Thursday – 30th August 2018
Yet another bounce on the bar yesterday with Our Charlie Brown who ran solid enough in 2nd behind the make all winner Raselasad……….Royal Brave was one for the lumpers in the (15.10) who came with a typical hold up run, leading under Danny Tudhope at the line – he looks to be still in front of the handicapper and well capable when under 85 rating.
Today there’s meets from Carlisle and Musselburgh with Crazy Tornado going in the 14.10 at the former – we missed his big win but as he loves the autumn he could be one for the lumpers going unpenalised for his apprentices win LTO in a Lady Ams?
We’ve just one for members below………..and we’re looking for some more ‘bouncebackability’ 🙂
For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….our bank has NOW grown by over 150% to over £2.5k with an ROI of over 25%….current stakes are now £29.23 EW.
Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.
BOL (Best Of Luck!)
ABW Team
Today’s Selections
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Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Musselburgh card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……
1.50 188Bet Extra Place Races EBF Novice Median Auction Stakes (5) 5f1y
Analyst’s Verdict:
Aloysius Lilius boasts a mixed record, yet the pick of his exploits entitle him to respect in what looks an ordinary affair, and he is fancied to come out on top. Recent Beverley winner Packington Lane can give Kevin Ryan’s charge most to think about.
Timeform Top Rated
87 3. ALOYSIUS LILIUS Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves
81? 5. JORDAN ELECTRICS Linda Perratt Kevin Stott
78 1. PACKINGTON LANE Tim Easterby David Allan
2.20 Addleshaw Goddard Nursery Handicap (6) 7f33y
Analyst’s Verdict:
House Deposit improved plenty to open his account at Thirsk 16 days ago, pulling well clear of those he raced with. He’s open to further progress and is fancied to make a bold bid to follow up. Pesci and My Ukulele may emerge as the chief threats.
Timeform Top Rated
72p 1. HOUSE DEPOSIT Declan Carroll Kevin Stott
72 7. MY UKULELE John Quinn Jason Hart
71 4. SMART ILLUSION David O’Meara Daniel Tudhope
2.50 Witherby Publishing Group Handicap (4) 7f33y
Analyst’s Verdict:
This looks wide open so a chance is taken on Paparazzi. He can ill afford to start as slowly as he did last time, but promises to be suited by a well-run race, which looks on the cards, and appeals as being on a workable mark. Weellan and How Bizarre have proved largely consistent this term and should also feature.
Timeform Top Rated
96 5. PAPARAZZI Tracy Waggott Tom Eaves
95 4. HOW BIZARRE Kevin Ryan Kevin Stott
94 1. WEELLAN David O’Meara C. J. McGovern (5)
3.20 Read Silvestre de Sousa At 188Bet Fillies’ Handicap (5) 1½m104y
Analyst’s Verdict:
Pammi was impressive when scoring at Hamilton last week and wisely turned out under a penalty, she is fancied to continue the good work. Flower Power, if taking up this engagement, and Fire Leopard rate next best.
Timeform Top Rated
82 7. PAMMI Jim Goldie Andrew Breslin (5)
79 2. MISSCARLETT Philip Kirby Ben Curtis
79 4. FLOWER POWER Tony Coyle Dougie Costello
Analyst’s Verdict:
Qasr showed improved form and did especially well to gain his first success having done plenty wrong early on at Ayr 17 days ago. He may do even better as he learns to settle and gets the nod to make full use of his draw on the rails. Chinese Spirit and Vigee Le Brun are a couple of others to consider.
Timeform Top Rated
87 6. CHINESE SPIRIT R. Mike Smith Richard Kingscote
86 7. ZESHOV Rebecca Bastiman Daniel Tudhope
85 11. LUCKY VIOLET Linda Perratt Ben Robinson (3)
4.20 Tuv-Sud Ltd Handicap (6) 7f33y
Analyst’s Verdict:
Bee Machine ran out a convincing winner at Southwell on Monday and has obvious claims of following up under a penalty back on turf. Supaulette and Spanish Mane look next best.
Timeform Top Rated
76 5. BEE MACHINE Declan Carroll Ger O’Neill (5)
75 7. SPANISH MANE Richard Fahey Tony Hamilton
74 1. MECCA’S SPIRIT Michael Dods Paula Muir (5)
4.55 Best Odds Guaranteed At 188Bet Handicap (6) 5f1y
Analyst’s Verdict:
Kibaar is thriving at present so remains one to keep on side, especially as he retains plenty of scope from a handicapping perspective. Irish-raider Mr Shelby is respected on the pick of his form, while Beverley-winner One Boy has to be feared also under a penalty.
Timeform Top Rated
77 3. MR SHELBY Shane Donohoe Ben Curtis
74 1. ONE BOY Paul Midgley Oakley Brown (7)
74 5. PAVERS PRIDE Noel Wilson Phil Dennis (3)
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