Saturday – 24th March 2018

 

Morning Guys & Gals…..whoops….maybe that saying should be confined to a sordid Room 101, being one that came from JS’s lips!

Let’s just get a few things out of the way early…….

Membership things…..

Website should go live overnight Sunday/ Monday and then as members you can see things without the hassle of daily emails – it should look the same and you should get a daily ‘notification email’  as soon as we put up any new content.

If you don’t get an email notification obviously we want to know – it may end up in spam initially as it will have a new ’email provider address, so have a look around in there. However, the blog posts will be visible once signed in.

It’s last chance up untli midnight tomorrow for the remaining few NH package guys whose NH package ends next week after the GN Meeting ….so don’t forget to get signed up ant the existing rates – linked page at the bottom. If you receive an ‘INTERNAL ERROR’ just hit your refresh page button and it should link to the page – those errors are just typical of the old website plug ins being out of date or incompatible and the website theme being no longer supported – hence the reason for the new fresher site you should see on Monday….fingers crossed 🙂

Finally, if we have any budding scribes out there who wish to publish an article or some any ante-post thoughts, controversial topic, system reviews or basically anything you consider of interest to the membership, please get in touch and we can’t see nay reason we wouldn’t publish unless high treason is proposed…..gamble high treason’s excepted 🙂

Please drop us a line at feedback@always-back-winners.com with any questions if still unclear.

Back to Today….

Hopefully we can press on through to the end of the NH and maintain the post Christmas form and profitable season of sorts?

However, the flat is back and we look forward to another roller coaster season and look to replicate a £1k to £10k that we have achieved in 2 of the last 3 seasons.

Very early for us yet and the bets will be sporadic to kick off with, although we will be keeping an eye on our previously ‘connectioned’ stables such as Keith Dalgleish, Kevin Ryan, Jedd O’Keeffe etc….of those KD has high hopes today for WHAT’S THE STORY who has been very lightly campaigned so far, but has already a couple of big handicap field wins already, including a course win over 7f. The Newcastle spin should have him ready and with Ryan Moore up top looks a solid ‘wipes yer face’ bet in the 14.25. He’s up against another in our tracker Sir Roderic who disappointed a tad last term after doing the business the season prior – his weight is dropping and maybe one to note later from the Brian Millman yard

It would be rude not to have a look at the Lincoln for a small interest and that’s covered below

We’ll post tomorrow if anything for the NH at Carlisle

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Today’s Selections

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Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Newbury

 card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.05 Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase (3) 3m1f214y

Timeform Top Rated:
154p 6. THOMAS PATRICK Tom Lacey Richard Johnson
153 5. AMORE ALATO Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
152 1. WOTZIZNAME Harry Fry Noel Fehily

Analyst’s Verdict:
Amore Alato looks on a good mark back in a handicap on debut for Dan Skelton and gets the vote over Thomas Patrick, who remains with potential having found the test too much when behind Dawson City at Exeter last time. Shanroe Santos arrives at the top of his game and is another to consider.

2.40 Be Wiser Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (2) 2¼m183y

Timeform Top Rated:
137p 5. FALCON SUN Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
136+ 2. OISTRAKH LE NOIR Ben Pauling Daryl Jacob
135 3. MISTER CHOW Gary Moore Joshua Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Falcon Sun wasn’t seen to best effect when beaten by Mister Chow at Warwick, and he rates an interesting prospect for handicaps, especially now upped in trip with a first-time tongue tie to boot. Oistrakh Le Noir should have more to offer, while Mister Chow is worth another chance given his earlier promise.

3.15 EBF & TBA Mares’ “National Hunt” Novices’ Hurdle Finale (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (1) 2½m118y

Timeform Top Rated:
144p 11. OSCAR ROSE Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan
143 1. MIDNIGHT TUNE Anthony Honeyball Aidan Coleman
142 3. IF YOU SAY RUN Paul Nicholls Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict:
Most of these mares are open to progress, but Oscar Rose surely has a bigger performance in her over hurdles given her bumper ability, and with this big-field scenario expected to suit, she could be the answer. Kalahari Queen is going the right way and is a definite threat, while Lady of Lamanver has unfinished business in this race (demoted in 2016).

3.50 Doom Bar Handicap Chase (2) 2m3f187y

Timeform Top Rated:
163 3. VIRGILIO Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
162 4. SAMETEGAL Paul Nicholls Sam Twiston-Davies
161+ 1. SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT Sandy Thomson Danny Cook

Analyst’s Verdict:
Sametegal has shaped as if retaining all of his ability following a lengthy spell on the sidelines this term, and possibly found his stamina stretched over 3m at Sandown on his most recent outing. This rates more suitable and he could be worth chancing to bounce back. Virgilio and Kayf Adventure can give him most to do, in that order.

4.25 John Haine Memorial Novices’ Hurdle (4) 2m69y

Timeform Top Rated:
145p 1. PACIFIC DE BAUNE Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville
132 2. ARTICLE FIFTY Warren Greatrex Richard Johnson
129p 5. ANTUNES Dan Skelton Harry Skelton

Analyst’s Verdict:
Pacific de Baune was well held at Grade 2 level on his most recent outing, yet his C&D hurdles debut victory previously contained a good deal of promise and he is worth another chance reverting back to calmer waters. A number of intriguing sorts line up in opposition though, headed by Antunes and Kloud Gate.

5.00 Goffs UK Spring Sales Bumper (Standard Open National Hunt Flat) (2) 2m69y

Timeform Top Rated:
120 2. CARIBERT Harry Fry Noel Fehily
112p 1. BENNY’S BRIDGE Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan
111+ 3. BRIGADE OF GUARDS Alan King Wayne Hutchinson

Analyst’s Verdict:
Jen’s Boy makes plenty of appeal on paper and is taken to make a winning start at the main expense of penalised-winners Caribert and Benny’s Bridge.

5.35 Sharps Brewery Rock Handicap Chase (3) 2m92y

Timeform Top Rated:
142 2. MYSTIFIABLE Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan
141p 6. GET RHYTHM Tom George A. P. Heskin
140 4. BIG JIM Alex Hales Kielan Woods

Analyst’s Verdict:
Mystifiable has the form in the book to win this if he handles the drop back in trip and at the prices he looks the one to be on here. Get Rhythm looks interesting as well and won’t be far away at the finish leaving Imperial Presence and Big Jim to fight it out over third spot.

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1 Comment
  1. A nice 5/1 winner with THOMAS PATRICK …..BOOOOOM!

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