Daily Newsletter – 1st April

Sunday – 1st April 2018

 

No….it’s no ‘Fools Day’ from us, there’s not a lot of racing with low class fayre at the two NH meets and we’ll leave the Irish weekend to the likes of Declan  or Nicky at Betalchemist ………..we’ll get off to church to rejoice at our 2018 form that sets us up nicely for the Flat.

Amazingly we are not renown ‘Saturday tipper’s but our weekend selections since Christmas have yielded, 9 winners, 5 places and just 7 losers from 21 bets:

9 winners at advised prices…..Vado Forte 14/1; Wakanda 8/1; Kalashnikov 12/1;  Kelpies Myth 11/1; Jenny’s Surprise 8/1; Global Citizen 8/1; Sam’s Gunner 16/1, Thomas Patrick 5/1 and today……RON’S DREAM 15/2.

5 places – all at ‘wipes yer face’ ew prices, and

7 unplaced.

 

That’s makes nice reading as the NH is winding up for us and hopefully we’ll enjoy another tilt at our 3rd £1k to £10k in 4 years backing 1.25% EW of the variable bank.

There was a slight ‘faux pas’ in that our flat season kicks off in earnest on the 16th April following the GN, not the 9th…..and to re-iterate on the membership front, there’s still a few NH members who haven’t signed up for the flat – some have NH interest only and that’s understandable that has left a few ‘vacancies’.

There’s been a few takers on the discount coupon code ABW50% today, so anyone who maybe knows a friend who maybe interested, then there are just 14 places remaining that can be taken to get on as part of the membership at just over previous rates at £12.50/month.

Any of you NH only guys fancy a crack at the flat…..come and join us for the crack at the usual £1k to £10k target.

Back to Sunday affairs….

As we said, after church and playing the ‘Easter Bunny’ at a children’s party, we’ll keep an eye on Fairyhouse and Cork – speed ratings below for the former.

We’ll be back Monday for some more …Chepstow Heavy, Fakenham and what ever is left if the snow doesn’t kill it:)

Anyone looking to renew…or even join…..the link is

‘New Membership Packages’

 

Any q’s, as ever please drop us a line at feedback@always-back-winners.com with any questions or issues.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

 

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Fairyhouse card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.50 Ryans Cleaning Event Specialists Maiden Hurdle 2m

Timeform Top Rated:
122p 10. SAVANNAH STORM Gordon Elliott J. W. Kennedy
108 9. RIDEONASTAR Karl Thornton R. C. Colgan
100 3. FRED THE FOOT John McConnell Jonathan Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Savannah Storm has made a good start over hurdles in recent weeks and can go one better than at Navan with further improvement on the cards. Joseph O’Brien’s Uisce Beatha shaped promisingly in a Thurles bumper in November and is interesting now switching to hurdles, while his stablemate Whatchamacallit is a likely sort on paper.

2.20 Gleesons Butchers Novice Handicap Hurdle 2½m

Timeform Top Rated:
141 14. SHAR WHATS THERUSH D. Hassett D. E. Mullins
140 11. SPARKY STOWAWAY Thomas Mullins D. J. Mullins
138 13. GLOBAL FERT T. Gibney Jonathan Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Shar Whats Therush was in the process of giving a subsequent winner a real fight when coming down at the last at Punchestown in January and still looks on a good mark. Snugsborough was a good third at Leopardstown last time and should go well back from a short break, while Call A Cab likely has more to offer on the back of his Punchestown maiden win.

2.50 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Mares Novice Hurdle Championship Final (Grade 1) 2½m

Timeform Top Rated:
164p 7. LAURINA W. P. Mullins P. Townend
153p 12. WOOLSTONE ONE Emma Lavelle G. Sheehan
144 10. SALSARETTA W. P. Mullins M. P. Walsh

Analyst’s Verdict:
Laurina looked something out of the ordinary when destroying her field at Cheltenham, which included some of today’s opposition, and can’t be opposed. Woolstone One has progressed at a rate of knots for Emma Lavelle this winter and is the clear pick for the forecast spot.

3.20 Underwriting Exchange Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) 2½m

Timeform Top Rated:
164 2. DUC DES GENIEVRES W. P. Mullins P. Townend
162 1. BLOW BY BLOW Gordon Elliott J. W. Kennedy
162 8. SCARPETA W. P. Mullins D. E. Mullins

Analyst’s Verdict:
It’s likely that Duc des Genievres will come into his own when eventually tackling fences, but he clearly has a nice race in him over hurdles judged on efforts in Grade 1s at Naas, Leopardstown and, most recently, at the Cheltenham Festival. Blow By Blow, winner of the Martin Pipe at the Festival, is feared most ahead of the selection’s stablemate Scarpeta and likely improver Pallasator.

3.55 Boylesports Novice Handicap Chase (Grade B) 2m150y

Timeform Top Rated:
158 2. BON PAPA W. P. Mullins M. P. Walsh
155p 4. BLAZER W. P. Mullins J. S. McGarvey
155p 5. PATRICKS PARK W. P. Mullins P. Townend

Analyst’s Verdict:
Willie Mullins fields a trio of live contenders, with Patricks Park potentially the pick of them on the back of his victory in a valuable Leopardstown handicap. That form looks solid and a 10 lb rise may not be enough to anchor him with the promise of even better to come. Stablemates Blazer and Bon Papa can complete a 1-2-3 for the Mullins yard, while the in-form Crosshue Boy best of the rest.

4.30 Ryanair Gold Cup Novice Chase (Grade 1) 2½m

Timeform Top Rated:
172p 9. SHATTERED LOVE Gordon Elliott J. W. Kennedy
166 1. AL BOUM PHOTO W. P. Mullins D. J. Mullins
165p 2. INVITATION ONLY W. P. Mullins P. Townend

Analyst’s Verdict:
A show of strength, with messers Elliott and Mullins the only two trainers represented in the 9-strong field. Shattered Love became the first mare to win a Cheltenham Festival novice chase in 23 years when landing the JLT and, with the promise of even better to come, she’ll prove hard to beat. Invitation Only, pulled up in the JLT after a bad mistake 4 out, and Al Boum Photo are the main dangers.

5.05 Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper 2m

Timeform Top Rated:
114p 17. BLACK TEARS Gordon Elliott Ms Lisa O’Neill (3)
111p 13. SIZING POTTSIE Mrs J. Harrington Miss K. Harrington (3)
108p 16. WHOSHOTTHESHERIFF Gordon Elliott Mr J. J. Codd

Analyst’s Verdict:
Black Tears is open to progress on the back of her recent Cork success and is narrowly preferred to Jessie Harrington’s Leopardstown scorer Sizing Pottsie, although strong market support for one or more of the many well-bred newcomers would put a slightly different slant on things.

Like we said earlier in the week, we will not be covering the Irish Easter scene so if you want a few additional sniffs over the weekend, as ever we would recommend Declan as the man in the know

 

Declan has years of experience ….. and historically his big tipping claim to fame is that he had the first five winners – from six races – on the opening day at Cheltenham in 2000 which made front and back page news. He also tipped two 20/1 Galway Plate winners in three years, and the Powers Gold Cup on Easter Sunday – now the Ryanair Gold Cup – has also been very lucky for him with Jadanli 25/1 and One Cool Cookie 12/1 winners which immediately spring to mind.

 

Over this Easter weekend both Cork and Fairyhouse host these highlights of the Irish sporting calendar

The Cork Easter Festival runs from Saturday 31st March – Monday 2nd April and the Fairyhouse Festival which includes the Irish Grand National runs from Sunday 1st April – Tuesday 3rd April 2018.

Declan anticipates plenty of very high quality selections over the 4 days and has agreed to share his best bets with a maximum of 200 of our readers on a first come first served basis. So if you’re looking for some first class tipping make sure you act fast and join us for what promises to be a spectacular Easter weekend!

Check Declan out …HERE….or the banner below.