Monday – 12th November 2018

 

Views from the speedmeisters with Timeform below for Carlisle……

 

Looking back at the flat season, the full spreadsheet is as ever posted in any post in the ‘Results tab‘, but a summary being:

  • 212 bets – 25 wins/63 places – 41.51% win/place rate
  • Average Price – 11.82
  • Average finishing position – 5.09
  • ROI – 22.45%
  • Bank Growth 263.13%

Okay so we didn’t crack the £10k as 2017 but all in all a decent return of over £3600 🙂

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Today’s Selections

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Betfair tap tap boom

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Carlisle card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……


12.55 Smarkets Betting Exchange Novices’ Hurdle (4) 2m1f

Timeform Top Rated
143p 3. CLONDAW ANCHOR Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
112 8. MONSIEUR BAGOT Rebecca Menzies Nathan Moscrop (5)
111 1. BALLASALLA Donald McCain Brian Hughes

Analyst’s Verdict:
This looks an excellent opportunity for Clondaw Anchor, who showed plenty when runner-up on hurdling debut at Warwick in May. Bumper-winner Highland Hunter is a decent jumping prospect and can pose the main threat.

1.30 Smarkets Novices’ Chase (3) 2½m

Timeform Top Rated
No ratings available for this race

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Several of these were at least useful over hurdles and should make their mark in this sphere. Vinndication is the pick of them judged on his decisive victory at Huntingdon in February and, if taking to this game, he may well develop into a candidate for the big festivals during the spring. Red Rising is a real chasing type and is next on the list ahead of Euxton Lane and Uncle Alastair. No ratings for this race

2.05 Smarkets Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) (4) 2m1f

Timeform Top Rated
124 7. TROOBLUE Sue Smith Kane Yeoman (10)
123 8. RUSSIAN ROYALE Micky Hammond Miss Becky Smith (3)
121+ 9. HIDDEN DILEMMA Stuart Crawford Harry Skelton

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Trooblue is worth chancing in this open-looking affair. A line can be drawn through her reappearance effort and, eased 7 lb since, she appeals as potentially the best handicapped of these. Keep The River remains open to improvement, but whether this drop back in trip is what she wants remains to be seen. Consequently, bigger threats may be posed by Russian Royale and Hidden Dilemma.

2.35 Weatherbys Hamilton Graduation Chase (2) 1m7f207y

Timeform Top Rated
165 2. DOLOS Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
161p 5. CHESTERFIELD Seamus Mullins Daniel Sansom
160 3. ONE FOR BILLY Dan Skelton Harry Skelton

Analyst’s Verdict:
Paul Nicholls was in flying form over the weekend and there’s a good chance Dolos, who was an encouraging second on his reappearance last month, can provide him with another winner. Chesterfield is open to progress on the back of his Uttoxeter chase debut second and may provide the main threat ahead of One For Billy and last year’s winner Nuts Well.

3.10 getsbk.com The Super-Price Sportsbook Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (4) 2½m

Timeform Top Rated
127 2. INSTANT REPLAY Brian Ellison Nathan Moscrop (5)
126x 1. TOMKEVI Rebecca Menzies Mr Aaron Anderson (7)
126§ 5. RETURN FLIGHT Rebecca Menzies Conor O’Farrell

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Instant Replay was progressive over fences last season and better is expected now after his pipeopener over hurdles. Return Flight hinted at a revival last time while Calivigny should be thereabouts again.

3.40 smarkets.com Standard Open National Hunt Flat (5) 2m1f

Timeform Top Rated
114p 1. MR SCRUMPY Jedd O’Keeffe Joe Colliver
112 12. SPLASH THE CASH Jennie Candlish David Noonan
111 3. ARDGLASS STAR Rose Dobbin Craig Nichol

Analyst’s Verdict:
Mr Scrumpy was impressive at Hexham last month and is the percentage call, although strong market support for expensive Irish point recruit Weakfield and/or Olly Murphy’s I K Brunel would put a slightly different slant on things.

 

Anyone looking for a winter read during close season whilst we take on the NH, check out the book Always Back Winners by Stewart Simpson …you can try and grab a copy from the likes of Amazon below….

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