Friday Newsletter – 24th August 2018

Friday – 24th August 2018

 

Penultimate day of the Ebor and as far as we are concerned the only handicap of potential interest would be the (13.55) Sky Bet Handicap (Class 2) where three who have been on the radar go. Reshoun is an ex-Alain de Royer-Dupré import who ran really well on final start at Donny last term. He looked to be set to continue that progress on opener at HQ but has regressed since……..they reach for the cheekpieces today in a bid to sort him out and Jim Crowley rides who has done so on his 3 eye catching appearances. The other being Never Surrender who ran well in the Dubai Millennium from a poor draw and not sure how we managed to miss him when popping up in a C5 LTO at Epsom. However, preference would be for the Michael Dods trained Mister Belvedere who looks on an upward spiral and talented claimer Paula Muir up top….at around 20’s the one we would consider for a small EW if wanting a nibble?

Elsewhere, at Salisbury, Mark Johnston will be getting more ‘back patting’ as Arctic Sound goes in the (18.55) at just below our 5’s – he looks a solid proposition in just a 6 runner and where Franny Norton skips York where one would have thought he could have ridden the 3yo Aquarium in the last (17.50) who also looks a live EW chance.

Members notes are below……

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….our bank has NOW grown by over 150% to over £2.5k with an ROI of over 25%….current stakes are now £30.50 EW.

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the York card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.55 Sky Bet Handicap (2) 1m3f188y

Timeform Top Rated:
117 2. FIRST NATION Charlie Appleby William Buick
116 10. RESHOUN Ian Williams Jim Crowley
116 13. MUKHAYYAM Tim Easterby David Allan

Analyst’s Verdict:
First Nation arrives here much fresher than the majority of these and can build on an encouraging return at Ascot and show he’s a middle-distance performer still very much heading in the right direction. Melting Dew is at the top of his game and should go well again, while Mukhayyam has a fine record here and is ideally drawn for a front-runner. Caliburn and Titus are also shortlisted.

2.25 Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup Stakes (Group 2) (1) 2m56y

Timeform Top Rated:
134 1. STRADIVARIUS John Gosden Frankie Dettori
131 3. DESERT SKYLINE David Elsworth William Buick
129 4. IDAHO Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
It’s difficult to look beyond Stradivarius, who underlined his status as the best stayer in the business when landing the Goodwood Cup last time. John Gosden’s charge should have little trouble in adding this prize to his Cup-race haul and, in the process, collect the new £1m stayers’ bonus. The admirable Red Verdon gets the nod for forecast purposes ahead of Desert Skyline and Idaho.

3.00 Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (1) 6f

Timeform Top Rated:
120 9. THE IRISH ROVER Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
119 6. SHINE SO BRIGHT Andrew Balding William Buick
116p 1. CHUCK WILLIS Charles Hills Callum Shepherd

Analyst’s Verdict:
Space Traveller looked potentially smart when landing a couple of minor events last month and can take this step up in class in his stride. Richard Fahey’s charge may have most to fear from Emaraaty Ana, who was behind Chuck Willis at Newbury but still looked green on that occasion and should be more street-wise this time. The Irish Rover and Shine So Bright are others to consider.

3.35 Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (1) 5f

Timeform Top Rated:
139 2. BATTAASH Charles Hills Jim Crowley
132 3. BLUE POINT Charlie Appleby William Buick
127 4. CASPIAN PRINCE Michael Appleby Ben Curtis

Analyst’s Verdict:
Providing he remains calm during the preliminaries, Battaash can exact revenge on his Royal Ascot conqueror Blue Point and, in the process, banish memories of his defeat in this contest last year when his pre-race antics proved costly. So impressive at Goodwood 3 weeks ago, Battaash will simply be too hot to handle if he puts his best foot forward. Blue Point and Mabs Cross can fill the places.

4.15 British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (2) 7f

Timeform Top Rated:
104p 3. BEAT LE BON Richard Hannon Ryan Moore
102p 10. SKY DEFENDER Mark Johnston William Buick
94p 2. BARYS Archie Watson Hollie Doyle

Analyst’s Verdict:
The two that stand out are Beat Le Bon and Sky Defender, both of whom shaped with considerable promise on their respective debuts and hold Grouprace entries. Preference is for the former, who pulled well clear of the rest when going close in a big-field minor event at Newbury. Indomitable and Barys are eachway contenders and newcomer George Mallory needs a second look in the betting.

4.50 Nationwide Accident Repair Services Handicap (2) 7f192y

Timeform Top Rated:
116p 9. URBAN ASPECT Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy
115p 15. BORODIN Richard Fahey Paul Hanagan
115 7. ZAP Richard Fahey Tony Hamilton

Analyst’s Verdict:
A highly competitive finale. Borodin surely has more to come and gets the nod for the Richard Fahey team but Urban Aspect and Mystic Flight also look highly progressive, while the likes of Crack On Crack On, Ulshaw Bridge and Corrosive are already proven in these bigfield handicaps.