Daily Newsletter – 14th April

Saturday – 14th April 2018

 

Final day of our ‘official’ NH campaign and it would be nice to sign off with a winner in the ‘pin the tail on the donkey’ Grand National and get that bank past 100% growth. Our two selections this week haven’t managed to place and we will put up two in the race for 0.625% EW bets to end the season.

There’s also one from our favourite, ‘Chepstow Heavy’  this afternoon at our regular stake who comes in off the back of wind surgery and looked good LTO.

Well be back on Monday morning with a quick update on the flat…..it will be quiet on that front until the beginning of May and it will be more a case of updating our ‘Trackers’ until we get something solid to get the ball rolling on our £1k to £10k quest, as we always say, it’s a marathon and not a sprint and our patience has been well rewarded these last three seasons 🙂

Our members selection’s are below and as ever, please drop us a line at feedback@always-back-winners.com with any questions.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Aintree card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.45 Gaskells Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (1) 3m149y

Timeform Top Rated:
156 7. DEBECE Tim Vaughan Alan Johns
155p 12. MR BIG SHOT David Pipe Tom Scudamore
154 15. CONNETABLE Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Debece has been absent since finishing a close-up third in the Grade 1 Sefton Novices’ Hurdle at this meeting a year ago, but that well-being worry aside, the handicapper has given him a major chance if he can return at that level. Dream Berry caught the eye in the Martin Pipe on his reappearance and could easily be the gamble of the race given his connections, with Mr Big Shot also of interest.

2.25 Betway Mersey Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (1) 2½m

Timeform Top Rated:
169p 4. BLACK OP Tom George Noel Fehily
167p 11. ON THE BLIND SIDE Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville
163 14. MOMELLA Dan Skelton Harry Skelton

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Black Op was no match for the mighty Samcro in the Ballymore at the Festival, but he stuck to his task very well (beating the rest comfortably) and a similar performance will make him very hard to beat. On The Blind Side is also a smashing prospect, and he arrives here fresh so has to be respected, while Momella and Chosen Path could surprise a few.

3.00 Doom Bar Maghull Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (1) 1m7f176y

Timeform Top Rated:
176p 4. PETIT MOUCHOIR Henry de Bromhead Davy Russell
165p 2. DIEGO DU CHARMIL Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
164p 6. LADY BUTTONS Philip Kirby Adam Nicol

Analyst’s Verdict:
Petit Mouchoir went off too hard when fading into third in the Arkle and is well worth another chance to show he can fully transfer his high-class hurdle form to fences. Lady Buttons has made a very positive start to her chase career and could be the one to follow Henry de Bromhead’s charge home ahead of Diego du Charmil.

3.40 Betway Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 3m210y

Timeform Top Rated:
168p 7. THOMAS PATRICK Tom Lacey Richard Johnson
167 4. ROCKLANDER Tom George A. P. Heskin
167 8. CASSE TETE Gary Moore Joshua Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Thomas Patrick has looked a natural over fences and remains one to keep on the right side after his ready success at Newbury. Fellow novices Rocklander and Ibis du Rheu both ran well in the Close Brothers handicap at the Cheltenham Festival last month and they head the dangers.

4.20 Ryanair Stayers Hurdle (Liverpool) (Grade 1) (1) 3m149y

Timeform Top Rated:
176 6. SAM SPINNER Jedd O’Keeffe Joe Colliver
175 3. L’AMI SERGE Nicky Henderson Aidan Coleman
173 11. WHOLESTONE Nigel Twiston-Davies Daryl Jacob

Analyst’s Verdict:
Not enough use was made of Sam Spinner‘s stamina in the Stayers’ at Cheltenham last month and he could be hard to reel in if given a more aggressive ride here. Wholestone was in front of the selection at Cheltenham and looks sure to give another good account. Lil Rockerfeller may prove best of the remainder.

5.15 Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 4¼m74y

Timeform Top Rated:
179 6. TOTAL RECALL W. P. Mullins P. Townend
177 3. ANIBALE FLY A. J. Martin Barry Geraghty
176+ 18. SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT Sandy Thomson Brian Hughes

Analyst’s Verdict:
The Cheltenham Gold Cup form looks key, with both Total Recall and Anibale Fly looking well-in on their efforts. Total Recall would likely have made the frame but for falling 3 out and has more to offer for Willie Mullins, who won this in 2005. He can land the spoils. Gold Cup third Anibale Fly should also come into his own over this longer trip. Shantou Flyer looks set for a big run as well.

6.20 Pinsent Masons Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys’ And Amateur Riders’) (2) 2m103y

Timeform Top Rated:
156 12. MAQUISARD Gary Moore Harry Teal (7)
155 10. WILLIAM OF ORANGE Donald McCain Ryan Day (3)
154 2. CHESTERFIELD Seamus Mullins Non Runner

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Plenty of unexposed types who are open to improvement, and Michael’s Mount and Scheu Time could be the pair to focus on, with the former narrowly preferred. Not That Fuisse can also improve on handicap debut following a 3-month break.