Saturday Newsletter – 2nd February 2019

Saturday Newsletter – 2nd February

At last we appear to have a card going with Sandown looking a definite and there’s Timeform for that one below. However the forecast is mild for next week so we should see a return to some continuous action and trainers can get their prep runs in ahead of the festival.

At Sandown the only C3 is the (16.10) which doesn’t look to have a whole load of pace about it. Tom Lacey’s Johnbb is likely to go off around a 3’s favourite under Aidan Coleman. He just held on to win his maiden LTO at Ayr after an encouraging 3rd at Warwick where some decent showings have come out of that race. The price is just a lumping one and should be thereabouts but with plenty of unexposed types hardly a strong recommendtion.

We’re going to have a look at one in the (15.00) for members.

On top of  that it’s the Dublin Racing Festival this weekend – click that highlighted link to take you to a Timeform 20 page special review.

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge it’s currently a 35% win/place strike rate…..our bank is now £806.91 and stakes are now £10.09 EW

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Sandown card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

12.40 888Sport Novices’ Hurdle (Qualifier) (3) 1m7f216y 
Timeform Rating of previous winners: – – – 150 140

Analyst’s Verdict:
Winston C has made a smooth transition to hurdling, and with further improvement on the cards, he gets the nod to defy a penalty. El Kaldoun brings potential to the table on this switch to timber for his top yard, while Praeceps is likely to build on a promising first effort at Newbury. Jaytrack Parkhomes and Beaufort West are others who can do better.

Timeform Top Rated:
137p 13. PRAECEPS Alan King Wayne Hutchinson
136p 1. WINSTON C Harry Fry Sean Bowen
126p 2. BEAUFORT WEST Colin Tizzard Aidan Coleman

1.15 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase (2) 1m7f119y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Not Another Muddle looked a good prospect for these sort of races when winning at Leicester when last seen a year ago. His yard can ready one after an absence and he can maintain his unbeaten record in this sphere if picking up where he left off. Azzuri improved again in his time in Ireland and looks a big player back with Dan Skelton. Red Mix is also interesting starting out for his new yard.

Timeform Top Rated:
164 3. DOLOS Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
163 2. GINO TRAIL Kerry Lee Richard Johnson
163 7. COPAIN DE CLASSE Paul Nicholls Bryony Frost

1.50 888Sport Contenders Hurdle (Listed) (1) 1m7f216y
Timeform Rating of previous winners: – 166 156 146 159 (Avg 157)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Buveur d’Air has used this race as a final prep’ run before Champion Hurdle glory for the past 2 seasons, and though he suffered a shock reversal in the Christmas Hurdle in December, he is fully expected to pass this test without too much difficulty. Roksana lacks a run, so the best forecast option could be Rayvin Black, a position he has filled twice in previous renewals.

Timeform Top Rated:
182 1. BUVEUR D’AIR Nicky Henderson Barry Geraghty
168 5. ROKSANA Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
167 2. VISION DES FLOS Colin Tizzard Harry Cobden

2.25 888Sport Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (1) 2½m10y 
Timeform Rating of previous winners: 168 177 171 168 174 (Avg 172)

Analyst’s Verdict:
A small field but a most intriguing contest. It was hard not to be impressed by the way Lostintranslation went about things when winning the Dipper at Cheltenham last month, and he can follow up. Defi du Seuil and Vinndication are formidable rivals though, with the former now 3 lb better off at the weights and the latter unlikely to give up his unbeaten record without a fight.

Timeform Top Rated:
169p 1. DEFI DU SEUIL Philip Hobbs Barry Geraghty
167p 3. LOSTINTRANSLATION Colin Tizzard Richard Johnson
166p 5. VINNDICATION Kim Bailey David Bass

3.00 888Sport Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (1) 2m7f98y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Lord Napier leaves the impression 3m could suit and might be the answer in this highly competitive race. Ballymoy, Keeper Hill and Eminent Poet are others to consider, while Paul Nicholls, who landed this with the very smart Topofthegame 12 months ago, also has a couple of very interesting contenders in Casko d’Airy and Brio Conti.

Timeform Top Rated:
162 2. KEEPER HILL Warren Greatrex Harry Teal (5)
160p 17. CASKO D’AIRY Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
160 13. DANS LE VENT Jamie Snowden Page Fuller (3)

3.35 888Sport Masters Handicap Chase (2) 3m37y

Analyst’s Verdict:
Belami des Pictons chased home Waiting Patiently when last seen in November 2017 and remains with potential as a staying chaser. His shrewd handler is adept at having her runners ready to roll after a lay-off and he can make a winning return. Ami Desbois, Give Me A Copper and Shanroe Santos make up the shortlist.

Timeform Top Rated:
161 1. BELAMI DES PICTONS Venetia Williams Charlie Deutsch
159 14. AMI DESBOIS Graeme McPherson Kielan Woods
157 12. KAYF ADVENTURE Philip Hobbs Richard Johnson

4.10 Take ‘Em On With 888Sport Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (3) 2m3f173y

Analyst’s Verdict:
The drop to a sharp 2m was totally against The Brothers last time, and given he’d been shaping up quite well prior to that, he is well worth another chance back over a more suitable trip with Harry Cobden back in the saddle. This is an intriguing race featuring a handful or so of potential improvers though, notably Special Acceptance, She Might Bite and El Hageb Rose.

Timeform Top Rated:
130 8. THE BROTHERS Colin Tizzard Harry Cobden
129 9. THE TOOJUMPA John Groucott Lee Edwards
126p 1. JOHNBB Tom Lacey Aidan Coleman