Friday Newsletter – 29th March 2019

Friday Newsletter – 29th March 2019

 

Fontwell and Wetherby today with Timeform for the latter.

At Wetherby (16.30) its been a while since BECKY THE THATCHER ran up over hurdles, but we backed her on penultimate run at Haydock where ran like shaping as somewhere near that last winning rating of 122. Unfortunately copped another 3 back for that and turned in an below par run next time out here under a 10lb claimer.

Billy Garritty is back up top of Mick Hammond’s charge who is no doubt being readied for a tilt at a 2m flat race, where she notched early wins at Carlisle & Ponty last year. That shows she likes a good uphill stiff finish and whilst not a feature of today’s track, still looks possible place material for our EW pick at around 9’s.

We’ll be back tomorrow with a some thought’s on the opener flat meet at Donny, obviously it’s not really full steam ahead in the infancy of the turf but we’ll drop some the occasional members bets in, as and when, plus a few darts for the free members in the intro notes as usual.

BOL with your bets today.

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge it’s currently a 32% win/place strike rate…..our bank is now £495.71 and stakes are now £6.20 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Wetherby card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.20 Wear A Hat Day Supporting braintumourresearch.org Novices’ Hurdle (4) 2m

Timeform Top Rated:
139 2. DENMEAD Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
137 1. CONSTANCIO Donald McCain Brian Hughes
120p 8. LADY MARWAH Michael Scudamore Tom Scudamore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Denmead was undoubtedly disappointing both starts in November given the impression he created on hurdles bow at Huntingdon, but he’s since undergone a breathing operation and is certainly in the right hands to get back on track. Constancio is the obvious danger on form but he’s hardly bombproof (ran out last time) while Wapping could be a player given his Flat ability.

2.50 Follow @racingtv On Twitter Handicap Chase (4) 1m7f36y

Timeform Top Rated:
112 6. COOL VALLEY William Young Jnr Danny Cook
110+ 8. PADDLING Micky Hammond Alain Cawley
110 3. LAS TUNAS R. Mike Smith Richie McLernon

Analyst’s Verdict:
Las Tunas has been in good form this year which should count for plenty in this field. Paddling has dipped below his winning mark, while Oliver’s Gold made more of an impact off his sliding mark at Southwell.

3.25 Sixt One – The Ultimate Mobility App Handicap Hurdle (4) 2m

Timeform Top Rated:
134 7. FRANSHAM Pam Sly Paul O’Brien (3)
133p 4. GREY DIAMOND Alan King Wayne Hutchinson
132 5. BENNY IN MILAN Denis Hogan Denis Hogan

Analyst’s Verdict:
Falcon Sun was still there pitching when falling 3 out in a much deeper race than this at Newbury 4 weeks ago, and assuming he’s suffered no ill effects, is fancied to quickly regain the winning thread. Fransham also failed to complete last time, albeit through no fault of his own, and he remains of interest, with Grey Diamond completing the shortlist.

3.55 Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap Chase (4) 2m5f75y

Timeform Top Rated:
135+ 1. FLOWERY Iain Jardine Conor O’Farrell
134? 2. WILBERDRAGON Charlie Longsdon Jonathan Burke
131 6. ASTRACAD Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict:
Flowery has been turned inside out by Iain Jardine and another victory beckons. Lough Salt is feared most ahead of Henry’s Joy.

4.30 racingtv.com Handicap Hurdle (3) 2m3f154y

Timeform Top Rated:
142 1. SIMPLY A LEGEND Alan King Tom Bellamy
141+ 7. DUBAI ANGEL Ruth Jefferson Jamie Hamilton
140 6. THEATREBAR Dan Skelton Harry Skelton

Analyst’s Verdict:
Dan Skelton does very well here so it’s perhaps worth chancing the well-handicapped Theatrebar to bounce back to form. Thosedaysaregone and Simply A Legend filled the first 2 places over C&D in January and are the pair likely to give him most to think about.

5.05 Family Fun Raceday – Sunday 28th April Standard Open National Hunt Flat (5) 2m

Timeform Top Rated:
107 2. DOG OF WAR Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
105 1. ALL ABOUT YOU Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict:
All About You is probably the percentage call on the back of his Carlisle debut second at the start of this month, although strong market support for newcomers such as Biblical and/or Old Jeroboam would put a slightly different slant on things. Dog of War could easily step up on his debut and is also respected.

5.35 Join Racing TV Now “Grassroots” Hunters’ Chase (6) 3m45y

Timeform Top Rated:
136 2. ALWAYS ON THE RUN Tom George Mr Noel George (3)
135 1. MARINERO David Christie Mr David Maxwell
124 4. RAVISHED G. C. Brewer Mr Joe Wright (5)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Always On The Run had plenty of class and did enough to suggest he retains a good chunk of his old ability when third at Ludlow recently, so he’s preferred to Marinero (if taking his chance) and Ravished, who seemed revitalised when scoring readily between the flags earlier this month.

 

p commonly referred to as a small ‘p’; and the the horse is likely to improve
P commonly referred to as a large ‘P’; and the horse is capable of much better
+ the horse is possibly better than rated
? the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence
§ the squiggle’ indicates the horse is unreliable (for temperamental or other reasons)
§§ the ‘double squiggle’ the horse is so unsatisfactory as to be not worth a rating
x a poor jumper