Sunday Newsletter – 31st March 2019

Sunday Newsletter – 31st March 2019

 

Lincoln Meeting Day 2 and there’s some decent field sizes as expected to consider something from a decent priced EW aspect. Yesterday we nailed 2 from 2 for some small early EW profits and we’re siding with just one at a price today.

This week it’s limited service on the flat with meets coming up at Musselburgh and Leicester on Tuesday & Thursday respectively with it being the impending Grand National Week!

We’ll continue to post Timeform on a daily basis though…..apologies for being a bit late this morning….caught out by the clocks, Duh!

On a ‘housekeeping’ point – on the suggestion from many of you, going forward, the TRACKERS will be a members only section as many have pointed out, it forms the basis of this seasons bets 🙂

BOL with your bets today!

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge…..our opening bank is now £1012.84 and stakes are now £12.66 EW unless otherwise stated

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Ascot card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.10 Your Bet With Ascot Means More Maiden Hurdle (4) 2m3f58y

Timeform Top Rated 
140 8. MY WAY Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
137 10. VOLCANO Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
135p 1. BADDESLEY PRINCE Chris Gordon Tom Cannon

Analyst’s Verdict:
My Way ran a cracker when second in a valuable Kempton handicap hurdle a fortnight ago and has obvious claims if in the same form back in a maiden now. There is a bigger performance to come from Scorpion Haze, and he makes the shortlist along with Baddesley Prince and En Meme Temps.

2.45 Colts & Fillies Club Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (2) 1m7f152y

Timeform Top Rated 
142p 7. SCARAMANGA Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
141+ 9. DEADLINE DIVA Paul Nicholls Lorcan Williams (5)
140 14. BOLD REASON Ben Pauling Nico de Boinville

Analyst’s Verdict:
This is highly competitive. Scaramanga is very much going the right way and gets the nod for Paul Nicholls with further improvement very much on the cards. Praeceps shaped well in the Fred Winter and should have a big say if this doesn’t come too soon on the back of that. Bold Reason took a big step forward when second on handicap bow and is also shortlisted along with northernraider Groveman.

3.20 Geobind Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (3) 2m5f8y

Timeform Top Rated 
145 4. FAVORITO BUCK’S Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
144 2. VIVAS Charlie Longsdon Paul O’Brien (3)
143 3. TOWNSHEND Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict:
Townshend has showed himself in form over hurdles and he looks well treated back over fences based on his efforts for former connections, so he gets a tentative vote in a tricky race with Sam Twiston-Davies taking over. Volt Face looks the one for the forecast.

3.55 First Days Charity Novices’ Handicap Chase (2) 2m167y

Timeform Top Rated 
158 2. CAPELAND Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden
157 5. EDDIEMAURICE John Flint Jamie Moore
155 4. DENTLEY DE MEE Nick Williams Chester Williams (7)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Capeland has improved in good measures in handicap chases this season and could resume winning ways with his sights lowered having contested the JLT last time. Highway One O One will be a big player if allowed his own way in front.

4.30 Sky Sports Racing Veterans’ Handicap Chase (Leg 5) (2) 2m7f180y

Timeform Top Rated 
158 1. JOSSES HILL Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville
157 4. LOOSE CHIPS Charlie Longsdon Paul O’Brien (3)
157§ 3. BIGBADJOHN Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Despite operating from out of the weights it may pay to take a chance on Horatio Hornblower in a wideopen race. This looks set to be run at a good gallop, which should suit Nick Williams’ hold-up performer and he can strike late. Josses Hill, following a short break, and last year’s winner Rathlin Rose are others to consider.

5.05 Iron Stand Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (3) 2m7f118y

Timeform Top Rated 
148 2. KINGS RYDE Nicky Henderson Connor Brace (3)
147 1. GUNFLEET Emma Lavelle Patrick Cowley (3)
146 6. BALLYHEIGUE BAY Chris Gordon Harry Reed

Analyst’s Verdict:
Kings Ryde lacked nothing for fitness and made light of a 15-month absence to score on handicap debut at Wincanton earlier this month, staying on to lead final 50 yds. The longer trip promises to be within reach and he is fancied to follow up. Faithful Mount is next best, whilst the return to hurdling may well benefit Gunfleet.

5.40 Go Pointing Open Hunters’ Chase (5) 2m7f180y

Timeform Top Rated 
127 2. VIRAK Mrs Rose Loxton Miss Natalie Parker (5)
126 5. QUEEN OLIVIA Miss V. Collins Miss Lilly Pinchin (5)
121§ 1. FLAMING CHARMER G. Slade-Jones Mr Charlie Todd (7)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Virak has already shown himself well capable at this level and could hardly arrive back under Rules in better form, so he’s a confident choice to complete a 4-timer here, acknowledging that Silvergrove could lay down a strong challenge if capturing some of his old spark. In Arrears is another one to consider.

 

p commonly referred to as a small ‘p’; and the the horse is likely to improve
P commonly referred to as a large ‘P’; and the horse is capable of much better
+ the horse is possibly better than rated
? the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence
§ the squiggle’ indicates the horse is unreliable (for temperamental or other reasons)
§§ the ‘double squiggle’ the horse is so unsatisfactory as to be not worth a rating
x a poor jumper