JLT Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) – Cheltenham Day 3
13.30 JLT Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) – Cheltenham Day 3
This one was upgraded to a Grade One three years back so stats are difficult to to come across…..disappointingly we lost our big hope from this one in Killultagh Vic, though it’s the Irish who have dominated to win four of the first five runnings of the JLT and Mullins comes well armed with Outlander and Black Hercules.
Let’s check the stats and trends for this one….
- Course or previous festival form is a +
- Last 5 had ran in last 45 – 60 days
- Winner of a pattern race over hurdles
- Last 5 winners finished Top 2 LTO
- Aged 7 maximum
L’Ami Serge was well voted for as part of the SuperYankee but so disappointed at Warwick LTO. He is a pacey type and if returning to anything near previous festival form warrants each-way attention.
Bristol De Mai won the Scilly impressively enough at Sandown LTO and looks better the further he goes, however he was firmly beaten by GARDE LA VICTOIRE when getting 9lb, albeit over a 1m7f trip.
GLV has gone on to record successive chase wins and the switch to that code has gone smoothly……a previous course & distance hurdles winner he looks the home teams win bet……..but has break even EW value at present.
Outlander is the big Mullins hope and is unbeaten in three starts over fences.
Looking for value, THREE MUSKETEERS wasn’t going to win the ‘Dipper’ here LTO when making a mistake at the last…..but the going could possibly excuse that plus the yard wasn’t firing on all cylinders.
He’s a Flemensfirth gelding who jumps well and recorded a fast time when winning at Newbury on his penultimate run. A good novice hurdler last year, he also holds a third place to Nichols Canyon on this going and with his pace he could be a surprise package and decent EW shout.