Tingle Creek Chase Preview 2015
This weekend it’s the Tingle Creek Chase from Sandown and we aim to replicate our last big race preview…the Betfair Chase, where we landed the winner in our feature with CUE CARD.
The resurgent Sprinter Sacre and the outstanding novice from last season, Un de Sceaux, will have to wait for another day, when Un De Sceaux, the odds-on favourite, was ruled out of the race by Willie Mullins, his trainer.
Mullins broke the news on Wednesday evening, as the master trainer reported on Twitter that his star chaser has “been a little flat in himself the last two days.”
The 2015 Arkle winner has been the hot favourite, trading at a low of 1.60 to win Saturday’s showpiece.
While backers of Mullins’ seven-year-old are big antepost losers, the market is suddenly wide-open. Vibrato Valtat heads the betting at 3.15, with Special Tiara, Simonsig and Sire de Grugy all trading under 10.00.
Vibrato Valtat as stated is certain to go off favourite now but the each way ante-post backers of plunge horses Special Tiara (was 20/1) and 25/1 Third Intention (was 66/1) will be very happy with themselves.
However, with 10 horses still entered, and a long odds-on favourite, this year’s Tingle Creek does have the shape of a good each-way betting race.
Vibrato Valtat has plenty going for him. He won the Grade 1 Henry VIII over C&D at this meeting last season, and returned with a career-best effort in the Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter last month. Although his four-length defeat of Third Intention whilst receiving weight is not the best form on offer here, he is progressive, and could yet have more to offer.
There was plenty to like about Simonsig‘s first run for the best part of three years at Aintree last month, even though he was unable to get by his tenacious stablemate Bobs Worth in the end after travelling into the race with much more gusto. Just how much of his ability he retains from his novice chasing campaign, after which he was rated 166P, is hard to say. A big part of his engine did seem to still be there at Aintree, but his current price assumes a little too much, and although he is arguably one of the most interesting horses in the line up, he is best watched.
Like Simonsig, SIRE DE GRUGY is another horse that has not shown his best for some time, and is also arriving with something to prove. Gary Moore’s stable star capitalised on the absence of both of Nicky Henderson’s star two-mile chasers in the 2013/14 season, and racked up a five-timer which started in this race and included the Champion Chase at the Festival.
SIRE DE GRUGY’S best performance, when he won the Grade 1 Clarence House Stakes at Ascot by 11 lengths from Hidden Cyclone, stands up to the favourite’s form here, and even his win at Chepstow last season during his disrupted preparation for the Champion Chase would give him strong place claims.
His current double-figure price can be put down to his disappointing reappearance effort, where he made a significant jumping error and finished well beaten behind Vibrato Valtat in the Haldon Gold Cup. Gary Moore has enjoyed a fruitful start to this season, but his horses have tended to come on for their reappearance, and if SIRE DE GRUGY can follow suit, he is a strong candidate to make the places.
Suggested bet….
Sire de Grugy each-way at 6/1 in the Betfair Tingle Creek
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