Hoylake final round bets
With Rory McIlroy out of sight at the top of the leaderboard, we look at some Royal Liverpool, Hoylake final round bets…
For the most part, Moving Day lived up to it’s name and it appeared we were set for a thrilling final round involving at least three world-class players.
That, however, was before Rory McIlroy did what all great champions do, and stepped up to the challenge. From being tied with Rickie Fowler playing the 13th, he ended the round six shots ahead, all but winning his first Claret Jug in the process.
That may seem premature, given how many times leads have been frittered away in this major, but even at prohibitive odds of just 1.21, I’d rather be a backer than a layer!
Rory’s performance this week has been flawless, perhaps the best 54 holes ever seen in an Open. It is reminiscent of his runaway eight-shot victories at the US Open and USPGA and a similar procession is on the cards.
From a betting perspective, that means it’s time to forget ab
out the outright market and focus instead on 2-balls and the Betting Without McIlroy.
The race without Rory is an excellent heat, realistically between the 18 players from -5 to -10. Fowler, Sergio and Dustin Johnson represent a strong front three, but there will surely be at least one low round from the rest.
Adam Scott looks the one for my money, from starting four behind Fowler at -6. From what I’ve seen, he’s played really well all week bar a few silly mistakes, and was much disadvantaged with late/early tee-times.
It will be no surprise to see him shoot 66 to set what would surely prove a weak clubhouse target. The plan here is to stake six units at 16.5, then place a lay order for 20 at 4.0, with a view to securing at least 16 units profit.
Betting without Rory McIlroy
As always in majors, the general two-ball plan is to take on potentially weak favourites, usually big names who’ve underperformed. For the third major in a row, Mickelson hasnever found anything like top gear and there’s no reason to assume he’ll enjoy Sunday any better. He may need to in order to justify favouritism against a top-class opponent.
Cabrera was a minor market mover before the event, as punters cottoned on to his seventh place here in 2006, and he’s performed creditably after a poor start. The dual major winner looked like missing the cut after opening with 76 but has fought back to under par, within sight of the top-20.
Streelman is an obvious value outsider pick considering the 2010 champion’s troubles. Oosthuizen has been plagued by injury and withdrawn during a number of events. I don’t know whether that was the cause, but he finished Saturday terribly for 76, dropping four shots between holes 14 to 17. Even without that question mark against his opponent, the American would represent decent value considering he won his penultimate start.
Breaking with the backing outsiders trend, Gallacher is fancied to come with his customary late rattle. That’s what he did last week in Scotland with 63, at Wentworth with 66 and in last year’s Open with 69. In fact if memory serves, staying on through beaten runners was Gallacher’s forte back in the days when he was a Euro Tour nobody. Full credit to Howell, who has found form from nowhere to sit inside the top-20, but this is probably the limit of his realistic expectations.
Moore must be disappointed to have squandered a good position and, bearing in mind he also fell away on Sunday at the US Open with 76, looks a vulnerable favourite, especially against an in-form player. Warren is making the most of his second Open appearance, following on from last week’s third place in the Scottish Open. While he may be inferior to Moore on the world stage, the gap is less obvious on a UK links.
Got an opinion on this story, who are YOU backing without Macca for THE OPEN??…….