Friday Newsletter – 25th January 2019

 

Presenting Percy laid out his Cheltenham preparations yesterday with a seasonal win over hurdles in the John Mulhern Galmoy Hurdle. On the back of that he became an even warmer favourite for the Magners Gold Cup – cut from 4/1 to 3/1 favourite across the board.

Pat Kelly’s charge, who was an impressive winner of last years RSA, headed home Killultagh Vic who also holds and entry…. …and did not appear to be doing any more than he had to.

Back to today with confirmed racing at Donny & Huntingdon….the Donny card is the featured Timeform but is a generally decimated card in terms of runners. Our only tracker out there is Forest Bihan who goes in the (13.55).  He is well weighted and a definite talent, though sometimes goes awry at the business end an showed that on last run when 3rd to Cracking Find back in re-opposition.

However he does hold the ace here in terms of C&D experience and with Brian Ellison’s yard in good form the 4lb pull he gets with that one should prove useful for Danny Cook down the Town Moor’s long run in.

Another of note that we mentioned yesterday was Miss Amelia who was a big 16/1 price for the Wetherby meet yesterday – however Mark Walford’s charge is just 5/2 in the (15.35) – sandwiched in between that Jedd’s Groveman is the only winner in the line up for the (15.05) and stayed on really well at Catterick LTO and another who should find the long run in to his liking?

So that’s all lumpers at Donny and we’ll concentrate on Huntingdon to look at value for our members picks today 🙂

 

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….we’re at a 35% win/place strike rate …..our bank is now £795.67 and current stakes are now £9.95 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Today’s Selections

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Betfair tap tap boom

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Doncaster card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

 

 

12.50 Sky Bet Britain’s Most Popular Online Bookmaker Chase (Novices’ Limited Handicap) (4) 2m3f31y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Ballasalla has taken well to chasing and looks capable of going one better back up in trip. Multiple point winner Pique Rock is expected to leave her chasing debut form well behind, with the in-form Wishfull Dreaming also considered.

Timeform Top Rated
135§ 1. UTILITY David Bridgwater Mitchell Bastyan (5)
132 2. STAGE SUMMIT Ben Pauling Daryl Jacob
131 6. BALLASALLA Donald McCain Brian Hughes

1.25 Sky Bet Fast Withdrawal EBF ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle (Qualifier) (5) 2m3f88y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Storm Goddess made a useful prospect work hard at Wetherby on Boxing Day and this is an obvious chance for her to go one better. Liz’s Dream and Ninth Wave can fight it out for second.

Timeform Top Rated
138p 5. STORM GODDESS Charlie Longsdon Robert Dunne
112p 4. LIZ’S DREAM Robyn Brisland Jamie Moore
111 3. NINTH WAVE Philip Hobbs Richard Johnson

1.55 Sky Bet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase (2) 2m78y

Analyst’s Verdict:
A tight-looking handicap with Forest Bihan shading the vote after his back-to-form third at Wetherby. Ozzie The Oscar has an excellent record in small fields and is next best ahead of Nuts Well, who is 5 lb better off with Wetherby-winner Beau Bay.

Timeform Top Rated
169 3. FOREST BIHAN Brian Ellison Danny Cook
168 2. MODUS Paul Nicholls Barry Geraghty
167 1. OZZIE THE OSCAR Philip Hobbs Richard Johnson

2.30 Sky Bet Top Price Promise Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed) (1) 2m128y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Testing ground may have proved Giving Glances’ undoing when a very disappointing favourite in an Aintree listed event last time and she’s worth another chance back on a sounder surface. Fabianski has been a ready winner of both hurdle starts and may provide the main threat. Tom Lacey’s Via Delle Volte and Lady Cylla, who were first and third on C&D hurdle bow last month, are also respected.

Timeform Top Rated
139 4. GIVING GLANCES Alan King Tom Cannon
138 2. FABIANSKI Rebecca Menzies Conor O’Farrell
131p 8. VIA DELLE VOLTE Tom Lacey Mr Tommie M. O’Brien

3.05 First Race Special On Sky Bet Tomorrow Novices’ Hurdle (4) 2m128y
Timeform Rating of previous winners: 153 143 142 134 136 (Avg 142)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Groveman justified good support when making a winning hurdles debut at Catterick 2 weeks ago, briefly tapped for toe before ultimately staying on well. Open to improvement, he is fancied to make a bold bid once more. Constancio is proving consistent and feared, ahead of Magellan.

Timeform Top Rated
132 1. CONSTANCIO Donald McCain Brian Hughes
130p 7. GROVEMAN Jedd O’Keeffe Joe Colliver
118p 2. MAGELLAN Philip Kirby Sean Quinlan

3.35 Enter ITV7 Now Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (5) 2m128y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Bolister clearly hasn’t been the easiest to train, but he’s well weighted nowadays and his Fontwell run recently was a step in the right direction. Maroc is feared most, for all Daryl Jacob is a positive jockey booking for Miss Amelia.

Timeform Top Rated
105 5. BOLISTER Gary Moore Jamie Moore
104 3. MAROC Nikki Evans Max Kendrick (5)
103 9. ADMIRAL SPICE Sophie Leech Connor Brace (7)

4.05 Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) (4) 3m84y

Analyst’s Verdict:
The form of His Dream’s Warwick success at the end of last month received a boost when runner-up Captain Cargo scored nicely back there earlier this week so even an 8 lb rise may not prevent Jonjo O’Neill’s charge going in again. Modern Warfair appeals as a likely improver now making a quick switch to handicaps and could prove next best ahead of lasttime-out Ludlow scorer Muthabir.
128 7. HIS DREAM Jonjo O’Neill Richie McLernon
127 3. MUTHABIR Richard Phillips Richard Johnson
126 5. DJIN CONTI Harry Whittington Gavin Sheehan

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