Saturday Newsletter – 17th November 2018

Saturday – 17th November 2018

 

Day 2 of Cheltenham’s November Meeting and the views from the speedmeisters are below……

 

Flat season final results, the full spreadsheet is as ever posted in any post in the ‘Results tab‘, but a summary being:

• 212 bets – 25 wins/63 places – 41.51% win/place rate
• Average Price – 11.82
• Average finishing position – 5.09
• ROI – 22.45%
• Bank Growth 263.13%

Okay so we didn’t crack the £10k as 2017 but all in all a decent return of over £3600 🙂

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Cheltenham card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

12.40 JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle (Prestbury) (Grade 2) (1) 2m87y

Timeform Top Rated:
156p 5. MONTESTREL Mrs Jane Williams Lizzie Kelly
155p 2. QUEL DESTIN Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
152p 1. CRACKER FACTORY Alan King Daryl Jacob

Analyst’s Verdict:
Montestrel looked a potentially useful recruit in running down Quel Destin late on at Chepstow last month, and on that evidence, looks capable of making his mark at this higher level. Never Adapt is a highly interesting recruit from France, having joined powerful connections who introduced Apple’s Shakira in this race 12 months ago. Quel Destin and Cracker Factory are others to consider.

1.15 mallardjewellers.com Novices’ Chase (2) 3m80y

Timeform Top Rated:
165P 2. THE WORLDS END Tom George A. P. Heskin
163 6. THEATRE TERRITORY Warren Greatrex Mr Sam Waley-Cohen
156p 1. MINELLA AWARDS Harry Fry Noel Fehily

Analyst’s Verdict:
The Worlds End has the potential to take high rank among this season’s staying novice chasers and can build on his impressive winning start in this discipline at Chepstow last month. Recent Aintree scorer Minella Awards could perhaps be the one to give him most to do, although Theatre Territory ended last season with a couple of placed efforts in top-end handicaps and also merits respect.

1.50 BetVictor.com Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 3m3f71y

Timeform Top Rated:
177 12. THE YOUNG MASTER Neil Mulholland Harry Reed (3)
173 13. LOOKING WELL Nicky Richards Brian Hughes
172 3. PERFECT CANDIDATE Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan

Analyst’s Verdict:
Singlefarmpayment goes well fresh and boasts a solid record at this course. With The Young Master unlikely to go to post following his exertions here on Friday, Tom George’s charge earns the vote ahead of Vicente, who was narrowly outpointed in this race 12 months ago. Calett Mad is also feared, along with the progressive Sharp Response and 2015 Gold Cup hero Coneygree.

2.25 BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 2½m44y

Timeform Top Rated:
175+ 6. KALONDRA Neil Mulholland Noel Fehily
173p 5. RATHER BE Nicky Henderson Jeremiah McGrath
172p 4. BENATAR Gary Moore Jamie Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Kalondra has long since threatened to win a race of this nature, and with conditions likely to be in his favour, is fancied to enhance the fine record of second-season chasers in this race. Rather Be and Mister Whitaker look obvious threats, while Movewiththetimes is another who has the ability to be involved at a bigger price.

3.00 Regulatory Finance Solutions Handicap Hurdle (Listed) (1) 2m7f208y

Timeform Top Rated:
156§ 9. ANTEROS Sophie Leech Sean Houlihan (5)
154§ 10. BUCKLE STREET Martin Keighley Harry Stock (5)
153p 2. BOYHOOD Tom George Paddy Brennan

Analyst’s Verdict:
First Assignment landed a gamble on his return here last month and has the potential to progress further for his excellent yard now stepping up to 3m. Weebill and Boyhood are a couple of other unexposed types to consider.

3.30 BetVictor Intermediate Handicap Hurdle (2) 2m5f

Timeform Top Rated:
147 14. SPEEDO BOY Ian Williams Tom O’Brien
146 12. CHRISTMAS IN APRIL Colin Tizzard Harry Cobden
145+ 10. AYE RIGHT Harriet Graham Callum Bewley

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Speedo Boy didn’t look a complete natural over hurdles last autumn, but he gets his mark from outings around 2m and there’s a very good chance that this useful Flat stayer will take off now tackling this sort of trip. Westend Story, Lygon Rock and Point of Principle head the opposition.

4.00 Karndean Mares’ Standard Open National Hunt Flat (Listed) (1) 2m87y

Timeform Top Rated:
130 12. ROYAL ILLUSION W. P. Mullins D. E. Mullins
122+ 4. DANSE IDOL Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
122 13. STACEY SUE Alex Hales Noel Fehily

Analyst’s Verdict:
A big field of promising fillies/mares but still hard to see past Royal Illusion who created a good impression when making it 2-2 at Cork recently and can take the next step up the ladder in her stride. Danse Idol sports the same colours as last year’s winner Posh Trish and could be the main threat after a promising second at Punchestown in January. Mrs Hyde and Mega Yeats complete the shortlist.