Friday Newsletter – 8th March 2019

Friday Newsletter – 8th March 2019

 

Racing from Leicester and Sandown on Friday with Timeform below for the former meet.

Looking at ones we have previously backed, Bajardo was our first bet of the NH way back in November but has shown nothing since and today goes on first run since a wind op. He’s up in the Leicester (15.25) against another we backed in November, Ballylagan – that ones dropped a significant amount but without a win in nearly 2 years. They are both the outsiders of the 8 going to post and hardly a recommendation on efforts this term.

We have another for members backed previously going in later race at Leicester, along with one at Sandown for members below.

 

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge it’s currently a 32% win/place strike rate…..our bank is now £614.68 and stakes are now £7.68 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Leicester card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.50 Royal Lancers Beginners’ Chase (3) 1m7f201y 
Timeform Rating of previous winners: – 155 114 128 139 (Avg 134)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Neither Hatcher nor Boite are bombproof tackling fences for the first time, the former a tricky ride and the latter a Flat-bred 9-y-o making a late switch to chasing, but the Skelton gelding is marginally preferred as dominating small fields is definitely his bag.

Timeform Top Rated
No ratings for this race

2.20 Vichai Srivandhanaprabhah Handicap Chase (3) 2½m45y

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Midnight Chill has improved switched to chasing this winter, landing 2 of his 4 starts and running with credit despite making errors when runner-up at Taunton last time. In a trappy affair, he is given the narrow vote to come out on top. Cobra de Mai, down in class, and Cave Top head up the dangers.

Timeform Top Rated
152 2. COBRA DE MAI Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
151 6. MIDNIGHT CHILL Jamie Snowden Gavin Sheehan
149 3. GOT AWAY Oliver Sherwood Aidan Coleman

2.50 Sherwood Rangers Yeomanry Handicap Chase (4) 1m7f201y

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Cracking Destiny has taken well to fences and can quickly resume winning ways having had excuses at Taunton. The in-form Quantum of Solace is feared most.

Timeform Top Rated
123 1. CRACKING DESTINY Ian Williams Tom O’Brien
122 3. QUANTUM OF SOLACE Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan
121§ 5. FULL SHIFT Roy Brotherton Ben Poste

3.25 Leicestershire And Derbyshire Yeomanry Handicap Chase (5) 2½m45y

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Waikiki Waves was better than the bare result at Lingfield last time and can quickly resume winning ways having made a winning debut in this sphere the time before. Chasma has dipped below her last winning mark and is next best ahead of The Captain.

111 1. WAIKIKI WAVES Gary Moore Niall Houlihan (10)
110+ 3. CHASMA Michael Easterby Harry Bannister
108? 4. CHANGE UR TUNE Sheila Lewis Mikey Hamill (3)

4.00 Bakers Waste Open Hunters’ Chase (5) 1m7f201y 
Timeform Rating of previous winners: 116 116 122 124 117 (Avg 119)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Ballotin should come on plenty for last month’s hunter debut and this drop in trip will likely help too, so he looks the way to go. Eastlake is a class act at this level but gives his running only sporadically these days, so Full Throttle is feared most.

Timeform Top Rated
134 2. FULL TROTTLE Miss L. Thomas Mr Sam Lee (7)
133+ 1. BALLOTIN Philip Hobbs Mr David Maxwell
121+ 6. EASTLAKE Jonjo O’Neill Mr Derek O’Connor

4.30 South Notts Hussars Handicap Chase (5) 2¾m151y

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Waitinonasunnyday ran his best race to date under Rules when landing a C&D contest 10 days ago and he could be worth chancing to follow-up in a similarly ordinary affair. Arquebusier and Troika Steppes are feared most, in that order.

Timeform Top Rated
114 8. WAITINONASUNNYDAY Michael Blake Jonathan Burke
112 3. ARQUEBUSIER Emma-Jane Bishop Jamie Bargary
112 4. PRAY FOR A RAINBOW Samuel Drinkwater Harrison Beswick (7)

 

Key  Top Rated: Indicates the highest rated runners in the race adjusted for the weight carried

p commonly referred to as a small ‘p’; and the the horse is likely to improve
P commonly referred to as a large ‘P’; and the horse is capable of much better
+ the horse is possibly better than rated
? the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence
§ the squiggle’ indicates the horse is unreliable (for temperamental or other reasons)
§§ the ‘double squiggle’ the horse is so unsatisfactory as to be not worth a rating
x a poor jumper