Friday – 14th December 2018

 

Day 1 of The International Meeting at Cheltenham is today’s featured Timeform racecard below. There’s supporting meets at Bangor and Doncaster to go at in terms our lower grade targets. Yesterday we had no joy with either of our selections and perhaps the fate was known beforehand with both drifting significantly before the off 🙁

Amazingly Donny offers nothing for the watchers with just 30 horses to press entered up in their 7 race programme. Bangor offers little better with a whole hos of 2 paying place races. In the (12.25) our first NH selection of the season, Bajardo is back out – however looks to have it all to do not having looked remotely likely to win for us and upped in class today. Knockamona looks one for the lumpers in this at around 5/2. He won this last year and ran a solid race at Wetherby LTO….perhaps only the ground will beat him today if it continues to dry out for this confirmed mudlark?

In the (13.00), Same Circus offers wipes yer face EW value – despite being a C&D winner is prone to the odd error that scuppers his chances and Bangor’s are quite stiff. With an error free round should be thereabouts at 11/2 but just a seven runner 🙁

The only race at Cheltenham where we can pitch in is the C3 (13.55) and we’ll make a play in that one below for members.

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….we’ve now over a 36% win/place strike rate with an ROI of nearly 7%…..our bank is now £1037.419 and current stakes are now £12.97 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Today’s Selections

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Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Cheltenham card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

12.10 British Stallion Studs EBF ‘National Hunt’ Novices’ Hurdle (Qualifier) (3) 2m179y

Timeform Top Rated
143 1. ELIXIR DE NUTZ Colin Tizzard Harry Cobden
137p 4. JARVEYS PLATE Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan
120 6. TRICKS AND TRAILS Alan Jones Brendan Powell

Analyst’s Verdict:
Angels Breath created a big impression when landing an Irish point and has all the credentials to make a smart novice hurdler this term, well bred and in excellent hands, so he can get the better of Jarveys Plate and Elixir de Nutz, the latter shouldering a penalty for his all-the-way success here recently.

12.45 Neville Lumb Novices’ Chase (2) 3m1f56y

Timeform Top Rated
161p 3. THE WORLDS END Tom George A. P. Heskin
160p 2. LIL ROCKERFELLER Neil King Wayne Hutchinson
159p 4. GUNFLEET Emma Lavelle Leighton Aspell

Analyst’s Verdict: 
The Worlds End found Ibis du Rheu too strong at the November meeting here but meets Paul Nicholls’ charge on 8 lb better terms this time and is worth another chance as his previous Chepstow success suggested he could take high rank among the staying novice chasers this term. Lil Rockerfeller jumped better in the cheekpieces last time and could be the one to give him most to do.

1.20 Catesby Handicap Hurdle (3) 2m179y

Timeform Top Rated
149 4. SMAOINEAMH ALAINN Robert Walford Daryl Jacob
148 10. JAM SESSION Ian Williams Robert Dunne
147 1. A HARE BREATH Ben Pauling Nico de Boinville

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Smaoineamh Alainn has been given a real chance by the assessor and can repeat her win in this race last year from just 2 lb higher. Al Dancer and Jam Session are a couple of unexposed sorts to keep an eye on, though.

1.55 CF Roberts Electrical & Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (3) 2½m127y

Timeform Top Rated
138 2. THE BAY BIRCH Matt Sheppard Stan Sheppard (3)
137 10. SILENT STEPS Neil King Bryony Frost
135? 6. SONG SAA Tom George Mr Noel George (7)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
The Bay Birch arguably would have won if asked for her effort sooner when runner-up to Midnight Target in a listed mares novice handicap over C&D in April and tops the shortlist ahead of her rival after a back-to-form third at Newbury. Silent Steps has wisely been turned out under a penalty after her easy win in this headgear at Southwell and holds obvious claims if able to reproduce that.

2.30 CF Roberts 25 Years of Sponsorship Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 3¼m

Timeform Top Rated
165 8. THEATRE TERRITORY Warren Greatrex Mr Sam Waley-Cohen (3)
164+ 7. KERROW Alan King Wayne Hutchinson
164 3. SINGLEFARMPAYMENT Tom George Noel Fehily

Analyst’s Verdict:
Theatre Territory gave a very good account of herself from the front when runner-up in a 3m novice at this track last month and the assessor has given her every chance leaving her mark unchanged back in a handicap. At the other end of the weights, Rock The Kasbah enhanced an already-impressive strike rate here last month and is feared most, ahead of Coo Star Sivola.

3.05 Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase (2) 3¾m37y

Timeform Top Rated
172 9. AMAZING COMEDY David Cottin Felix de Giles
166+ 10. MY HOMETOWN Enda Bolger Niall Madden
160 2. BALLYCASEY W. P. Mullins Mr P. W. Mullins

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Amazing Comedy’s sole previous visit here resulted in an excellent fifth at the 2017 Festival and he’s well handicapped on that form. A recent Compiegne success shows he arrives in good form and he’s preferred to last month’s C&D 1-2 Josies Orders and Fact of The Matter. The other Enda Bolger runner My Hometown also makes the shortlist.

3.40 Citipost Handicap Hurdle (2) 2m7f213y

Timeform Top Rated
148 5. SIZING GRANITE Colin Tizzard Robbie Power
147 10. BUYWISE Evan Williams Miss Isabel Williams (7)
145p 12. WORTHY FARM Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Worthy Farm continued the theme of race-by-race progress when opening his hurdles account at Taunton late last month, value for more than the winning margin with his prevailing inexperience almost catching him out. He remains with a good deal of untapped potential and earns the vote. Irish raider Great Trango looks solid and is feared, ahead of Aaron Lad.

 

Football winner

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