Saturday Newsletter – 23rd March 2019


Saturday brings racing from Newbury as the feature meet with Kelso and Bangor to back that up plus Timeform below for the principal meet.

For those following our selections on 2nd & 3rd runs… we backed earlier this month at Sandown, Rock On Rocky goes in the last (17.35). He’s certainly the best handicapped in the field if putting his best foot forward for Sam Twiston-Davies, He won this last year off 123 that cued a rise to 139 and the end of his run. He’s spent this season dropping to 118 and 5 below last terms win. It’s hardly a recommendation at around 4’s and the ex-Willie Mullins charge, DICOSIMO looks more interesting on around 8’s in terms of an EW bet. He’s a strong front runner who get’s Daryl Jacob back up top who gave him a cracking ride around Haydock this season and Newbury fits that profile as oppose to a poor run at Hereford LTO.

Up at Kelso, (14.25) we’re siding with one that trainer Sandy Thomson thinks highly of, SAINT LEO who was a five-time winner in his native France. He is well versed at the minimum trip  and ran well at Wetherby in December when finishing fourth in the Castleford Chase. He also was going well at Ayr prior to a fall LTO. On past form he still may find it a bit quick today but certainly is of interest when the going eases and offering some EW value on at a best 15/2 with Betfair this morning and as low as 6’s elsewhere. The obvious danger is Danny Cook up to on Sue Smith’s Joke Dancer who won going away after a year off and strong wipes yer face value at 9/2.

Our strongest offering comes in the (15.35), as the same trainer also has James Reveley up top of one we backed LTO in SEEMORELIGHTS (15.35) who disappointed for us when falling at the last when we backed him whilst in contention. That followed an opening race 4th after a good while off and should go better today. With a clear round he looks decent EW value and a best priced 8/1 with Betfair. It’s a ‘double-edged sword’ race, as previous winner Tomkevi who has revelled this term and nearly provided us with a 16/1 winner when falling at the last 🙁 LTO. He re-opposes Captain Drake  who he was in direct contention with in that fall and clearly in good shape, as are Rebecca Menzies and Conor Farrell up top today….both are in good form and again looks an overpriced best 14’s?

We’ll be back with a quick update in the morning and the days views from the speedmeisters.


For those on the £1k to £10k challenge it’s currently a 32% win/place strike rate…..our bank is now £495.71 and stakes are now £6.20 EW


Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address or at feedback@……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.


BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Today’s Selections

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Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Newbury card from the ‘speedmeisters’… on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.05 Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase (3) 3m1f214y

Timeform Top Rated:
153p 2. STRONG PURSUIT Philip Hobbs Richard Johnson
151 5. CLASSIC BEN Stuart Edmunds Ciaran Gethings
150 10. CHIC NAME Richard Hobson Jonjo O’Neill Jr. (5)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Strong Pursuit shaped with a good deal of promise on return from 15 months off at Sandown last month, going like the best handicapped horse in the race before, understandably, the lack of a recent run told. He’s worth chancing to build on that now given his unexposed profile. Low-mileage Classic Ben was a good winner himself latest and is feared, ahead of Chic Name.

2.40 Be Wiser Insurance Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (2) 2¼m183y

Timeform Top Rated:
138p 9. GROVEMAN Jedd O’Keeffe Joe Colliver
137 8. THE KNOT IS TIED Neil King Richard Johnson
136 1. ELYSEES Alan King Wayne Hutchinson

Analyst’s Verdict:
Groveman has shaped like a stayer over hurdles, so this big-field environment and slight step up in trip is expected to bring out a bigger performance in him. The Knot Is Tied can already boast solid form in this company and is feared most, though Friend Or Foe is something of an unknown quantity.

3.15 EBF & TBA Mares’ “National Hunt” Novices’ Hurdle Series Final (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (1) 2½m118y

Timeform Top Rated:
140 9. SHE MITE BITE Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville
139 3. THE WHITE MOUSE Lucy Wadham Leighton Aspell
138 1. ANNIE MC Jonjo O’Neill Jonjo O’Neill Jr. (5)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Millarville was far from disgraced in what looked a warm race at Fontwell last month, and with this step back up on trip likely to suit now venturing into handicaps, she’s selected to come out on top. Outofthisworld clearly wasn’t 100% at Ludlow, so isn’t one to write off given her previous promise. She Mite Bite makes up the shortlist.

3.50 Doom Bar Handicap Chase (2) 2m3f187y

Timeform Top Rated:
157 2. VALDEZ Alan King Wayne Hutchinson
155+ 1. GALA BALL Philip Hobbs Richard Johnson
153 3. COBRA DE MAI Dan Skelton Harry Skelton

Analyst’s Verdict:
Gala Ball and Valdez were second and third respectively in a competitive event over C&D last time and, in the absence of the impressive San Benedeto, they can dominate this smaller field, with the first-named taken to uphold the form. Foxtail Hill is lingering on a dangerous mark, so he’s not dismissed.

4.25 John Haine Memorial Novices’ Hurdle (4) 2m69y

Timeform Top Rated:
144p 12. SUNRISE RUBY Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville
140 2. VINNIE THE HODDIE Oliver Sherwood Leighton Aspell
137p 8. STORM GODDESS Charlie Longsdon Robert Dunne

Analyst’s Verdict:
Bumper-winner Sunrise Ruby showed plenty to work on when runner-up on hurdles debut over further here in January, her relative inexperience arguably proving her undoing. She looks sure to progress and is fancied to come out on top. Humble Hero, Storm Goddess and Elisezmoi head up the dangers.

5.00 Goffs UK Spring Sale Bumper (Standard Open National Hunt Flat) (2) 2m69y

Timeform Top Rated:
131 1. GET IN THE QUEUE Harry Fry Noel Fehily
116 12. HOTTER THAN HELL Alan King Wayne Hutchinson
115 14. LEGENDS RYDE Jamie Snowden Gavin Sheehan

Analyst’s Verdict:
Get In The Queue, who was hugely impressive at Exeter last time, was towards the head of the betting for the Champion Bumper before connections decided to bypass it, so there’s no obvious reason to oppose him as he tries to extend his unbeaten run to 3. Last year’s runner-up Hotter Than Hell and the promising debut winner Nimby could be fighting it out for the places.

5.35 Sharps Brewery Rock Handicap Chase (3) 2m92y

Timeform Top Rated:
140 5. DAREBIN Gary Moore Jamie Moore
139 1. DICOSIMO Warren Greatrex Daryl Jacob
138 8. DUHALLOW LAD Alan Jones Tom Bellamy

Analyst’s Verdict:
Master Work probably would have made a winning chase debut at Leicester had he not hung in behind the winner and is worth another chance. Lillington made it win number 4 for the season over C&D 3 weeks ago and is an obvious threat, while last year’s winner Rock On Rocky is lurking on a dangerous mark.

p commonly referred to as a small ‘p’; and the the horse is likely to improve
P commonly referred to as a large ‘P’; and the horse is capable of much better
+ the horse is possibly better than rated
? the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence
§ the squiggle’ indicates the horse is unreliable (for temperamental or other reasons)
§§ the ‘double squiggle’ the horse is so unsatisfactory as to be not worth a rating
x a poor jumper

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