Wednesday Newsletter – 10th April 2019

Wednesday Newsletter – 10th April 2019

 

Paul Cole’s Arctic Sea just got nabbed at the line under P J McDonald with our members selection yesterday. Kevin Ryan’s charge Mont Kimbalu came with a wet-sail to record a clever win under Ben Curtis. We’ve now hit the bar 4 times with our first 6 selections, that is an encouraging start that we’re on the right page 🙂

We have Wednesday Timeform for the meeting at Nottingham with a members selection below……

 

This evenings consideration has gone a non-runner at Kempton – back 8.00am tomorrow

 

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….we’ve now over an early 80% win/place strike rate …..our bank is now £1091.96 and current stakes are now £13.65 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Nottingham card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.30 Introducing Racing TV Novice Stakes (5) 1m75y

Timeform Top Rated 
97p 15. VASILIEV Clive Cox Adam Kirby
96p 8. MOKAMMAL Sir Michael Stoute Dane O’Neill
94p 4. KING ADEMAR Martyn Meade Oisin Murphy

Analyst’s Verdict:
An interesting opener. The well-bred Vasiliev looked very promising when only narrowly failing to overcome clear signs of greenness on debut and is narrowly preferred to Sir Michael Stoute’s Mokammal, who also shaped with plenty of encouragement when filling the runner-up spot on debut. King Ademar and King of Change are also open to further progress and likely to get involved.

2.00 Join Racing TV Now Handicap (4) 5f8y

Timeform Top Rated 
93 6. ENCHANTED LINDA Richard Hannon Oisin Murphy
91 11. ALOYSIUS LILIUS Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves
89 2. SANDRIDGE LAD John Ryan Stevie Donohoe

Analyst’s Verdict: 
With the majority of these returning from winter breaks the market could prove informative. Enchanted Linda did progress quite nicely last autumn and gets the nod to make a successful return with Oisin Murphy doing the steering. True Hero has left William Haggas since his C&D maiden win last October but is still respected on his return. Phoenix Star and Pink Iceburg are also shortlisted.

2.30 Watch Racing TV Now Conditions Stakes (3) 5f8y

Timeform Top Rated 
117 1. POCKET DYNAMO Robert Cowell Oisin Murphy
113 2. BROKEN SPEAR Tony Coyle Kevin Stott
110 3. GARRUS Jeremy Noseda Ryan Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Pocket Dynamo is the one to beat if able to reproduce the form he showed when only narrowly denied in the Norfolk at Royal Ascot last summer. Broken Spear ended last season on a high when winning at York and is feared most.

3.05 Barry Hills Further Flight Stakes (Listed) (1) 1¾m

Timeform Top Rated 
126 4. PILASTER Roger Varian Ryan Moore
123 3. ELEGIAC Mark Johnston Franny Norton
119 1. AMAZING RED Ed Dunlop P. J. McDonald

Analyst’s Verdict:
Pilaster made a rapid rise through the ranks last term, finding another jolt of improvement to land Group 2 Lillie Langtry at Goodwood in August. Well held in Group 1 company on her final start, she’s well worth another chance to bounce back with her sights lowered. Elegiac is a most likeable type who is fancied to pose the chief threat.

3.35 Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (3) 1m75y

Timeform Top Rated 
115+ 8. NEW GRADUATE James Tate Ryan Moore
114p 4. BOWERMAN Roger Varian Andrea Atzeni
113+ 12. EXISTENTIAL Clive Cox Hector Crouch

Analyst’s Verdict:
A good quality handicap with the narrow vote in favour of Markazi. A useful performer in France, he shaped well on yard debut at Haydock back in August, and with his subsequent effort at that venue best overlooked, he is fancied to make a bold bid on return in refitted blinkers. Bowerman has clearly been hard to train but is talented and he is feared, as is New Graduate despite a wide draw in 16.

4.10 racingtv.com Handicap (5) 1m75y

Timeform Top Rated 
95 1. ME TOO NAGASAKI Stuart Williams Oisin Murphy
94+ 10. EBBISHAM John Mackie Ben Curtis
94 3. WHERE’S JEFF Michael Easterby Nathan Evans

Analyst’s Verdict: 
This is a sufficient drop in class for Me Too Nagasaki so he’s taken to prevail. Where’s Jeff was generally progressive last season and could have more to offer this time around. Ebbisham starts the campaign on a potentially lenient mark and is another to consider.

4.40 Follow @RacingTV On Twitter Handicap (5) (D.I) 1¼m50y

Timeform Top Rated 
85 1. BO SAMRAAN Mark Johnston Franny Norton
84 3. BURIRAM Ralph Beckett Silvestre De Sousa
84 6. SMOKI SMOKA Tom Dascombe Jane Elliott (3)

Analyst’s Verdict:
She’s Apples looks to have been brought along with handicaps in mind and is a potential improver now going up in trip. Bo Samraan ran well in what was probably a useful event at Newmarket on his final start and is next best ahead of Poor Auld Paddy, another who should do better now handicapping.

5.15 Follow @RacingTV On Twitter Handicap (5) (D.II) 1¼m50y

Timeform Top Rated 
89p 1. NABBEYL Roger Varian Andrea Atzeni
88+ 7. MAYFAIR SPIRIT Charlie Fellowes Stevie Donohoe
86 3. SILKSTONE Pam Sly Adam Kirby

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Nabbeyl is out of a dual Group 1 winner and an opening mark of 77 could be a fair one with the step up in trip likely to bring out more improvement. Mayfair Spirit left his 2-y-o form behind when almost making a winning return at Kempton and looks the biggest threat ahead of Silkstone.

 

p commonly referred to as a small ‘p’; and the the horse is likely to improve
P commonly referred to as a large ‘P’; and the horse is capable of much better
+ the horse is possibly better than rated
? the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence
§ the squiggle’ indicates the horse is unreliable (for temperamental or other reasons)
§§ the ‘double squiggle’ the horse is so unsatisfactory as to be not worth a rating
x a poor jumper