Trainers Quotes

Friday – 17th August 2018

 

It could have been better than the 4th place for our selection, Oriental Splendour yesterday who didn’t get the clearest of runs and was fairly closing them down at the finish and we’ll look to where he goes next.

There’s a couple of handicaps at Nottingham this afternoon where perhaps the pick in value is Scott Dixon’s Socialites Red in the (14.00) – he’s a multiple C&D winner, close to a winning mark and the outsider of the pack at 18’s looks a little big and perhaps worth a small nibble. However we’re of to HQ for our sole play of the day….and the very last race of the evening.

Timeform is for the Newbury meet where Island of Life in the (16.00) looks one for you lumpers

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….our bank has NOW grown by over 120% to nearly £2.2k with an ROI of over 25%….current stakes are now £27.95 EW.

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BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Today’s Selections

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Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Newbury card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.20 Don Deadman Memorial EBF Maiden Stakes (4) (D.I) 7f

Timeform Top Rated 
93p 4. CLOAK AND DAGGER Clive Cox Adam Kirby
90p 6. FOX POWER Richard Hannon Ryan Moore
77 11. THE GREAT PHOENIX Brendan Powell Martin Dwyer

Analyst’s Verdict:
Fox Power was strong in the betting and ultimately shaped with a good deal of promise on debut at Goodwood 2 weeks ago, getting the hang of things late on to take third. He looks sure to improve for that initial experience and can make it second time lucky. Cloak and Dagger comfortably rates the chief threat, particularly judged on his Haydock second. Cap Francais appeals most of the newcomers.

1.50 Don Deadman Memorial EBF Maiden Stakes (4) (D.II) 7f

Timeform Top Rated
81p 10. SHEILA’S SHOWCASE Denis Coakley Charles Bishop
78p 5. FOX PREMIER Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy
61 6. GINGER FOX Richard Hannon Ryan Moore

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Though by Sea The Stars, Boerhan has enough speed and precocity on the dam’s side of his pedigree to think he can deal with this test at the first attempt so, as an expensive yearling in excellent hands, he boasts strong claims of making a winning start in what looks a potentially informative maiden. Desirous also makes appeal on pedigree and Fox Premier is the pick of those with form.

2.25 Christopher Smith Associates Handicap (4) 1m

Timeform Top Rated 
91 1. ENIGMATIC Alan Bailey Joshua Bryan (3)
90 6. KEEPER’S CHOICE Denis Coakley Oisin Murphy
89 8. SIR RODERIC Rod Millman Adam Kirby

Analyst’s Verdict:
Game Player should have come on for his Lingfield reappearance when second to Exec Chef, and it would be no surprise to see him improve past that one now handicapping. The big danger is Blistering Bob, who won in good style on his handicap bow at Windsor. Keeper’s Choice is another to note.

2.55 Big Group Insight Handicap (3) 1m5f61y

Timeform Top Rated 
103p 6. SKY EAGLE Ed Walker Gerald Mosse
102 3. CLIFFS OF DOVER Paul Nicholls Megan Nicholls (5)
100 4. ARAB MOON William Knight Andrea Atzeni

Analyst’s Verdict:
Sky Eagle remains a horse to follow, a massive 4-y-o who will only get better with time, and who will be much better suited by this track than Goodwood. The improving Saroog is another to keep onside, while Cliffs of Dover will be a big player if allowed his own way in front again.

3.30 Byerley Stud Stakes (St Hugh’s) (Listed) (1) 5f34y

Timeform Top Rated
111 8. LETHAL PROMISE W. McCreery William James Lee
110 4. COME ON LEICESTER Richard Hannon Ryan Moore
109p 11. SCINTILATING Ralph Beckett Harry Bentley

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Lethal Promise was far from disgraced in a Group 3 at the Curragh last time and the return to 5f can see her resume winning ways back down in class. Of her rivals, Swiss Air, Heartwarming and Scintilating appeal as having the most potential and are feared most.

4.00 New Amsterdam Vodka Handicap (4) 5f34y

Timeform Top Rated
101 4. ISLAND OF LIFE William Haggas James Doyle
100 1. FOXY FOREVER Michael Wigham John Egan
99 3. MOUNTAIN PEAK Ed Walker Gerald Mosse

Analyst’s Verdict:
Island of Life, like a few of his main rivals, would be scuppered if they went no pace here, but she’s the one to beat aside from that, on the up and shaping as if ready to defy her current mark under the right circumstances. Foxy Forever is on a good mark and Jashma will provide a big danger if breaking on terms.

4.35 John Smith Lifetime In Racing British EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (4) 6f

Timeform Top Rated 
98p 1. ALHAKMAH Richard Hannon Ryan Moore
96 9. YOURTIMEISNOW Roger Varian Andrea Atzeni
85 6. MUNAAJAAT Brian Meehan Martin Dwyer

Analyst’s Verdict:
Alhakmah is a half-sister to several winners, and she won’t be long scoring herself judged on her excellent second from an unpromising position at Goodwood a fortnight ago. Yourtimeisnow and Munaajaat were both behind the selection that day, so newcomers Heritage and Stay Forever may give her most to do.

5.10 Mobile Pimm’s Bars Apprentice Handicap (5) 1m1f

Timeform Top Rated
84p 5. HELLOVAQUEEN Richard Hughes Stephen Cummins (5)
83 1. ABEL TASMAN Ed Walker Harry Burns (3)
83 4. BRISTOL MISSILE Richard Price Jonathan Fisher (5)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
No surprise were 3-y-os Hellovaqueen and Warmhearted to fight this out, with clear preference for the former given she was value for extra when making a successful stable debut last month and she may have ever more to offer over this trip. Abel Tasman may emerge as best of the older brigade.

2 Comments
  1. If it is any help to all subscribers, I got 3.96 BSP on Oriental Splendour in the place market and the exchange paid 4 places despite the non runners. I often use this method when there are 16 + runners and also 8/9 runners so that 3rd and 4th places still pay out.

  2. Good point Doug- it certainly helps at the prices we back at. We often get asked to quote our strike rate which is open to debate. Our win strike rate is around 10% but bringing in those 3rd and 4th places shows well over 40% and why we generate a decent ROI in the long term despite the expected losing runs.

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