Saturday Newsletter – 15th December 2018

Saturday – 15th December 2018

 

The International Meeting at Cheltenham continues with a full card of Class 1 and 2 races. Doncaster is again a mix of single figure entrants so we will be looking at Hereford for inspiration today 🙂

Yesterday saw The Bay Birch chuck Stan Sheppard out the the back door at the 8th and the race was won by the Gordon Elliott charge. Outside of that, the intro notes two mentions saw Knockamona run second at 5/2 and Same Circus won the 7 runner chase, returning 11/2 for Donald McCain.

There’s two below from Hereford below for members.

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….we’ve now over a 30% win/place strike rate with an ROI of nearly 5%…..our bank is now £1011.47 and current stakes are now £12.64 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Cheltenham card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

12.10 JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle (Qualifier) (2) 2m179y

Timeform Top Rated:
145p 6. PROTEKTORAT Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
143p 1. FANFAN DU SEUIL Tom George Paddy Brennan
141 4. KATPOLI Dr Richard Newland Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict:
Protektorat made an encouraging start to his career when second in listed company in France in the autumn and is selected to make the most of the weight he receives from the previous winners in this line-up. Fanfan du Seuil has made a good start for Tom George and is respected, while the Alan King French recruit Fred d’Estruval would very much enter the reckoning if the betting speaks for him.

12.45 Ryman Novices’ Chase (2) 2½m127y

Timeform Top Rated:
159p 4. THE RUSSIAN DOYEN Colin Tizzard Robbie Power
158 3. LE BREUIL Ben Pauling Daryl Jacob
157p 1. DROVERS LANE Rebecca Curtis Sean Bowen

Analyst’s Verdict:
Ok Corral could have been found an easier opening over fences but he was comfortably the best of these over hurdles and appeals as the sort who’ll prove at least as good in this sphere. He shades the vote in receipt of weight from exciting chase prospects The Russian Doyen and Drovers Lane.

1.20 Cheltenham Club Handicap Chase (2) 2m62y

Timeform Top Rated:
167 4. TOP GAMBLE Kerry Lee Sean Bowen
165 3. BUN DORAN Tom George Paddy Brennan
165 5. HELL’S KITCHEN Harry Fry Barry Geraghty

Analyst’s Verdict:
Top Gamble is expected to be sharper with last month’s Newbury reappearance behind him and might be worth chancing off a mark now 3 lb lower than when a fine third in the Grand Annual at the Festival in March. Bun Doran returned with an improved effort when scoring readily here last month and a 10 lb rise is unlikely to prevent another bold bid. Hell’s Kitchen may prove best of the rest.

1.55 Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 2½m127y

Timeform Top Rated:
176p 3. RATHER BE Nicky Henderson Jeremiah McGrath
175p 9. FULL GLASS Alan King Daryl Jacob
174 2. BARON ALCO Gary Moore Jamie Moore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Rather Be looked to be going great guns when brought down 4 out in the BetVictor and compensation could await now. Baron Alco and Frodon filled the first two positions in that contest and look sure to figure again, with the latter having won this race in 2016. Full Glass appeared to be in the process of running creditably when unseating on his return and is also shortlisted.

2.30 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (Bristol) (Grade 2) (1) 2m7f213y

Timeform Top Rated:
160 2. AYE AYE CHARLIE Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan
149 1. DOUX PRETENDER Nicky Henderson Noel Fehily
145 7. ROCKPOINT Colin Tizzard Tom Scudamore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Aye Aye Charlie will need to jump better than he did at Kelso last month, but his fourth-placed finish in Grade 1 company to end last season is comfortably the best form on offer. There are of course promising rivals in opposition, notably Doux Pretender and Supremely Lucky.

3.05 Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) (1) 2m179y

Timeform Top Rated:
174 4. SUMMERVILLE BOY Tom George Noel Fehily
169 2. THE NEW ONE Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
167 6. VISION DES FLOS Colin Tizzard Robbie Power

Analyst’s Verdict:
It could be worth chancing We Have A Dream who represents connections who won this with a similar 4-y-o in 2011. He’s not been quite at his best in 2 runs this season but there is a good chance this sort of test and a reunion with Daryl Jacob will see him back to the sort of form that saw him win 2 Grade 1s earlier this year. Western Ryder could be the main danger ahead of Summerville Boy.

3.40 OLBG.com Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (2) 2½m56y

Timeform Top Rated:
148p 9. RATOUTE YUTTY Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
147 3. SENSULANO Noel Williams Leighton Aspell
146 4. PETTICOAT TAILS Warren Greatrex Richard Johnson

Analyst’s Verdict:
The most interesting one here is the lightly-raced Ratoute Yutty, who should benefit from this longer trip and an opening mark in the low 120s could underestimate her. Last month’s Ascot 1-2 Sensulano and Petticoat Tails are likely to go well again, while Definitelyanoscar is another low-mileage sort who should have more to give now handicapping.