Saturday Newsletter – 22nd December 2018

Saturday Newsletter – 22nd December 2018

 

The last post before the Christmas Cracker on Boxing Day so we take this opportunity to wish all our members the very best for for the holiday period 🙂 Hopefully we can get the wheels back on the bus soon as we just are just trading in the red at present….though one or two winners soon changes that.

It’s been a strange old start to the season and we received a bit of stick from some quarters for kicking the season off whilst the ground was running firm due to the drying weather. It’s a fine line and always easier with hindsight but comments duly noted and perhaps we end the flat a couple of weeks earlier and have a solid months break to assess the conditions before jumping off with the NH?

Looking at other services out there, we can see that they have made equally sticky starts and like we mentioned earlier – perhaps the going has caught us all out?

Yesterday we saw an non-runner with Blue Skimmer and Ballymagroarty Boy failed to show….for those following our intro lumpers selection, Captain Drake won under Noel Fehily for Harry Fry at 13/8f.

We’ve THREE selections today for the members below with Timeform for the Ascot meet. Slightly disappointing on prices of the selections as the only couple of races we’d target with over 10 runners are a C4 Novices Hurdle at Ascot (12.40) that looks a real ‘pin the tail’ jobbie and a similar race with the opener (11.40) at Newcastle 🙁

 

If you didn’t see the later post yesterday, just follow the highlighted text link to go back to the speedmeisters 16 page festive review.

 

For those on the new £1k to £10k, current stakes are now £11.38 EW and the bank stands at £910.70.

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Ascot card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

12.40 Foundation Developments Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (4) 2m7f118y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Almost Gold didn’t beat a lot at Doncaster last month, but he did the job with any amount in hand and a 3 lb rise surely underestimates him with this trip expected to be well within range. There are several interesting handicap debutants in opposition, headed by Annie Mc and Newtide.

Timeform Top Rated:
133p 12. ALMOST GOLD Ian Williams Robert Dunne
128 8. ENRICHISSANT David Bridgwater Tom Cannon
125 6. BALLYGOWN BAY Philip Hobbs Richard Johnson

1.15 Sebastian’s Action Trust Graduation Chase (2) 2m5f8y 
Timeform Rating of previous winners: 167 169 170 166 175 (Avg 169)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Kildisart is the one who brings potential for chasing to the table and can open his account in this sphere at the chief expense of the frustrating Dolos.

Timeform Top Rated:
167 3. DOLOS Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
163p 5. KILDISART Ben Pauling Daryl Jacob
160 1. ACTIVIAL Tom George Noel Fehily

1.50 My Pension Expert Handicap Chase (2) 2¼m175y

Analyst’s Verdict:
An interesting contest. Janika took very well to fences in France at the start of the year and is selected to make a winning start for Nicky Henderson, with confidence increased should the market vibes be strong. Fellow French recruit Magic Saint made a good start in Britain at Haydock last month and the shorter trip now should suit the way he travelled there. Hell’s Kitchen is also respected.

Timeform Top Rated:
158 5. HELL’S KITCHEN Harry Fry Barry Geraghty
157 9. MOVIE LEGEND Lucy Wadham Jack Quinlan
156p 1. JANIKA Nicky Henderson Daryl Jacob

2.25 JLT Hurdle (Long Walk) (Grade 1) (1) 3m97y 
Timeform Rating of previous winners: 175 172 180 169 172 (Avg 174)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Sam Spinner hasn’t quite hit the same heights since winning this race in gutsy fashion 12 months ago, but first-time headgear, a return to this venue and more forceful tactics may see him back close to his best. He gets the nod. Call Me Lord could be a major force in this division this season and is feared most ahead of Agrapart.

Timeform Top Rated:
173 1. AGRAPART Nick Williams Lizzie Kelly
172 5. SAM SPINNER Jedd O’Keeffe Joe Colliver
168 2. CALL ME LORD Nicky Henderson Daryl Jacob

3.00 Garrard Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed) (1) 2m7f180y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Last year’s victor Gold Present made a highly satisfactory return over an inadequate trip here last month and looks fairly treated on his return to handicapping. He can take the prize home once more. Jammin Masters should be spot on after his encouraging Carlisle return and is feared most, whilst Benatar and Thomas Patrick are also much respected.

Timeform Top Rated:
171 3. GOLD PRESENT Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville
170 5. THOMAS PATRICK Tom Lacey Richard Johnson
168p 8. FULL GLASS Alan King Daryl Jacob

3.35 Betfair Exchange Trophy (Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) (1) 1m7f152y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Cyrus Darius shaped with a lot more promise than his eighth position suggests on his return for new handler Colin Tizzard and might be worth chancing with the drop back to 2m in a big field likely to play to his strengths. Lisp has a progressive profile and should go well, while last season’s County winner Mohaayed was better than the result in the Greatwood and is also respected.

Timeform Top Rated:
158 2. CYRUS DARIUS Colin Tizzard Barry Geraghty
157 5. MOHAAYED Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
156+ 1. JOLLY’S CRACKED IT Harry Fry Noel Fehily