Chester Races: May Meeting: 8th May 2014

Chester Races - Always Back Winners

Chester Races May meeting is our first festival of the season with Day 2 the chance to look at some of our decent handicappers we’ll be looking out for this season.

Chester is a quirky old place but trends are well worth noting with the chance for specialist course winners and specialist course jocks always likely to spring a decent priced winner.

Let’s have a look at some of the key factors before we assess the key races?

Statistics…..

  • Aiden O’Brien has sent out 16 winners and 10 places from 39 runners in the last 10 years with a 41{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} strike rate
  • All 16 winners were aged 3 or 4yo, having said that he doesn’t really do older horses
  • Mark Johnston is the to English trainer with a 15{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} strike rate and shows a level stakes profit of over 30{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6}
  • Franny Norton has the top number of wins with a strike rate of 16{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6}
  • Ryan Moore & William Buick both have fewer total wins but boast over a 23{70aeb3532cb26dbe277d25ea128ebb74de84b9bd22e1583b0eb1b73768e061f6} strike rate
  • No horse since 2003 rated at 100+ has won a handicap (bad news for our notebook selection SENNOCKIAN STAR!)
  • Best weight range to back is from 8-7 to 9-6
  • Draw is key, especially in races up to 1m (fast starters and a low draw brings a significant ROI)
  • AW track horses don’t perform well

Today sees one of our notebook horses go in SENNOCKIAN STAR …….none of our  ’12 flat horses to follow’ go we’ll take a view on a couple of other races that maybe of interest.

Yesterday’s selected…..BRIGHT APPROACH ran up third.

Today’s Racing Selections…..

Chester 13.45……Sennockian Star was an impressive winner last time out and is our notebook horse and from the Mark Johnston stable should have every chance of landing an EW place at a best EW price 8/1 with BetButler or 13/2 with SkyBetHe has to come along way round from stall 12 and his rating of 101 just goes against the stats?

However, if we are looking for a likely winner from the statistics provided, then TRES CORONAS maybe able to come from off the pace from stall 3 and reverse his placing with our noted Sennockian Star in the City & Suburban race at Epsom two weeks ago at a best priced 7/1 with SkyBet.

Chester 15.15…..CAPTAIN BOB won a Warwick maiden on his seasonal debut and with this opening mark looks to have every chance with William Buick up top. Muteela is the main danger and likely favourite, but has a stall 8 draw to overcome…..our selected is a best priced 5/1 with SkyBet.

Chester 17.00….. STELLAR EXPRESS has a fantastic course record and should again reward EW backers with a saver at  5/1 with BetButlerHe went very close to making a winning reappearance first time out this season. Richard Fahey’s Cosmic Halo could provide a nice EW price at a current best price 16/1 with Bet Victor. She wasn’t given too hard a ride by Sam Bell last time out and could be one for the places now at the optimum trip and with Paul Hanagan in the driving seat.

Full Selections for Placepots….

13.45…..Sennockian Star/Tres Coronas

14.15…..Telescope

14.45…..Orchestra

15.15…..Captain Bob

15.50…..London Life/Ballymore Castle

16.25…..Quickawecan/Jazz

17.00….Stellar Express/Cosmic Halo

To get full access to the forward declarations just sign up to the FREE weekly newsletter from any of our pages and we’ll post out the advanced weeks selections!!!!

To review our results from our 12 flat horses to follow ……follow via that link.

Check out our dedicated page of this seasons ‘Notebook Performers’ <<<<HERE>>>>

Other news….. It’s a growing MONSTER payout…..next week sees the biggest ever Scoop6 win dividend with the win fund already exceeding £7 million as the bet rolled over for the twelfth consecutive week.

The Scoop6 has once again caught the public’s imagination.”

 

Get on the Scoop 6 with Betfred who are also offering all new mobile customers a free £10 Sports bet. Once players have used their free £10 bet, they will also be entitled to a £25 Matched Bet

Get on the SCOOP6 TOTEPOOL offer >>>>HERE<<<<

ireland flag Today’s Irish News….

 

 

No selection from our TurfMeister in Ireland……

 

 

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