Saturday – 31st March 2018

 

Nothing to report on with no selections yesterday and so it’s just a thank you for your patience and considerate emails on what has been a very traumatic week with a death in the family in conjunction with the half expected gremlins on launching the new way of communications.Technology isn’t that smart is it- as many of you found problems in what should be a simple sign in process LOL!!

Back to Today….

Carlisle and Haydock today with speed ratings for the latter of those – let’s look to keep our post Christmas run going with healthy profits from our selections. Michael Scudamore has one we backed for a winner LTO in Two Smokin Barrels and he should still be competitive with a small increase on his back in the 17.00 at Haydock – however he has yet to win above C3 and looking at the card, there’s another one we prefer the chances of and we’ll be on that one in the write up below.

Another one we like the look of at ‘wipes yer face’ prices and one we tried to back when going a non-runner from our newsletter of 7th Feb was Lamanver Odyssey who came out a couple of weeks later and was runner up. We didn’t advise that day based on price but should be thereabouts today at a slightly better price of around 11/2 in the 15.50 at Haydock in a race the stable won last year.

Members full selections are below and as ever, please drop us a line at feedback@always-back-winners.com with any questions or issues.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Today’s Selections

Members Content Start

Carlisle 16.00

Donald McCain takes the ‘lightly raced this season’, VOLCANIC up as the most solid looking of his two declarations today, both going with Brian Hughes up top.  Hughes is Carlisle’s leading jump jockey of 2017/18 and notched a double at the course last Sunday.

He’s well proven here and a consistent type  who ran well at Market Rasen LTO and thought it’s a slight step up in trip, has finished 3rd in all ventures at 3 mile plus so reasonable to expect a showing with a ‘wipes yer face’ proposition at a best 5/1 across the board.

Haydock 17.00

As mentioned above, Michael Scudamore’s Two Smokin Barrels gave us a nice winner LTO and can still be effective but is yet to win above C3 and is closely matched with Tara Mist to that account.

Another to win out of C3 is Song Saa who only looks to go well in small fields and we are drawn more to Peter Bowen’s former mid 140’s hurdler RON’S DREAM who is the only ‘class’ winner in the field and could still be well in with a chase rating of 130.

Last year she ran 8th against Apple’s Jade at the festival and despite the recent rain, Haydock isn’t going any worse than the soft ground she enjoys. She’s been a model of consistency and was only outpaced last week on the run in by Don McCain’s Same Circus conceding a bundle of weight.

In an 12 runner where some of the supposed ‘class horses’ at the top of the handicap not doing it in this grade we’ll take the best 15/2 with Betfair for a Tap Tap Boom to hopefully end the afternoon

 

Members Content End

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Haydock card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.05 Smarkets Challenger Middle Distance Series Final Handicap Chase (2) 2m3f203y

Timeform Top Rated:
150p 2. CREEP DESBOIS Ben Pauling Daryl Jacob
148 1. CRIEVEHILL Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
148§ 3. ORBASA Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden

Analyst’s Verdict:
The Ben Pauling-trained Creep Desbois has taken very well to fences and there’s a good chance he has more to offer. Crievehill is another young chaser on the up and may provide the main threat, while Orbasa is largely consistent and has each-way claims again.

2.40 Smarkets Challenger Two Mile Series Final Handicap Hurdle (2) 1m7f144y

Timeform Top Rated:
151 6. WOLFCATCHER Ian Williams Tom O’Brien
149 9. SPECTATOR Tim Vaughan Alan Johns
148 8. WILLIAM OF ORANGE Donald McCain Lorcan Murtagh (5)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Wolfcatcher has given a couple of indications lately that he’s found his form for the Ian Williams yard, notably last month’s Kempton third, and he’s worth siding with off what is a good mark based on his best form. Spectator has gone the right way over hurdles since switched to handicaps and merits respect, while Holryale is a lightly-raced sort with the potential for better back from a break.

3.15 Smarkets Challenger Staying Series Final Handicap Chase (2) 3m1f125y

Timeform Top Rated:
157 1. DELUSIONOFGRANDEUR Sue Smith Danny Cook
154 9. SHANROE IN MILAN Charlie Longsdon Paul O’Brien (5)
154x 3. POTTERS LEGEND Lucy Wadham Aidan Coleman

Analyst’s Verdict:
Delusionofgrandeur continues in fine form and could defy top-weight to land this big prize for Sue Smith. Uttoxeter-winner Behind Time is a big danger, while Shanroe In Milan was also successful last time and comes firmly into the equation.

3.50 Smarkets Challenger Mares’ Series Final Handicap Hurdle (2) 2¼m191y

Timeform Top Rated:
144 11. WHATSTHATALLABOUT Neil Mulholland Tom Scudamore
143 7. ALL MY LOVE Pam Sly Kielan Woods
142 8. THE DELRAY MUNKY Iain Jardine Mr Bruce Lynn (7)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Another wide-open heat. Lamanver Odyssey bumped into an improver when runner-up at Exeter last month and gets the vote to provide Harry Fry with a second successive win in this race but there are any number of dangers, headed by The Delray Munky, who hasn’t looked back since fitted with cheekpieces, and the Alan King pair Peggies Venture and Awesome Rosie.

4.25 Smarkets Challenger Stayers Series Final Handicap Hurdle (2) 2¾m177y

Timeform Top Rated:
151 15. FINGERONTHESWITCH Neil Mulholland Harry Reed (5)
150 11. SOUTHFIELD ROYALE Neil Mulholland Tom Scudamore
149 14. EARLY RETIREMENT Caroline Bailey Aidan Coleman

Analyst’s Verdict:
Plenty with solid credentials in an ultra-competitive heat. Stuart Edmunds has a couple of interesting contenders in Classic Ben and Clondaw Native, who interestingly both sport cheekpieces for the first time. The former is seemingly the choice of Ciaran Gethings and is selected to build on a good handicap debut second. Red Rising, Planet Nine and Hatchet Jack head a long list of dangers.

5.00 Smarkets Challenger Series Mares’ Final Handicap Chase (2) 2¾m54y

Timeform Top Rated:
145 6. TIMEFORWEST Jonjo O’Neill Aidan Coleman
144 2. RONS DREAM Peter Bowen Sean Bowen
143 4. TARA MIST Henry Daly Tom O’Brien

Analyst’s Verdict:
A tricky mares’ handicap chase that could go to Timeforwest if she’s in the same form as when impressively winning at Warwick 3 weeks ago. Song Saa and the likeable Sheneededtherun are a couple of the other more likely ones.

5.35 Smarkets Tim Molony Handicap Chase (3) 3½m97y

Timeform Top Rated:
142§ 9. TALK OF THE SOUTH Paul Henderson Paddy Brennan
141x 2. MUCKLE ROE Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
137 4. KILCULLEN FLEM Philip Kirby Adam Nicol

Analyst’s Verdict:
Nigel Twiston-Davies has enjoyed plenty of success at this meeting and Muckle Roe could give supporters a good run for their money after a fine second behind Talk of The South at Warwick last time. Streets of Promise and Kilcullen Flem are a couple of others to consider.

Today’s Bets……..

Good luck if you’re going with your each-way selections today….

 

Carlisle 16.00 – Volcanic

Haydock 17.00 – Ron’s Dream

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Visit Easter Irish Racing Special 2018

Like we said earlier in the week, we will not be covering the Irish Easter scene so if you want a few additional sniffs over the weekend, as ever we would recommend Declan as the man in the know

 

Declan has years of experience ….. and historically his big tipping claim to fame is that he had the first five winners – from six races – on the opening day at Cheltenham in 2000 which made front and back page news. He also tipped two 20/1 Galway Plate winners in three years, and the Powers Gold Cup on Easter Sunday – now the Ryanair Gold Cup – has also been very lucky for him with Jadanli 25/1 and One Cool Cookie 12/1 winners which immediately spring to mind.

 

Over this Easter weekend both Cork and Fairyhouse host these highlights of the Irish sporting calendar

The Cork Easter Festival runs from Saturday 31st March – Monday 2nd April and the Fairyhouse Festival which includes the Irish Grand National runs from Sunday 1st April – Tuesday 3rd April 2018.

Declan anticipates plenty of very high quality selections over the 4 days and has agreed to share his best bets with a maximum of 200 of our readers on a first come first served basis. So if you’re looking for some first class tipping make sure you act fast and join us for what promises to be a spectacular Easter weekend!

Check Declan out …HERE….or the banner below.

Visit Easter Irish Racing Special 2018

3 Comments
  1. EVERYTHING A OK NOW !!! FABULOUS NEW WEBSITE, CONGRATS ON A SUPERB DESIGN………….. NOW LOOK FORWARD TO A LONG AND PROFITABLE ASSOCIATION WITH ABW !!!

    mike wigham

  2. Booom Ron’s 4/1 ta

  3. BOOOM…..RONS DREAM….Another winning Saturday……2 6/1 winners from just 5 selections this week with another ‘wipes yer face’ place.

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.