Friday – 11th May 2018
Our selection ran 4th yesterday, just out of the paying places and went ultimately the way as suggested with the low draw/front runner angle as Amomentofmadness, headed home Powerallied, El Astronaute & Reflektor. El Astronaute got a fantastic leap from stall 9 running without one front shoe and also a great run from Powerallied who kept up his previouscourse form. Reflektor couldn’t last home long enough after disputing 2nd in the final furlong……and along with our cash 🙁
Today we’re looking at the race we backed last years winner, Sound Advice at 12/1 – the opener 13.50 C2 for 4yo+ Crabbie’s Earl Grosvenor Handicap over 7f -122yds.
He goes again in this with a nice low draw under Phil Makin – he looks to have it all to do this term on the back of his last performance of the season when last of 12 here last September and on seasonal debut today. He’s a hold up type and last year to be fair did get luck in running under Dougie Costello…….does lightening strike twice? Another interesting runner is Andrew Balding’s South Seas whose stable boast 8 wins from 19 with 14 place in handicaps here. He’s been highly tried in G1’s and gelded since his last run – it’s a bit of a trip into the unknown but he has gone well from fresh before.
We’ve got one for members for that race below and is our sole bet of the day.
Over at Lingfield (15.25) there’s a 5 runner – not a race we’d take on but does warrant a mention from us and possibly of interest to the more ‘lumping types’ out there. The reason for the mention is that we had a nice winner with Acclaim The Nation this week. He finished 4th behind REBECCA ROCKS at Windsor on previous outing. That one was on seasonal debut and it was a really impressive win – up 10lb for that she can still be progressive off that mark and that form franked for Henry Candy who is another ‘sprint meister’, this one looks rather solid though on at around 7/4.
As ever, please drop us a line at feedback@always-back-winners.com with any questions….. and any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive today’s selection……just follow the UPGRADE link
Timeform for the meet is below as are members notes – we’ll be back before 10.00am in the morning with a look at the Saturday cards.
BOL (Best Of Luck!)
ABW Team
Today’s Selections
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Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Chester card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……
1.50 Crabbie’s Earl Grosvenor Handicap (2) 7f127y
Timeform Top Rated
124 11. GOSSIPING Gary Moore Shane Kelly
123+ 13. BARAWEEZ Brian Ellison Phil Dennis (3)
122 16. EXPLAIN Ruth Carr James Sullivan
Analyst’s Verdict:
Gossiping could be the one to side with in what looks a wide-open handicap. Judged on his latest effort at Newmarket where circumstances conspired against him, he appears to be coming back to the boil and this track should play to his strengths. Above The Rest goes well here and may emerge as the main danger, though Baraweez is also feared and Muntadab is another with appealing claims.
2.25 Homeserve Huxley Stakes (Group 2) (1) 1¼m70y
Timeform Top Rated
134 2. EMINENT Martyn Meade Oisin Murphy
132 6. WAR DECREE Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
131 3. FOREST RANGER Richard Fahey Tony Hamilton
Analyst’s Verdict:
On the face of it, War Decree has a fair bit to find with Eminent given that he was only sixth behind that rival in the Craven at Newmarket last spring. However, he has a fitness edge this time and, moreover, may prove more at home on this tight track than Martyn Meade’s charge. At the forecast prices, War Decree is the more appealing on value grounds, too. Forest Ranger is best of the rest.
3.00 Boodles Diamond Handicap (2) 1¼m70y
Timeform Top Rated
124 3. GULF OF POETS Michael Easterby Nathan Evans
120+ 12. PIVOINE Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy
119 2. DARK RED Ed Dunlop Ryan Moore
Analyst’s Verdict:
Drawn wide and too keen for his own good following a 7-month break, Pivoine’sreappearance at Newbury can be excused given his otherwise appealing profile. Indeed, he ended 2017 on an upward curve and, with just 8 runs under his belt, may have more to offer for new connections this year. Gulf of Poets arrives here at the top of his game and, along with Restorer and Dark Red, he has to be feared.
3.35 188Bet Chester Cup Handicap (2) 2¼m140y
Timeform Top Rated
123 15. DUBAWI FIFTY Karen McLintock Silvestre De Sousa
122 6. MAGIC CIRCLE Ian Williams Fran Berry
122 7. FUN MAC Hughie Morrison Oisin Murphy
Analyst’s Verdict:
This marathon trip could unlock improvement in Stargazer, who was progressive for Sir Michael Stoute in 2016 and has shown that his ability remains very much intact with a couple of solid efforts on the AW in March. Dubawi Fifty also has low mileage and is a big danger, along with the consistent Magic Circle. Had he been better drawn, Who Dares Wins would’ve been very high on the shortlist, too.
4.05 LDF Conditions Stakes (3) 5f15y
Timeform Top Rated
125 1. KACHY Tom Dascombe Richard Kingscote
121+ 5. GROWL Richard Fahey Paul Hanagan
120+ 3. DUKE OF FIRENZE David C. Griffiths David Allan
Analyst’s Verdict:
Despite being drawn widest of all, Kachy is taken to maintain his 100% record on the Roodee. Tom Dascombe’s charge has been in cracking form on the AW in recent months and is much the most likely winner given that Duke of Firenze is entitled to come on for the run, Double Up looks vulnerable on these terms and Growl appears to be at his best over 6f/7f.
4.40 YCO Apprentice Handicap (4) 1½m63y
Timeform Top Rated
100 3. RAINBOW REBEL Mark Johnston Andrew Breslin (7)
99+ 9. GABRIAL’S KING Richard Fahey Connor Murtagh (5)
98 4. CORTON LAD Keith Dalgleish Rowan Scott
Analyst’s Verdict:
Stepping back up in trip will suit Kazawi, who was doing all his best work at the finish when chasing home an in-form, race-fit rival at Kempton. This low-mileage 4-y-o should also get a strong pace to aim at this time and gets the nod ahead of Gabrial’s King, who resumes on an attractive mark. Course winner Rainbow Rebel has been in good form on the AW and is also high on the shortlist.
5.15 188Bet Chester Plate Handicap (2) 2¼m140y
Timeform Top Rated
110 1. BYRON FLYER Ian Williams David Egan (3)
110 12. COEUR DE LION Alan King William Carson
109 15. ANGEL GABRIAL Richard Fahey Paul Hanagan
Analyst’s Verdict:
Preference is for Eye of The Storm, who has resumed in good form for new connections this season and, with this stamina test expected to be right up his street, he is taken to reverse recent Ripon placings with Mirsaale. Coeur De Lion remains unexposed in this sphere and is a much-respected main danger, while American Gigolo, Euchen Glen and Night of Glory are others to consider.
Today’s Bets……..
Good luck if you’re going with our each-way selection today….
Chester 13.50 – ABOVE THE REST
BOL (Best Of Luck!)
ABW Team
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