Chester Races: May Meeting Day 2


Day 2 sees some of our handicapper’s out and we’ve put another placepot for an interest bet after going close with 5 from 6 yesterday.

Chester is a quirky old place but trends are well worth noting with the chance for specialist course winners and specialist course jocks always likely to spring a decent priced winner.

Let’s have a look at some of the key factors before we assess the key races?


  • Aiden O’Brien has sent out 16 winners and 10 places from 39 runners in the last 10 years with a 41{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} strike rate
    • most of those targeted in G3 or Listed
    • All those 16 winners were aged 3 or 4yo, having said that he doesn’t really do older horses
  • Mark Johnston is the top English trainer with a 15{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} strike rate and shows a level stakes profit of over 30{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6}
  • Trainers targeting Handicap races
    • Fahey is up near the top of the pile in terms of winners, but when looking at strike rate:
    • Andrew Balding has a 40{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} + SR, but horses are low in price, whilst
    • P D Evans has had 9 runners, 3 winners and 4 placed at 33{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} SR at decent prices and similarly
    • David Barron with 9 bets, 3 wins and 6 places for a 33{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} SR
  • Franny Norton has the top number of wins with a strike rate of 17{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6}
  • Seb de Sousa has the best place rate at over 40{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6}
  • Ryan Moore & William Buick both have fewer total wins but boast over a 23{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} strike rate
  • No horse since 2003 rated at 100+ has won a handicap
  • Best weight range to back is from 8-7 to 9-6
  • Draw has always been said to be key, especially in races up to 1m (fast starters and a low draw brings a significant ROI?)
    • stats show that for 5 and 6f that is not necessarily the case
    • the two tight turns on the 7f/8f course appear to bring the draw more into play and low are favoured at 7f+
  • AW track horses don’t perform well – period!

Today’s Racing Selections…..

Here’s our selections and placepot up for consideration…..

Chester 14.10

What About Carlo/Sennockian Star/(2 bets)

Chester 14.40

Western Hymn (1 bet)

Chester 15.10

US Army Ranger (1 bet)

Chester 15.45

Above N Beyond (1 bet)

Chester 16.20

Havelock/Four Dragons (2 bets)

Chester 16.55

Reflektor/Alsaaden (2 bets)

Total: 8 bets

Just hit the image below to take you through to your SkyBet account………


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