Friday – 3rd August 2018
It’s a fairly quiet day in terms of our activity……Goodwood reaches its penultimate day and yesterday our sole fancy, Mark Johnston’s Communique won the opener for those of you adding to members posts at 7/2. Indeed Johnston has had a good meeting and interestingly gets two back out here after running two days ago (15.00) …Masham Star and Poets Society …nice for the owners I suppose!!!
AT HQ, the ground has dried out again at gone against a couple of thoughts we had…..We’ve backed Colonel Frank previously for places and whilst he’s consistent enough is maybe a tad to high in the weights for win purposes on 82 in the (19.30) – he could do with a bit more cut and there’s a couple of others who could take him on at the head of affairs…..we will take a watching brief this evening.
For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….our bank has NOW grown by over 187% to nearly £3k with an ROI of over 50%….current stakes are now £35.07 EW.
Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.
BOL (Best Of Luck!)
ABW Team
Today’s Selections
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Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Goodwood card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……
1.50 Bombay Sapphire Glorious Stakes (Group 3) (1) 1m3f218y
Timeform Top Rated:
133 2. EMINENT Martyn Meade Colm O’Donoghue
133 4. RED VERDON Ed Dunlop James Doyle
131 3. MIRAGE DANCER Sir Michael Stoute Ryan Moore
Analyst’s Verdict:
Mirage Dancer looks a typical older horse of Sir Michael Stoute’s who will continue to get better and better and he can notch a first pattern success at the scene of his listed win in the spring. Red Verdon will be a major threat if reproducing his latest Royal Ascot second, while Second Step was runner-up in this 12 months ago and he should make another bold bid.
2.25 Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (Group 3) (1) 1m
Timeform Top Rated:
127 7. THREADING Mark Johnston James Doyle
124 4. OSTILIO Simon Crisford Andrea Atzeni
123 6. THREEANDFOURPENCE Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
Analyst’s Verdict:
Threading failed to fire in the Falmouth but that’s the third time she’s disappointed at Newmarket and she’s the one to beat if bouncing back to her best at the scene of her debut win a year ago. Britannia-winner Ostilio is respected now stepping up to pattern level, while there’s surely more to come from Regal Reality after only 2 outings.
3.00 Unibet Golden Mile Handicap (2) 1m
Timeform Top Rated:
124 9. SENIORITY William Haggas Ryan Moore
123 6. ESCOBAR David O’Meara Daniel Tudhope
122 13. FIRE BRIGADE Michael Bell William Buick
Analyst’s Verdict:
Seniority was undone by racing away from the main action when eighth at Royal Ascot last time and still looks fairly weighted. He could be the answer to an open-looking renewal of this contest. Cape Byron has a tricky draw but is still feared most, whilst Fire Brigade, Escobar and Firmament are also much respected.
3.35 King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2) (1) 5f
Timeform Top Rated:
145 1. BATTAASH Charles Hills Jim Crowley
135 4. KACHY Tom Dascombe Richard Kingscote
130 6. MUTHMIR William Haggas Dane O’Neill
Analyst’s Verdict:
It’s very hard to look past last year’s winner Battaash, despite him having to carry a Group 1 penalty. He lost little in defeat at Royal Ascot last time, and this more speed-orientated track will play to his strengths. Sioux Nation shaped as though the drop back to this trip would suit last time and is feared most, whilst Havana Grey is also much respected.
4.10 Unibet Nursery Handicap (2) 6f
Timeform Top Rated:
111p 8. LEADING SPIRIT Charlie Appleby William Buick
103 7. LEOUBE Richard Hannon Tom Marquand
102 10. BIG ACE Tim Easterby Paul Hanagan
Analyst’s Verdict:
Leading Spirit is fully 10 lb well-in compared to his future mark under a penalty for last week’s Newbury success and is hard to oppose. Don Armado came clear in good style at Nottingham a couple of weeks ago and likely has more to offer, while the handicapper hasn’t missed The Great Heir after his York success but there’s a good chance Kevin Ryan’s charge has more to offer.
4.40 L’Ormarins Queens Plate Oak Tree Stakes (Group 3) (1) 7f
Timeform Top Rated:
123p 16. PRETTY BABY William Haggas Dane O’Neill
122 11. COULD IT BE LOVE Aidan O’Brien Non Runner
119 15. POETIC CHARM Charlie Appleby William Buick
Analyst’s Verdict:
Pretty Baby looked a pattern race winner waiting to happen when a valiant second at York last time and it’s likely she has more to bring to the table yet. She is fancied to land the spoils. Sequilla and Poetic Charm also make plenty of appeal.
5.15 Maltsmiths Handicap (3) 1m3f44y
Timeform Top Rated:
112 11. SERGIO LEONE Richard Hannon Tom Marquand
109p 9. BARITONE Sir Michael Stoute Ryan Moore
105 5. OCCUPY Ralph Beckett Harry Bentley
Analyst’s Verdict:
Baritone bumped into a couple of very progressive sorts when third on his Ascot handicap bow 3 weeks ago and there should be more to come, particularly over this slightly longer trip. Howman is another who is heading very much in the right direction and rates an obvious threat, while Hibernicus has looked a useful prospect when landing both starts. Sergio Leone completes the shortlist.
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