

Let’s check the stats and trends for this one….

  • Last 5 winners finished Top 5 in their last race and 16/19 finished top 6 LTO
  • 12 from 16 in top 4 betting forecast
  • Aged 7-9
  • Must have run at least 5 times over fence
  • 12 or fewer handicap chase runs
  • 6 or fewer runs at track
  • 3 or fewer chase runs at track
  • Had a run in the previous 16-45 day period
  • last 6 winners carried 11-07 or less from a rating below 148
  • Favours 142 – 149 or below – last above 150 was 1983
  • Must have had two or more runs this season and between 1 and 5 chase wins
  • 3 from last 6 winners ran in the Cleeve Hurdle
  • Trainer form: – Jonjo O’Neill: 3/17, 5 places, A King: 2/13, 3 places, P F Nicholls: 0/19, 4 places, N Henderson: 0/18, 6 places



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