Saturday Newsletter – 14th July 2018

Saturday – 14th July 2018

 

Another placed effort from our members selection yesterday and a bit disappointed we didn’t add HAROME from the intro notes…..he drifted slightly and could have been a qualifying bet with our minimum 4/1 that he went off. He won going away after making all……..well done if you added that to your bets.

Today’s the day we consider was our introduction to racing when first attending the John Smith Magnet Cup meet at York way back in 1980 with the big race won by Fine Sun under Edward Hide – two of us managed to drop the placepot that day for about £35 and a good night out in Skipton ensued 🙂

Back to racing matters and besides the Magnet Cup meet, there’s the last day of the Newmarket July meeting – with Chester, Hamilton & Ascot to back that up.

Timeform is for the last day at HQ and there are 3 members selections below…….

Touching on the Magnet Cup front, there’s a couple we have backed previously – Kynren looks to be more of a ‘softie specialist’ and one we will look at back end of the season. More realistic is BROROCCO who should get a strong pace to come off with David Probert up top. He’s got a tad lower draw than optimum and the 9’s looks a bit short though is well proven at the trip and going and we would expect him to be around the paying slots. We don’t normally venture into C2 but there’s one we have mentioned a few times in our notes going at a big price and we will take a small chance with him upgrading from C3 – that’s in our members section below.

Any suggestions welcome for the use of our FOC bet365 £25 In-play bet for the World Cup Final – know absolutely nothing about anytime goalscorers in this one….answers on a postcard or to us at the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge, it’s been 3 months of incremental profits…….our bank has grown by over 100% with an ROI of over 35%….current stakes are now £25.74 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Newmarket card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.05 bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) (1) 7f

Timeform Top Rated
113 1. BLOWN BY WIND Mark Johnston James Doyle
112p 7. QUORTO Charlie Appleby William Buick
108p 2. CAPE OF GOOD HOPE Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Dubawi colt Quorto looked a potentially smart prospect in the making when winning with plenty to spare at this venue last month, and can take the step up in grade in his stride. Cape of Good Hope is from a family that gets better with age so is likely to progress further, while Blown By Wind is a tough and consistent sort who shouldn’t be dismissed for all he perhaps lacks the potential of some.

1.40 bet365 Bunbury Cup Handicap (2) 7f

Timeform Top Rated
125 8. FIRMAMENT David O’Meara Martin Harley
123 13. SHADY MCCOY Ian Williams Robert Havlin
123 5. MAKZEEM Roger Charlton Ryan Moore

Analyst’s Verdict: 
The relatively-unexposed Mukalal makes most appeal. He left the impression a return to 7f would suit when shaping better than the result in the Royal Hunt Cup last time and both his physique and pedigree suggest he should have even more to offer. Firmament also caught the eye in the same race, and lurks on a dangerous mark. Gilgamesh completes the shortlist.

2.15 Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (1) 6f

Timeform Top Rated
137 1. BLUE POINT Charlie Appleby William Buick
133 6. REDKIRK WARRIOR David & B Hayes/Tom Dabernig Regan Bayliss
131 2. BRANDO Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves

Analyst’s Verdict: 
An open-looking renewal with a nice mix of 3-y-os and older horses, but the latter group has the best form as it stands, notably Blue Point, who proved better than ever when winning the King’s Stand at Royal Ascot last month. Dreamfield is a fascinating runner, while Eqtidaar and U S Navy Flag look the pick of the 3-y-os.

2.50 Rossdales British EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (3) 7f

Timeform Top Rated
92p 2. ASSEMBLY OF TRUTH Charlie Appleby William Buick
88 5. LAXMI Brian Meehan Martin Harley
85p 3. GALLIC Ed Walker Gerald Mosse

Analyst’s Verdict:
Probably a hot maiden and Spanish Aria is taken to get off the mark following her eye-catching Newbury debut. The betting will yield plenty of clues, with Zagitova very interesting first time up for Aidan O’Brien. Assembly of Truth is another to consider after an encouraging start at Yarmouth when sent off a short price.

3.20 bet365 Mile Handicap (2) 1m

Timeform Top Rated
120p 6. IBRAZ Roger Varian Jim Crowley
118 2. CURIOSITY Hugo Palmer Gerald Mosse
115p 3. MOQARRAB Saeed bin Suroor George Wood

Analyst’s Verdict:
Ibraz beat a pair of subsequent winners on his handicap debut at Sandown 4 weeks ago and surely has more to offer after just 4 career outings. Curiosity is high on the shortlist after his excellent second in the Britannia at Royal Ascot, while Moqarrab looks another smart prospect.

3.55 Spa At Bedford Lodge Hotel British EBF Fillies’ Handicap (2) 7f

Timeform Top Rated
114 5. PERFECTION John Gosden Robert Havlin
111 6. ELYSIUM DREAM Richard Hannon Joe Fanning
108 4. CAVATINA William Haggas Harry Bentley

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Perfection posted a big effort (more so than the ratings suggest) when fifth of 23 in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot last month, going off hard and racing alone, and makes plenty of appeal off the same mark in this lesser affair. Amandine won her maiden in good style at Leicester last week and is next best ahead of Cavatina, who’s back down in class.

4.30 Saeed Suhail Saeed Handicap (3) 1½m

Timeform Top Rated 
100 5. MAPPED Charles Hills Paul Hanagan
99 2. SPORTING TIMES Ed Dunlop James Doyle
99 6. MORNING SKYE Hugo Palmer Danny Brock

Analyst’s Verdict:
A smallish field but a tricky finale. Mapped improved when second over C&D last time and is taken to go one better, but a good case can also be made for Kempton-second Sporting Times, while the others all have claims on the pick of their recent form.