Friday Newsletter – 7th December 2018

Friday – 7th December 2018

 

Not sure what shenanigans were happening yesterday – perhaps the Shaun Harris stable forgot to put the money down themselves 🙂 as Aza Run went an early morning non-runner after being smashed up overnight from 25/1 to around 15/2. However, it was good to land with our other bet as REIKERS ISLAND won at 5’s and got us back to near parity. Philip Hobbs has certainly put last years poor returns behind him in what was a very comfortable win for Richard Johnson.

Back to today’s affairs, at Sedgefield, one for the lumpers goes in the opener (12.10)…Bahama Moon ran a sound race at Carlisle on seasonal debut and should progress from that. There’s a best 13/8 about that one for anyone looking to add to lumping acca’s…..outside of that Apterix looks just about wipes yer face in the (13.40).

There’s nothing for us at Sandown ahead of tomorrows Tingle Creek Meet – there’s Timeform below for those looking at that meet. Our sole members selection goes at Exeter this afternoon.

 

For those on the new £1k to £10k, current stakes are now £12.11 EW and the bank stands at £969.08

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Sandown card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

12.50 Pinsent Masons Handicap Chase (3) 1m7f119y

Timeform Top Rated
134p 7. CAP ST VINCENT Tim Vaughan Alan Johns
133 5. VICENZO MIO Chris Gordon Tom Cannon
132 3. RED DEVIL STAR Suzy Smith Tom O’Brien

Analyst’s Verdict: 
The race that Enola Gay contested last time was a fair bit more competitive than the events that both Cap St Vincent and Clondaw Westie have landed whilst racking up multiple wins so, while that prolific pair are regarded as big players, the first-named could be the one to come out on top if his jumping is a little more assured.

1.20 Simon Jennings Memorial Introductory Juvenile Hurdle (2) 1m7f216y

Timeform Top Rated
127p 4. CASWELL BAY Evan Williams Adam Wedge
125p 2. TORPILLO Nigel Twiston-Davies Daryl Jacob
123p 1. DENILIQUIN Paul Nicholls A. P. Heskin

Analyst’s Verdict: 
An intriguing race. Il Re di Nessuno reached a useful level on the Flat in Italy and is selected to make a winning British/hurdling debut for a yard that often introduces its nicer types at this venue. Deniliquin and Torpillo are equally interesting though, setting out for leading connections, having both made successful hurdling debuts in France.

1.55 Direct Commercial Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (3) 2½m10y

Timeform Top Rated
139p 13. GLEN ROCCO Nick Gifford Leighton Aspell
138 5. PRIVATE MALONE Emma Lavelle Aidan Coleman
138 6. LITHIC Jonjo O’Neill James Bowen

Analyst’s Verdict: 
A race that should throw up a heap of winners over fences and Turtle Wars is selected to make a successful start in this sphere. He was a good fifth in the EBF Novices’ Final here when last seen and looks a cracking chaser in the making. Stablemate The Bottom Bar is of firm interest also, along with Fontwell-winner Glen Rocco and Magoo.

2.25 Ballymore Winter Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (1) 2m3f173y

Timeform Top Rated
153p 4. DOWN THE HIGHWAY Emma Lavelle Aidan Coleman
147+ 6. MY WAY Paul Nicholls A. P. Heskin
145p 3. DARLAC Colin Tizzard Robbie Power

Analyst’s Verdict:
Down The Highway created a good impression at Lingfield last month and looks the type to go on to better things. A late stumble didn’t help Mercy Mercy Me on hurdling debut, so it would come as no surprise if he were to get closer to the selection this time round. Darlac perhaps wasn’t seen to best advantage in a Grade 2 at Cheltenham and remains open to improvement.

3.00 Holiday Inn Shepperton Amateur Riders’ Handicap Chase (3) 3m37y

Timeform Top Rated
136 3. MENDIP EXPRESS Philip Hobbs Mr David Maxwell
133+ 9. FIFTY SHADES Christian Williams Ms L. O’Neill
132 1. PETE THE FEAT Charlie Longsdon Mr Peter Mason (7)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Fifty Shades progressed steadily at a low level during the summer and there was no doubting he produced his best effort yet when second at Cheltenham in October without being seen to best effect. He may yet have more to offer and shades the vote. Mendip Express is likely to step up on his recent C&D comeback, whilst Knockanrawley also appeals from his reduced mark.

3.30 JLT Group Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (4) 1m7f216y

Timeform Top Rated
126 8. VLANNON Michael Madgwick Marc Goldstein
124 9. MALANGEN David Pipe David Noonan
123p 1. THISTIMENEXTYEAR Richard Spencer James Bowen

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Thistimenextyear found only one too good twice in maiden company last season and has since doubled his Flat tally. There should be plenty more to come from him in this sphere and he looks the way to go on handicap debut. My Brother and Shaw’s Cross posted solid efforts last time and head the opposition.