Thursday Newsletter – 3rd January 2019

Thursday Newsletter – 3rd January 2019

 

A poor day’s racing with a sole meeting at Ludlow – Timeform is for that meet for anyone looking at the limited offering. We’ll be back on Friday at 8.00am

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….we’ve now over a 33% win/place strike rate …..our bank is now £992.38 and current stakes are now £12.40 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Ludlow card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

12.40 Best Wishes For 2019 Juvenile Hurdle (4) 1m7f169y

Timeform Top Rated
134p 1. CAPONE Charlie Mann Noel Fehily
130 7. DANCE TO PARIS Lucy Wadham Richard Johnson
127 4. METATRONS CUBE Matt Sheppard Stan Sheppard (3)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Capone showed plenty pitched in at the deep end on hurdling debut last month and ought to go close if building on that as expected. Dance To Paris benefited from the refitting of blinkers to open her account on the level recently and would be a big threat to the selection if the headgear continues to have the same effect back over hurdles.

1.15 Kenneth Geoffrey 1969 Chase (Novices’ Limited Handicap) (3) 1m7f212y

Timeform Top Rated
142 3. OXWICH BAY Evan Williams Adam Wedge
139 4. LE PRECIEUX Gary Moore Joshua Moore

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Clondaw Castle shaped well until lack of peak fitness appeared to find him out in a well-run race at Newbury on his reappearance and he has the potential to leave that bare form well behind now. A couple of non-completions raises a few doubts about Oxwich Bay but the promise of his chase debut is still fairly fresh in the memory and he may provide the main opposition if cutting out the errors.

1.45 1871 Handicap Hurdle (3) 2m7f174y

Timeform Top Rated
142 8. SLIDING DOORS Ian Williams Robert Dunne
141 9. SUPAKALANISTIC Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
140 1. SILVER KAYF Kim Bailey David Bass

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Super Snipe readily surpassed previous form and caught the eye on his qualifying run over shorter at Taunton last month, noted keeping on well under considerate handling. He promises to be suited by this greater test (half-brother to 23f-3¼m winner) and can come out on top. Muthabir and Sliding Doors are also fancied to feature, while Silver Kayf isn’t one to write off either.

2.15 RUK Racing Excellence ‘Hands And Heels’ Handicap Chase (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders) (4) 2m7f171y

Timeform Top Rated
118x 3. FOLLOW THE SWALLOW Graeme McPherson Tom Humphries
117 4. AGENT MEMPHIS Kim Bailey Connor Brace
114 1. GREAT TEMPO David Pipe Mr Fergus Gillard (5)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
The vote goes to Agent Memphis, who took well to chasing in firsttime cheekpieces when second at Warwick in November, though strong market support for Mistress Massini would put a different slant on things. She was well held on chasing debut in May but is interesting now venturing into handicaps off a lowly mark having returned to her former trainer. Follow The Swallow can’t be ignored, either.

2.50 Call Jeeves Telephone Answering Service Maiden Hurdle (4) 2m5f55y

Timeform Top Rated
121p 9. SMACKWATER JACK Olly Murphy Aidan Coleman
107 2. COLD AS ICE Venetia Williams Jack Sherwood (3)
95 11. DIAMOND ROSE Julian Smith Mark Grant

Analyst’s Verdict:
Financial Conduct is a classy recruit to this sphere (albeit his useful form was achieved on the AW) and he has been found a very realistic opening. Smackwater Jack and Little Jack are feared most.

3.25 £235 Annual Membership Mares’ Standard Open National Hunt Flat (4) 1m7f169y

Timeform Top Rated
103+ 1. CRACKLE LYN ROSIE Evan Williams Adam Wedge
99 11. SORBET Lucy Wadham Maxime Tissier (5)
96 3. JAUNTY VELOCITY Brian Eckley Robert Dunne

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Those with experience don’t set the bar particularly high so this could go the way of a newcomer. Elena Sue appeals on breeding and gets the nod under Richard Johnson, although the market will clearly provide more clues. Subway Surf and Ruby Ring are other interesting Rules debutantes, while Crackle Lyn Rose is best of those who’ve see the racecourse.