Monday Newsletter – 8th April 2019

Monday Newsletter – 8th April 2019

Today marks the return to full flat action, with the aptly named ‘Flat Is Back At Redcar Fillies’ Novice Stakes’ at Redcar kicking off the days races. There’s supporting Timeform below for the card and racing at Windsor backs that up.

We have one for members below to kick the week off with.

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge…..our opening bank is now £1018.63 and stakes are now £12.73 EW unless otherwise stated

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Redcar card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.00 Flat Is Back At Redcar Fillies’ Novice Stakes (5) 5f

Timeform Top Rated:
No ratings for this race

Analyst’s Verdict:
Archie Watson had a filly score on debut at Lingfield last week and Exclusively gets the nod to do likewise, with confidence increased should the market speak in her favour. Bare All, Great Dame and Azteca are other likely sorts on paper in a contest where the betting could prove informative.

2.30 Become A Redcar Annual Badgeholder Novice Stakes (5) 1¼m1y

Timeform Top Rated:
97p 8. PRIVATE SECRETARY John Gosden Kieran O’Neill
79p 5. ENTRUSTING James Fanshawe Silvestre De Sousa
74 4. AWESOMEDUDE Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque Paddy Mathers

Analyst’s Verdict:
Private Secretary showed plenty of promise when runner-up on both starts last year and is expected to take plenty of stopping on his return to action. Sinjaari appeals as a likely improver having joined William Haggas and could be the one to give him most so ahead of James Fanshawe’s Entrusting.

3.00 Tommy Sanderson Is 9 Today Handicap (4) 7f219y

Timeform Top Rated:
105 5. SHEBERGHAN Archie Watson Oisin Murphy
104 6. TADAAWOL Roger Fell Ben Sanderson (5)
103 1. ALFA MCGUIRE Phillip Makin Sam James

Analyst’s Verdict:
Windsor Cross set himself up nicely for this with a good run on his AW reappearance last month and is taken to resume winning ways back at 1m. Sheberghan was a bit disappointing last time but it’s still early days for him with Archie Watson and he could easily get back on track now. The selection’s stablemate International Man returns on a workable mark and also makes the shortlist.

3.30 Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap (4) 1¼m1y

Timeform Top Rated:
98p 1. WAR TIGER Richard Fahey Non Runner
95 6. HARVEY DENT Archie Watson Oisin Murphy
94p 2. FOREST OF DEAN John Gosden Kieran O’Neill

Analyst’s Verdict:
John Gosden’s easy Newcastle winner Forest of Dean looks sure to improve further now handicapping, and gets the nod in an interesting race. Harvey Dent is going the right away and is also much respected along with wide-margin Beverley scorer Sameem.

4.00 Racing TV Straight Mile Handicap (Qualifier) (4) 7f219y

Timeform Top Rated:
98 2. RELOADED George Scott Oisin Murphy
97p 6. TUCSON James Bethell P. J. McDonald
96 3. ON THE LINE Hugo Palmer James Doyle

Analyst’s Verdict:
Tucson progressed with each of his 3 starts last year and, with further improvement on the cards now handicapping, he could be the answer. On The Line needs considering on the back of his decisive AW success but bigger threats may be posed by Reloaded and Absolutio, both of whom feature on fair-looking marks.

4.30 Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Handicap (5) (D.I) 1¼m1y

Timeform Top Rated:
92 10. DUKE OF ALBA John Mackie Andrew Mullen
87 3. CHANNEL PACKET Michael Appleby Mark Crehan (7)
87 6. LAFILIA Archie Watson Oisin Murphy

Analyst’s Verdict:
The form of Duke of Alba‘s latest Wolverhampton second has been boosted a couple of times since and he could take a bit of stopping if he can transfer that level of form to turf. Channel Packet and Zorawar both arrive in good form from AW and head the dangers.

5.00 Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Handicap (5) (D.II) 1¼m1y

Timeform Top Rated:
87 2. CHAMPAGNE RULES Sharon Watt Connor Murtagh (5)
86+ 6. RESTIVE Jim Goldie Phil Dennis
86? 10. MR COCO BEAN David Barron P. J. McDonald

Analyst’s Verdict:
It’s hard to be confident about Maghfoor given his patchy profile and modest strike rate (1-17), but he resumes on a potentially handy mark and is worth chancing in an open-looking contest. Restive won over C&D in 2017, and while this trip is probably plenty sharp enough for him nowadays (largely campaigned over 1½m+ since that victory), he has to be feared. Dutch Coed is another to consider.

5.30 Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Median Auction Stakes (6) 7f

Timeform Top Rated:
81p 5. BOBBY SHAFT Richard Fahey Paul Hanagan
80p 14. PARADISE PAPERS David Barron Lewis Edmunds
78 12. SERENGETI SONG K. R. Burke Ben Curtis

Analyst’s Verdict:
Bobby Shaft made a bright start at Wolverhampton last month and could boost that form further (a winner has already come out of the race) with victory. Paradise Papers is feared most, while International Guy, a stablemate of the selection, is an interesting newcomer.

p commonly referred to as a small ‘p’; and the the horse is likely to improve
P commonly referred to as a large ‘P’; and the horse is capable of much better
+ the horse is possibly better than rated
? the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence
§ the squiggle’ indicates the horse is unreliable (for temperamental or other reasons)
§§ the ‘double squiggle’ the horse is so unsatisfactory as to be not worth a rating
x a poor jumper