Tuesday Newsletter – 9th April 2019

Tuesday Newsletter – 9th April 2019

 

A cracking early season win by Tim Easterby’s GIVE IT SOME TEDDY yesterday 🙂 Easterby is not noted for his early season winners with the vast majority coming in June & July, however the horses form was sound and progressive last term and Duran Fentiman brought him home by a nose from Ben Haslam’s Rey Loopy. It maybe also worth noting Ben’s early charges going forward as he has had an excellent NH this winter and also notched a 20/1 winner in the last.

Today sees racing from Pontefract that has always been one of our favourite haunts. Coincidentally one of those successes long term members will remember, Billy Roberts goes in (14.00) on the same card where he was a big 25/1 winner in 2017. Nothing like that today and is a short priced 5/2 at the moment and whilst usually on the Jason Hart bandwagon, he’s 0-23 over the mile at Ponty.

In (14.30) Div 2, another of our winners Hitman is out for Rebecca Bastiman – he kicks off the season on a decent mark and has had wind surgery during the winter. Whilst Harty may not be the master of a mile here, Danny Tudhope most certainly is and it will be interesting to see how he goes. Despite the big price, Hitman has never scored at a mile and Ponty’s uphill makes it stiffer than most. Hopefully we will be on him at some stage this season and not cursing a win in this 🙂 Roger Fell’s Zodiakos has been running well and looks one at around wipes yer face EW value with Ben Curtis up top.

We have one for members below with Timeform for the NH at Exeter for those still punting NH.

 

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….we’ve now over an early 80% win/place strike rate …..our bank is now £1090.25 and current stakes are now £13.63 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Exeter card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.10 Follow @racingtv On Twitter Novices’ Selling Hurdle (5) 2¼m111y

Timeform Top Rated:
119 3. CYBALKO David Bridgwater Tom Cannon
115 1. BIG FRED Bernard Llewellyn Richard Johnson
113 10. DORA’S FIELD Stuart Kittow David Noonan

Analyst’s Verdict:
Cybalko has posted some fairly useful efforts over fences this winter (probably would have won but for falling last at Southwell in March) and could take a bit of stopping dropped to a seller on his hurdle return. Big Fred was placed in novices last year and is a possible threat with Richard Johnson taking over in the saddle. David Pipe’s Dream Free is also respected.

2.40 City of Exeter Challenge Cup Handicap Hurdle (3) 2m175y

Timeform Top Rated:
137 5. LEGAL HISTORY David Pipe Tom Scudamore
136 1. RED MIX Dr Richard Newland Sam Twiston-Davies
134 2. SAO Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden

Analyst’s Verdict:
The big-field juvenile handicap which Legal History won at Ascot recently appeals as strong form and he looks well treated under a 7 lb penalty. Sao has yet to click for Paul Nicholls but that could change having had his wind operated on since last seen in November. Red Mix will also be in the shake-up if able to return to the level of his Ludlow second in February.

3.10 Like Racing TV On Facebook Chase (Novices’ Limited Handicap) (3) 2m3f48y

Timeform Top Rated:
136 5. NESTERENKO Venetia Williams Charlie Deutsch
135 1. DR DES Henry Oliver James Davies
135 3. AWAKE AT MIDNIGHT Philip Hobbs Richard Johnson

Analyst’s Verdict:
Nesterenko remains on a handy mark in this sphere if able to back up his latest second at Stratford so has to be taken seriously. Nikki Steel made a winning comeback on only his second start over fences at Market Rasen 2 weeks ago and could be the main threat if this doesn’t come too soon, while Dr Des is slipping to a competitive mark.

3.40 Join Racing TV Now Handicap Hurdle (5) (D.I) 2m7f25y

Timeform Top Rated:
111 2. DOLLNAMIX Emma Lavelle Nick Scholfield
110 4. MASTER MAJIC Colin Tizzard Ben Godfrey (7)
109 5. GALLOWS POINT Kim Bailey David Bass

Analyst’s Verdict:
Blackmill didn’t go on as expected over fences but his mark has plummeted as a result and, with his attentions now switched back to smaller obstacles, he could well be worth chancing to get back on track. Dollnamix looked a likely winner before falling at Taunton in March and he is feared, along with Triopas and Mrs Miggins.

4.10 Join Racing TV Now Handicap Hurdle (5) (D.II) 2m7f25y

Timeform Top Rated:
113 5. EDDY Susan Gardner Sean Houlihan (3)
111 7. URTHEONETHATIWANT Jeremy Scott Matt Griffiths
110 3. MAUNA KEA Polly Gundry Conor Shoemark

Analyst’s Verdict:
Urtheonethatiwant has a progressive profile compared to a field of mostly unreliable and/or exposed types, so he’s a confident choice ahead of another lightly-raced sort in Hot Ryan, who made a pleasing handicap debut last time. Mr Magill should be thereabouts, too.

4.40 Watch Racing TV Now Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (4) 2m5f135y

Timeform Top Rated:
126p 2. MOVE ABOVE Alastair Ralph Lee Edwards
125 5. THE DETAINEE Neil Mulholland Robert Dunne
124 4. HARD TO FORGET Henry Oliver Dave Crosse

Analyst’s Verdict:
An open race. Halloween Harry was in the process of showing improved form when unseating his rider 3 out here 16 days ago and looks well worth the chance to build on that. Hard To Forget could easily have more to offer, while Move Above is open to further progress now making the quick switch to handicaps upped in trip.

5.15 Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Chase (4) 3m54y

Timeform Top Rated:
118p 7. COOPERS SQUARE Tom Weston Alan Johns
116 2. HELUVAGOOD Victor Dartnall Tom O’Brien
116§ 5. BIG TIME FRANK Polly Gundry Miss Tabitha Worsley (7)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Coopers Square progressed again to make it 4 wins from his last 4 completed starts at Warwick 12 days ago and probably has more improvement in him. Heluvagood won over this C&D off 1 lb lower in November and his latest effort here was a step back in the right direction, so he is next best ahead of Sartorial Elegance, Cap Horner and Kiwi Myth.

5.50 racingtv.com Open Hunters’ Chase (6) 3m54y

Timeform Top Rated:
123 3. DICKY BOB Miss V. J. Nicholls Mr Bryan Carver (7)
117§ 2. HERBERT PARK R. J. Alford Mr Fergus Gillard (7)
116 5. GLEN ROE M. J. Linehan Mr B. M. Linehan (7)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Dicky Bob ran out a ready winner of a point recently and looks well capable of making a successful return to Rules in a race where most of his rivals have something to prove. Glen Roe, who made a winning start over hurdles late last year, ranks as the main threat ahead of Herbert Park.

 

p commonly referred to as a small ‘p’; and the the horse is likely to improve
P commonly referred to as a large ‘P’; and the horse is capable of much better
+ the horse is possibly better than rated
? the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence
§ the squiggle’ indicates the horse is unreliable (for temperamental or other reasons)
§§ the ‘double squiggle’ the horse is so unsatisfactory as to be not worth a rating
x a poor jumper