Sunday Newsletter – 28th October 2018

Sunday – 28th October 2018

 

Lord Riddiford felt almost as good as a winner under another solid Jason Hart ride and the 33/1 place money…..from comments received most of you got at least 25’s so that gave us decent profits on the day.

As we said yesterday, we’ll be back on Monday with any views on Redcar and Leicester. There’s a couple of C2’s at the former that we’re unlikely to get involved with and at Redcar, unless there’s something really stand out in the two divisions of the C6 apprentices it is likely that our next bet will be at Catterick on Tuesday.

For anyone punting NH, there’s Timeform for Aintree below…..

 

The bank is now just over £3900 for those on the £1k to £10k challenge….and grown to nearly 300% with an ROI of over 26%….current stakes at 1.25% are now £48.85 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Aintree card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

12.40 Countryside Raceday Maiden Hurdle (4) 2½m

Timeform Top Rated:
158 1. AYE AYE CHARLIE Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan
135p 6. PRESENT RANGER Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
125p 4. FORTUNES HIDING Peter Bowen Sean Bowen

Analyst’s Verdict:
Aye Aye Charlie contested some of the top novice races after his good third in this on return 12 months ago and he’ll take all the beating if returning anywhere near his best. Stoney Mountain won 2 bumpers last season and looks a fine prospect for jumping. Present Ranger is another sure to win races in this sphere.

1.15 Kay Pinfold 100th Birthday Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (3) 3m149y

Timeform Top Rated:
139p 6. READY AND ABLE Jonjo O’Neill Jonjo O’Neill Jr. (6)
138§ 1. BUCKLE STREET Martin Keighley Harry Stock (3)
137 2. SIR MANGAN Dan Skelton Bridget Andrews (3)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Settimo Milanese arrives on the back of comprehensive victories in a brace of small-field hurdles and likely has more to offer for his shrewd handler now switched back to handicapping. He can complete the hat-trick. There are plenty of dangers however, with Ready And Able, Follow The Bear and Skipthescales particularly respected.

1.50 Rewards4Racing Veterans’ Handicap Chase (Leg 7) (2) 3m210y

Timeform Top Rated:
160 4. BEAT THAT Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville
158 8. BRANDON HILL Tom George Ciaran Gethings
157? 6. BISHOPS ROAD Kerry Lee Richard Patrick (3)

Analyst’s Verdict:
A competitive veterans’ handicap that can go to Beat That back at the scene of his 2014 Grade 1 hurdles triumph. Nicky Henderson’s charge caught the eye in a similar event at Chepstow a fortnight ago, making a bad mistake 5 out and finishing with running left in a falsely-run affair. He makes most appeal ahead of the in-form Exitas and Pendra.

2.25 Racing UK Handicap Hurdle (2) 2½m

Timeform Top Rated:
148 5. BYRON FLYER Ian Williams William Kennedy
147+ 12. FORECAST Martin Keighley Conor Shoemark
146+ 8. EAMON AN CNOIC David Pipe Tom Scudamore

Analyst’s Verdict:
A race which to some extent revolves around whether Byron Flyer can translate the improved form he’s shown on the Flat since last seen over hurdles in spring 2017. If he doesn’t the most likely to profit is perhaps Haul Away, who arrives in search of a 5-timer. Lygon Rock, who has had a wind op since his Ludlow novice win in May, is also of some interest on handicap debut for a yard going well.

3.00 Monet’s Garden Old Roan Limited Handicap Chase (Grade 2) (1) 2m3f200y

Timeform Top Rated:
173 1. FRODON Paul Nicholls Bryony Frost (3)
172 7. RAMSES DE TEILLEE David Pipe Tom Scudamore
171? 5. FLYING ANGEL Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict:
Frodon won a Grade 3 handicap off top weight by 17 lengths at Cheltenham in January and is a big player on that form off only 4 lb higher. Cloudy Dream failed to win last season but showed very smart form, including when runner-up in this on return, and is likely to give a good account on debut for this yard. Javert has won all 4 of his completed starts over fences and also needs considering.

3.35 Molson Coors Chase (Novices’ Limited Handicap) (3) 3m210y

Timeform Top Rated:
147p 1. DROVERS LANE Rebecca Curtis A. P. Heskin
146 2. REIGNING SUPREME Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville
145 5. WANDRIN STAR Kim Bailey Mikey Hamill (3)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Drovers Lane made an impressive start over fences at Hereford 12 days ago, and with the prospect of more to come, he’s taken to defy an 8 lb rise. Reigning Supreme is still lightly raced so shouldn’t be written off for his top yard back from 7 months off. Arthur’s Gift and Molly The Dolly appeal as types to make up into better chasers and are also considered.

4.10 EBF British Stallion Studs Mares’ Standard Open National Hunt Flat (Qualifier) (4) 2m209y

Timeform Top Rated:
118 11. TASHUNKA Fergal O’Brien Paddy Brennan
117 12. TEME SPIRIT Henry Daly Richard Johnson
111p 4. BRIERY EXPRESS Noel Williams Wayne Hutchinson

Analyst’s Verdict:
Legends Gold readily went clear from 2 out to land her point in a good time and, with a yard that does well in this sphere, she could be the answer to what’s likely to prove a well-above-average bumper. Fellow newcomer Aggy With It also makes appeal and Tashunka is clearly the pick of those with experience under Rules.

 

On a separate note – we often get asked about our affiliation with the book Always Back Winners by Stewart Simpson – just to clear things up…..we have no association with him, but found it a cracking read in the late 70’s that inspired the introduction to the sport and hence the site name. His exploits were conducted with paddock inspections whilst present at the meeting he was backing in, with no such access to on-line accounts in those days. Much of the rationale concerning ‘top weights on turning tracks’ can still be applied today with supporting information ready to hand from the likes of geegeez, ATR etc which, in theory, makes it whole lot ‘easier’ for the regular punter.

Anyone looking for a winter read during close season whilst we take on the NH…….for which he had no love at all 🙂 ….you can try and grab a copy from the likes of Amazon below….