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Match Preview…
Argentina joined Germany in the final of 2014 FIFA World Cup which will be taking place on Sunday, 13th July 2014, both teams reached final after contrasting victories in semifinals.
Germany outclassed, outplayed, outsmart and battered Brazil with their record breaking 7-1 win while Argentina had to dig deep and keep them themselves composed in the penalty shoot-out to book their place in the final of 2014 World Cup. .
Germany shocked the world on Tuesday night as they completely tore apart host nation, Brazil. The final score was 7-1 but that could have been more if they’d wanted to further humiliate their opponents.
The midfield triangle of Toni Kroos, Sami Khedira and Bastian Schweinsteiger controlled the game and it appears that manager, Joachim Low, has rightfully abandoned the idea of deploying Philipp Lahm in the centre of midfield.
There are no major injury or fitness issues with German side and we can safely assume that Joachim Loew will go with unchanged line-up from the semifinals.
Argentina on the other hand had to go all the way to penalties, but on the basis of performance in the first 90 minutes they were the deserving winners. They had more shots on goal (4) compared to Holland’s just one.
Alejandro Sabella will have been delighted with the performance of Javier Mascherano, in particular, as the Barcelona man showed why the Spanish giants are making a mistake by playing him in defence and not in midfield.
The manager will be hoping for more from some of his other players though, most notably Gonzalo Higuain and Ezequiel Lavezzi, and it will be interesting to see if he brings Sergio Aguero back into the starting XI following his appearance off the bench on Wednesday.
The key will be in the performance of Lionel Messi and opinion is still divided over how he’s played at the World Cup thus far. He’s been brilliant at times – the winner against Iran being the highlight – but he’s only done it in fits and bursts.
For arguably the best player on the planet, that’s not quite good enough.
Betting…..
Germany 2.4 Argentina 3.6 The Draw 3.25
The Europeans are the favourites and they can be backed at 2.4 to repeat their 1990 triumph over the South Americans inside 90 minutes. That seems a bit short for me as while Argentina have been struggling through their matches, they always seem to be able to pull out more when they need to.
Given the way the other knockout games have gone, the draw will be a popular selection and that is trading at around the 3.25 mark. World Cup finals have historically been tight matches and while the draw is certainly a distinct possibility, it’s a bit of a negative bet.
That leaves Argentina to get the job done in normal time, and at 3.6, I think that’s real value. Winning a World Cup in Brazil is almost the holy grail for them and they have the services of Lionel Messi to boot.
If Argentina can get the first goal, then the Germans will become more and more desperate to equalise and that will leave them exposed to the counter. Led by Messi, ‘La Albiceleste‘ are more than capable of exploiting that and putting the game to bed.
I’ve had great success with my cash out recommendations in the World Cup to date and I’m hoping to round off the tournament with another, and Argentina to be winning 1-0 at half time is the pick. It’s currently trading at around the 6.6 mark and if the game goes the way I think it will, it should be much shorter at some point.
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