Monday Newsletter – 8th October 2018

 

Monday – 8th October 2018

 

It would be nice to get a couple of quick winners in the next 10 selections or so to get this bank through the £4k and net a decent pot before the flat peters out. Today there’s meets from Pontefract and Windsor to kick off the week with Timeform for the former below. Firstly it was nice to see a trainer we follow, Michael Dods, ‘having his day in France’ yesterday….Mabs Cross got up late….or a perfectly timed run? to win the Prix de l’Abbaye at Longchamp. It was some compensation for the close defeat by Alpha Delphini in the Nunthorpe at York and with regular pilot Paul Mulrennan missing the ride through injury, veteran French jockey Gerald Mosse netted the prize – Dods will now sidestep Champions Day and rest her through winter to target next season’s big sprints.

We’ve nothing for Ponty today and have just one at Windsor this afternoon for members.

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….our bank has NOW grown by over 260% with an ROI of over 30%….current stakes are now £45.73 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Pontefract card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.05 racinguk.com/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (4) 1¼m5y

Timeform Top Rated
91p 1. GRAVISTAS Mark Johnston Silvestre De Sousa
90p 5. JUST HUBERT William Muir Daniel Tudhope
90 6. TONY CHESTNUT Peter Chapple-Hyam Luke Morris

Analyst’s Verdict:
Gravistas improved on his debut effort when runner-up at Wolverhampton 16 days ago, finishing with running left and ultimately suggesting he can do better again. He can come out on top with the step up in trip expected to suit. Just Hubert and Tony Chestnut can give him most to think about.

2.35 Racing UK Club Day On 22Nd October Nursery Handicap (4) 6f

Timeform Top Rated
92p 7. SOCRU Michael Easterby Nathan Evans
91 1. MUST SEE THE DOC Iain Jardine Daniel Tudhope
91 8. MY BOY LEWIS Roger Fell Jamie Gormley (3)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Having been bought out of a seller at York in June, Socru shaped with a good deal of promise for this yard when runner-up at Chester later that month, having been set plenty to do. Gelded subsequently, he is very much the type to do better with his sights now set on nurseries. Don Logan also caught the eye recently and he and Must See The Doc are feared most.

3.10 Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap (3) 1m6y

Timeform Top Rated
113 3. COMPLETION William Haggas Daniel Tudhope
112 2. DREAM TODAY Mark Johnston Silvestre De Sousa
111 5. MR TOP HAT David Evans Andrew Mullen

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Jamil made little fuss of landing cramped odds at Hamilton 2 weeks ago and, with his profile to date an upwardly mobile one, he is fancied to make a winning handicap debut having already shown his effectiveness on the forecast ground. Dream Today is a model of consistency and feared, along with Completion and Mr Top Hat.

3.40 Try A Trifecta On The Bluff Cove Handicap (Round 7) (5) 2¼m2y

Timeform Top Rated
86 11. SO NEAR SO FARHH Mick Channon Silvestre De Sousa
85 2. ANGEL GABRIAL Richard Fahey Paul Hanagan
84 4. WITH PLEASURE John Flint Callum Rodriguez

Analyst’s Verdict: 
So Near So Farhh improved another chunk when supplementing her Carlisle success from a 9 lb higher mark over C&D last month, value for at least double the winning margin. She ought to make a bold bid to land the hattrick, with Rubenesque and Galileo’s Spear feared most.

4.10 Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap (5) (D.I) 1m6y

Timeform Top Rated
94 1. CANDELISA David Loughnane Joey Haynes
92 15. APPLE ANNI Mick Channon Silvestre De Sousa
91 12. FISHER GREEN Roger Fell Cam Hardie

Analyst’s Verdict:
Candelisa hasn’t the most compelling of strike rates, yet he comes here on a career-low mark and could be worth chancing starting out for another new yard. Last year’s winner Pioneering, Edgar Allan Poe and Newmarket Warrior head up the dangers, in that order.

4.45 Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap (5) (D.II) 1m6y

Timeform Top Rated
96 4. ZESHOV Rebecca Bastiman Daniel Tudhope
94 1. MUSTAQBAL Michael Dods Callum Rodriguez
93 3. GLORIOUS POET Daniel Loughnane Silvestre De Sousa

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Power Sail is proving most consistent this campaign, gaining due reward when doubling his career tally at Ayr 17 days ago. He can go well again from a 3 lb higher mark. Zeshov shaped better than the bare result at Beverley and is feared, along with another in-form sort Mustaqbal.

5.15 procurementseminars.co.uk Handicap (5) 1½m5y

Timeform Top Rated
86+ 11. ORMESHER Donald McCain Andrew Mullen
85 12. HANDSOME BOB Keith Dalgleish Joe Fanning
85 2. BEER WITH THE BOYS Mick Channon Silvestre De Sousa

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Ormesher didn’t totally convince on much faster ground earlier this term, yet the pick of his efforts as a juvenile came on ground softer than good and, having landed each of his 2 starts over hurdles more recently, he could be worth chancing to capitalise from his reduced mark. Nelson River, Reveleon and Reactive head up the dangers in a competitive affair, however.

5.50 Buy Your 2019 Annual Badge Today Maiden Stakes (5) 1m6y

Timeform Top Rated
88p 5. FRONSAC Daniel Kubler Robert Winston
85p 4. CREEK HARBOUR Ed Dunlop Andrea Atzeni
76p 11. SILENT DREAMS John Butler Luke Morris

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Little separates Fronsac and Creek Harbour on their Chelsmford form last month. The former was narrowly in front of the latter on that occasion and is fancied to confirm those placings here. Nomoathaj and newcomer Matterhorn are others to consider.