NFL Previews: Week 4

NFL previews

NFL Previews for week 4 with Luca Bercelli having correctly predicted 21 out of 30 bets in the last two weeks…

Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans: Sunday, 18:00

Ex-Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick returns to his former ‘hood hoping to show his former employers what they’re missing. Unfortunately for him, and evidenced last week, is that the main thing they’re missing is turnovers and no doubt he’ll make a few more on Sunday. Take the solid Bills to nick this one with the points.

Recommended Bet

Back the Buffalo Bills +2.5pts @ 2.12

Carolina Panthers @ Baltimore Ravens: Sunday, 18:00

The Panthers chucked in a rare dud of a performance last week in their 37-19 loss to the Steelers. Surely just a bad day at the office. A key injury to the Ravens offensive line (Eugene Monroe, offensive tackle is out) will help the Panthers’ D get back to their normal, nasty selves.

Recommended Bet

Back the Carolina Panthers +3.5pts @ 1.9

Detroit Lions @ New York Jets: Sunday, 18:00

The Jets feel as if they’ve been mugged in their last two fixtures, and they have. Mistakes and bad officiating have both cost them dearly. With a bigger chip on their shoulders than usual, and hopefully less self-inflicted misery, they could well bounce back against the one-dimensional Lions.

Recommended Bet

Back the new York Jets +1.5pts @ 2.0

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears: Sunday, 18:00

The Bears haven’t impressed me too much despite their two and one record and with defensive injuries and Green Bay desperate to get their season on track I’ll take the Pack and the points.

Recommended Bet

Back the Green Bay Packers to win @ 1.85

Miami Dolphins @ Oakland Raiders: Sunday, 18:00:TV: Sky Sports 2 & Channel 4

America’s loss is Wembley’s…loss. This is the worst game of the week but if you’re keen to fight your way through London to nab yourself a pie and a pint for 15 quid and reminisce about Dan Marino and the good old days then good luck to you. Enjoy what is bound to be an error-strewn arm wrestle featuring two below average QBs. At least Oakland’s has the excuse of being a rookie. He’s a decent bet to win with the points.

Recommended Bet

Back the Oakland Raiders +4.5pts @ 1.9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Pittsburgh Steelers: Sunday, 18:00

On paper this looks simple; Big Ben and the Steelers stick it to the reeling Buccaneers and post a comfortable win. A couple of key defensive injuries for Pittsburgh will even things up a bit (linebackers Shazier and Jones are both out), but not enough to cause an upset. Pittsburgh -7.5 looks the call here.

Recommended Bet

Back the Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5pts @ 2.1

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts: Sunday, 18:00

My favourite quarterback (Mr A Luck) takes on a question mark this weekend with major doubts surrounding Titans’ QB Jake Locker. If he doesn’t suit up the alternatives don’t inspire confidence so I’ll be expecting the Colts to repeat their blistering start of last week (30 points in the first half). The fat lady could well be yodelling by half time in this one.

Recommended Bet

Back the Indianapolis Colts on the first half points spread (-3.5pts) @ 2.0

Jacksonville Jaguars @ San Diego Chargers: Sunday 21:05

This has blowout written all over it what with Chargers QBPhilip Rivers firmly in the zone of late, and the Jags’ hierarchy already greedily eyeing the number one pick in next year’s draft. Blake Bortles will probably start only his second game for the Jags and that’s bad news as he’ll be facing the fourth stingiest defence in the whole league.

Recommended Bet

Back the San Diego Chargers -12.5pts @ 2.04

Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings: Sunday, 21:25

How can the Falcons only be a two and a half point favourite in this one…you tell me? It makes no sense whatsoever; the Vikes have scored only 16 points in the two games since they lost Adrian Peterson, whereas the Falcons are doing what Falcons do…flying. Maximum stakes on this one.

Recommended Bet

Back the Atlanta Falcons -2.5pts @ 1.85 (Best Bet)

Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers: Sunday, 21:25: TV: Sky Sports 2

This is the game I can’t wait to watch. Explosive offence meets explosive QB, resulting in crazy game. The Eagles are 3-0 but I’m not totally convinced by them. They’re in a very winnable division, sure…but Superbowl dark horses…don’t make me laugh. It’s not a great betting proposition but, gun to my head, I’ll go with the unders.

Recommended Bet

Back under 50.5pts @ 2.0

New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys: Monday, 01:30: TV: Channel 4

The Cowboys’ camp sounds even less happy than usual with news that Morris Claiborne stormed out of practice after being told his role had changed. That just about sums them up as an organisation…moody. Individual talent has been their saviour so far but coping with the Saints’ passing attack needs to be done collectively, and that might be beyond them.

Recommended Bet

Back the New Orleans Saints to win @ 1.7

New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs: Tuesday, 01:30: TV: Eurosport

The Chiefs will probably have stud running back Jamaal Charles back for Monday Night Football and that makes them a tempting proposition at home. However, even a stuttering Tom Brady at QB is good enough to win most games and with a fully firing defence helping to take the pressure off, I’m expecting him to rediscover some of the old magic and nick this one.

Recommended Bet

Back the new England Patriots to win @ 1.65

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