Thursday Newsletter – 25th October 2018

Thursday – 25th October 2018

 

With nothing going on the flat today in terms of turf meetings it’s giving us a bit of a chance to start making plans for the National Hunt. We’ll be back on Friday morning with any views on the flat for Doncaster & Newbury….Timeform is for the NH meet for Ludlow for anyone looking.

 

The bank is now just over £3950 for those on the £1k to £10k challenge….and grown nearly 300% with an ROI of over 26%….current stakes are now £48.53 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Ludlow card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.10 ASE 30th Year Birthday Novices’ Hurdle (4) 1m7f169y

Timeform Top Rated
135 1. GORTROE JOE Dan Skelton Bridget Andrews
126 3. COURT ROYALE Evan Williams Adam Wedge
107 7. SID HOODIE Charlie Mann Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict: 
That’s A Given looks the type to make up into a fair novice hurdler for Philip Hobbs and could make a winning start after 6 months off. The penalised Gortroe Joe is the obvious danger dropped back in trip.

2.45 “A Plush Flush” Handicap Chase (4) 2m7f171y

Timeform Top Rated
117p 2. WHIN PARK Ben Pauling Richard Johnson
116 3. SUTTER’S MILL Evan Williams Adam Wedge
112 1. ONLY GORGEOUS Susan Gardner Lucy Gardner (3)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Whin Park has comfortably the most potential in this field, his chasing career very much in its infancy and, based on the way he jumped and travelled at Huntingdon when last seen in the spring, he’s well capable of taking off in this discipline. The consistent Pembroke House ranks as his main threat ahead of Midnight Gem.

3.20 Thoroughbred Breeders Association Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (4) 2m5f55y

Timeform Top Rated 
130 2. PIQUE ROCK Henry Daly Richard Johnson
129 1. BOLD IMAGE Dan Skelton Bridget Andrews
125 3. SHAZZAMATAZ Alex Hales Kielan Woods

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Pique Rock showed much-improved form when making a winning debut for this yard at Bangor 3 weeks ago and can follow up at the main expense of fellow penalised runners Bold Image and Shazzamataz.

3.50 “A Plush Flush” Amateur Riders’ Handicap Chase (4) 2½m11y

Timeform Top Rated
113 1. HOKE COLBURN Brian Barr Mr Luca Morgan (7)
111+ 2. CERNUNNOS Tom George Mr Noel George (3)
111 4. HEAVENLY PROMISE John Groucott Mr Alex Edwards

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Hoke Colburn ran out a comfortable winner of a competitive race for the grade at Huntingdon last week and can strike again under a penalty. Cernunnos isn’t one for maximum faith, but is potentially very well handicapped. Heavenly Promise looks the other main threat.

4.25 Ludlow Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (4) 1m7f169y

Timeform Top Rated
127 3. MICK MAESTRO Alan King Wayne Hutchinson
126 5. MONDAY CLUB Dominic Ffrench Davis Alan Doyle (7)
125 4. AMERICAN CRAFTSMAN Henry Oliver Jason Dixon (10)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
A race in which stableswitchers Mick Maestro and Cock A Doodle Doo may easily dominate. The latter has undergone a breathing operation and is now tongue tied starting out for Dan Skelton, but the former has fewer miles on the clock and could end up quite a bit better than this grade.

5.00 KLF Insurance Brokers Chase (Novices’ Limited Handicap) (3) 1m7f212y

Timeform Top Rated 
155p 2. MCGROARTY Dr Richard Newland Sam Twiston-Davies
149p 1. AMOUR DE NUIT Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Difficult to split the pair but Mcgroarty looks more of a natural over fences at this stage so edges the vote.

 

On a separate note – we often get asked about our affiliation with the book Always Back Winners by Stewart Simpson – just to clear things up…..we have no association with him, but found it a cracking read in the late 70’s that inspired the introduction to the sport and hence the site name. His exploits were conducted with paddock inspections whilst present at the meeting he was backing in, with no such access to on-line accounts in those days. Much of the rationale concerning ‘top weights on turning tracks’ can still be applied today with supporting information ready to hand from the likes of geegeez, ATR etc which, in theory, makes it whole lot ‘easier’ for the regular punter.

Anyone looking for a winter read during close season whilst we take on the NH…….for which he had no love at all 🙂 ….you can try and grab a copy from the likes of Amazon below….