Horse Racing Selections – 10th July 2021
Saturday’s racing comes from York with the The John Smith’s Cup the feature.
I think that now racks up 41 years racing after winning £35 on the placepot at that meet all that time ago. Fine Sun won the then ‘Magnet Cup’ under Edward Hide. Who knows, maybe if I hadn’t had that win I may not have been bitten by the bug:)
Probably a few of you are wishing I hadn’t now as recently it’s been a case of wrong Tinkles, Easterby’s and Midgley’s of late. These things are sent to try us and let’s look to get converting those 40% + places to a few more winners this weekend!
Today’s selections are below in the members, and with nothing doing at Salisbury tomorrow so will be back on Monday morning around 8.30am.
For those on the new 2021/22 £1k to £10k Annual Challenge, the bank is £1185.841 and current full stakes, unless advised, £14.82EW
The 2021 Turf bank currently stands at +68.1 pts to 1pt EW stakes with over a 42% win/place rate.
The 2020/21 All Weather bank ended at +144 pts to 1pt EW stakes with over a 39% win/plac rate.
Link to full results >> HERE
Today’s member’s notes are below….
BOL (Best Of Luck!) with any of your betting selections.
Stay safe!
ABW Team
Today’s Selections
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Just posted this in yesterdays further to someone who was ‘thinking of giving it a miss at present’. Completely understand what you are saying and i thought (but didn’t action the thought) a little while ago and the very next day we had the 67/1 winner. Inevitably with the Win % as it is and variance (and to a degree same with Place winners) there will be ups and downs. For what its worth i vary my stakes up and down in line with bank and that seems to feel more comfortable to me. At least that approach doesn’t mean Mr Sod turns up and you miss out big style. Hope it helps. Whatever you do, all the best! John
Yep have to agree, 10-15% winners is always 85-90 ‘losers’ per 100. the 40+ % place offsets that. Agree I need to be closer to that 15 than the 10 but that’s the way it goes and the flexing bank accounts for that.
BOL for today 🙂
If it is of any interest to others, I use an approach of betting 80% of my stake on a place and 20% on the win, with my total stake at 1% of my bank (nice and easy to calculate). I am using exchanges, as you couldn’t do this at bookies. This means that 40% or so of the time I am making a profitable bet and helps considerably in reducing the long losing runs you get if you are relying purely on hitting winners from Garys tips. The obvious downside is that you don’t make as much when a winner comes in. I just find that this approach helps me handle the psychological pressure of long losing runs, which are inevitable at the odds Gary’s selections are operating at.
That’s helpful, Brian. Generally, do you play the win at BFSP or take the going price at time of bet? And with the place part, do you use the standard number of places offered by BFX, or extend them?
My 2p as follows (well more a montage of intelligent advice I’ve been given since I started Matched betting/Gambling/Trading) for anyone it helps:
You must have a clear understanding of the risks with anything you are betting/investing on, if you want to do your own research you should do this, or you can follow blindly (as I do) with the recommended stake plan and if you take enough value from early morning prices, longer term you will statistically profit!
Looking at past results is a good indicator of performance but isn’t a guarantee of future success, however the past stats, web site reviews and the fact that we do go up and down with the bank leads me to believe AWB is a massive edge.
But you SHOULD NOT place a bet if you are not sure of the risks (ie there is always chance of long run a of losses).
I guess the other great piece of advice I was given is, if your sweating on a bet; you’ve staked to much