Sunday Newsletter – 27th January 2019

 

Sedgefield and Fontwell today but looking at weather reports the former looks set to get a wet and icy blast – not a day for wearing riding silks up there 🙂

Racebets are sponsoring four of the races along with The Brian Ellison Racing Club. They’re offering a £50 Free bets sign up bonus as part of the (15.40) RaceBets Get A 50 Welcome Bonus Handicap Chase and without trying to be too clever, Achill Road Boy does look a decent lumper to follow up his 18 length success LTO.

In the race prior (15.10), Toi Storey was in our tracker but has gone a late non runner. The only other horse of note that we have been tracking is Shaun Harris’s Aza Run (16.10). He’s drifted like a barge this morning and despite being 6 below his highest rating is just one for a 50p EW 🙂

We’ll take a day off and go to church – there’s Timeform for Naas and we’ll look forward to better opportunities tomorrow at Ludlow & Kempton.

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….we’re at a 35% win/place strike rate …..our bank is now £746.00 and current stakes are now £9.33 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Today’s Selections

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Betfair tap tap boom

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Naas card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.20 BetVictor Maiden Hurdle 2m

Timeform Top Rated:
133 8. KONITHO Joseph Patrick O’Brien J. J. Slevin
127p 3. FARID W. P. Mullins M. P. Walsh
126p 10. LIGNOU Noel Meade Sean Flanagan

Analyst’s Verdict:
It’s fair to say that Farid hasn’t measured up to expectations in his 2 starts over hurdles, but he remains with potential and is taken to make it third time lucky in this sphere. Lignou stepped up on his low-key hurdles debut when fourth in a big-field event at Punchestown and is feared most ahead of Konitho. The selection’s stablemate Runrized is one to note in the betting, along with Vitudurum.

1.50 Limestone Lad Hurdle (Grade 3) 2m

Timeform Top Rated:
173§ 5. WICKLOW BRAVE W. P. Mullins R. Walsh
168 1. ESPOIR D’ALLEN Gavin Patrick Cromwell Barry Geraghty
167 4. TOMBSTONE Gordon Elliott J. W. Kennedy

Analyst’s Verdict:
Despite having to concede weight to his 4 rivals, ready preference is for Espoir d’Allen, who made it 6 wins from 7 career starts with a thoroughly decisive success at Limerick during the Christmas period. Wicklow Brave is more than capable when on a going day, but he appears to have gone off the boil and a bigger threat may be posed by Forge Meadow.

2.20 Naas Racecourse Business Club Novice Chase (Grade 3) 3m

Timeform Top Rated:
163p 4. CHRIS’S DREAM Henry de Bromhead Robbie Power
162 2. BLOW BY BLOW Gordon Elliott Rachael Blackmore
158p 5. DISCORAMA Paul Nolan B. J. Cooper

Analyst’s Verdict:
Ballyward was just edged out by Shady Operator on debut over fences at Punchestown on New Year’s Eve, an excellent effort considering that he was returning from an 8-month absence. Likely to be sharper this time, the 7-y-o is taken to energe on top this time. Shady Operator should be on the premises once again, but the selection may have most to fear from Chris’s Dream and Discorama.

2.50 I.N.H. Stallion Owners European Breeders Fund Maiden Hurdle 2m3f

Timeform Top Rated:
130p 4. DREAM CONTI Noel Meade Sean Flanagan
127 11. ENVIOUS EDITOR Mrs J. Harrington Robbie Power
109 14. KEEP STANDING Philip Fenton F. J. Hayes (7)

Analyst’s Verdict:
This represents a good opportunity for Dream Conti, who has shaped well in maiden hurdles at Punchestown and Leopardstown. He will probably benefit from a stiffer test in time, but is clearly not short of pace having landed a 2m bumper last April. Cool Getaway is entitled to come for last month’s Rules debut at Limerick and, along with Envious Editor and Envol Pierji, he is entitled to respect.

3.20 Join Naas Racecourse Business Club Handicap Hurdle 2m

Timeform Top Rated:
140 6. VOICES OF SPRING A. J. Martin Barry Geraghty
139 7. SHARE THE HONOUR A. J. Martin A. E. Lynch
138 5. GENEVA BARRACKS Martin Brassil C. Brassil (5)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Share The Honour is taken to open his hurdles account, having posted his best effort yet in this sphere when runner-up at Leopardstown on Boxing Day. Stablemate Voices of Spring is accorded respect on the back of his eye-catching display at the aforementioned course last month, while recent Punchestown winner Free Ranger and Geneva Barracks are others to consider.

3.50 Free Trial At racingtv.com/freetrial Novice Handicap Chase 2½m

Timeform Top Rated:
143 9. STOWAWAY FOREVER J. P. Dempsey P. Townend
142p 1. GETAWAY KID Noel Meade Sean Flanagan
140p 8. POKER PARTY Henry de Bromhead Rachael Blackmore

Analyst’s Verdict:
Several to consider in this competitive contest, none more so than Danse Away, who continued his rich vein of form when striking over hurdles at Clonmel earlier this month. There may be more to come from the 7-y-o back in this sphere. Getaway Kid, Poker Party and the hat-trick seeking Punches Cross all enter calculations, and Stowaway Forever is also on the shortlist.

4.20 Naas Racecourse 2019 Membership (Pro/Am) I.N.H. Flat 2m3f

Timeform Top Rated:
105 8. BRAESIDE Gordon Elliott Mr J. J. Codd
104 1. AN FRAOCH MOR Ross O’Sullivan Mr B. O’Neill
103p 5. LATEST EXHIBITION Paul Nolan Mr S. F. O’Keeffe (7)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Spoken For is every inch a likely type on paper and the hint should be taken if there’s confidence behind him in the betting. Braeside chased home a useful type on Rules debut at Down Royal and needs considering, as does the Willie Mullins-trained Roll Again. However, the pick of those with experience may be Latest Exhibition, who went close on his introduction at Limerick last month.

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