Tuesday Newsletter – 2nd October 2018

Tuesday – 2nd October 2018

 

A sole meeting from Ayr on Tuesday with Timeform for that below….nevertheless there’s few competitive handicaps with some decent prices to be considered. In the (16.20) Explain finished like a train to finish 2nd at Ponty LTO when we backed Sheepscar Lad – however he’s up against in-form Keith Dalgleish’s St Equiano who landed a monster 784/1 double yesterday with both rides under Connor Beasley. Graham Lee rides this one but is up 8lb for an easy win LTO over C&D – Proud Archi offers decent EW value as a two time winner this season but he’s up 5lb and it’s FALMOUTH LIGHT who looks a likely winner though a shortish priced favourite who looks like he can still go on improving. He’s lightly raced and his last C&D third here LTO has been franked by the 2nd horse home that day and also the stables Alemaratalyoum winning at Haydock at the weekend…..it’s more for you lumpers with around 3’s on offer.

We’ve also been a little critical of JPS of late and perhaps that been mainly of his sprint charges but today he gets back on REDARNA who he has won twice with him aboard and he look a reasonable EW bet in the 15.45.

However we’ve just a sole selection for members below

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….our bank has NOW grown by over 250% with an ROI of over 25%….current stakes are now £40.78 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Ayr card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.10 Western House Hotel Nursery Handicap (6) 1m

Timeform Top Rated 
71 3. FIREWATER Richard Fahey Tony Hamilton
70 2. SUPREME DREAM Ollie Pears James Sullivan
70 6. LAOISE Linda Perratt Callum Rodriguez

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Not an easy race to assess but Laoise did at least run her best race to date when runner-up in a 7f Leicester seller 3 weeks ago and, with the step up to 1m expected to hold no terrors on yard/handicap debut, she could be worth chancing. The Richard Fahey trained pair Jazz Hands and Firewater may emerge next best, ahead of Ugo Gregory.

2.40 Bet At Racinguk Handicap (5) 1m7f

Timeform Top Rated 
87 4. BUONARROTI Declan Carroll Daniel Tudhope
85 7. DUBAI FRAME Ed Dunlop Ben Curtis
84 5. THE LAST DEBUTANTE Mark Johnston Joe Fanning

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Buonarroti has fallen 2 lb below his last winning mark, whch came under today’s pilot over C&D 12 months ago, and, havng shaped well in third over shorter here 12 days ago, he is fancied to strike. He will face some stern competition from the 3-y-os though, headed up by Dubai Frame and the selection’s conqueror that day Handsome Bob.

3.15 Weatherbys Global Stallions App Handicap (5) 6f

Timeform Top Rated 
95p 12. JEFFREY HARRIS Jim Goldie Clifford Lee (3)
93 11. SHORTBACKANDSIDES Tim Easterby David Allan
92 13. ZEBULON Ruth Carr Andrew Mullen

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Havana Go caught the eye on occasions for David Marnane earlier in the year and, with the drop back to 6f expected to play to his strengths now handicapping for new connections, he could be worth chancing from what rates a feasible opening mark. Fellow 3-y-o Jeffrey Harris, Inexes and Shortbackandsides are also high on the shortlist in a competitive race of its type.

3.45 Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap (6) 7f50y

Timeform Top Rated 
77 4. JO BINNEY John McConnell Joe Fanning
76 11. MOSTAWFEE J. J. Feane Ray Dawson (5)
75 1. REDARNA Dianne Sayer James Sullivan

Analyst’s Verdict:
Jo Binney was a fine second on handicap debut at Hamilton in a race that has worked out and she makes plenty of appeal from the same mark. Villa Maria has a race in her before long and is feared most ahead of Se You.

4.20 Weatherbys Racing Diaries Handicap (3) 7f50y

Timeform Top Rated 
103 7. FALMOUTH LIGHT Iain Jardine Joe Fanning
102 12. EXPLAIN Ruth Carr James Sullivan
101 1. SAINT EQUIANO Keith Dalgleish Graham Lee

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Falmouth Light did best of those to race close up in a strongly-run race when third over C&D recently and has a big shout if in the same form. Tough Remedy opened his account at Newcastle in January and could have more to offer if all is well. Saint Equiano never saw another rival when making all here last time but it remains to be seen if he can pull those tactics off successfully again.

4.55 Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap (4) 1¼m

Timeform Top Rated
105 2. DAAWY Roger Fell Ben Curtis
104+ 7. COUNTY FAIR Jim Goldie Phil Dennis (3)
102 1. TOP MISSION Saeed bin Suroor David Allan

Analyst’s Verdict:
The hat-trick beckons for Daawy, who escapes a penalty following his clear-cut victory in an apprentice handicap at Haydock 4 days ago. County Fair hasn’t pulled up any trees in a couple of runs for this yard, but he’s lurking on a potentially dangerous mark and has to be feared. Top Mission and Brisk Tempo are both in with an each-way shout.

5.25 Visit The All New racinguk.com Apprentice Handicap (6) (D.I) 1m

Timeform Top Rated 
78 4. DONNELLY’S RAINBOW Rebecca Bastiman Theodore Ladd
77 6. PUDDING CHARE R. Mike Smith Andrew Breslin
76 3. ZORAVAN Keith Dalgleish Sebastian Woods

Analyst’s Verdict:
Donnelly’s Rainbow probably found conditions too testing here recently and, with quicker ground forecast this time, he is taken to belatedly add to his 2-y-o debut success. Zoravan did little wrong when a close fourth over C&D 12 days ago and is next on the list ahead of Billy Bond. If the going is good or faster, Pudding Chare will also be worthy of consideration.

5.55 Visit The All New racinguk.com Apprentice Handicap (6) (D.II) 1m

Timeform Top Rated 
81 1. LESS OF THAT J. J. Feane Ray Dawson
76 2. BOB MAXWELL David Barron Oliver Stammers (3)
76 3. CANADIAN GEORGE Keith Dalgleish Ross Turner

Analyst’s Verdict:
Less of That failed to fire at Naas, but she makes plenty of appeal in this weaker race off a 4 lb lower mark. The Irish raider may have most to fear from Canadian George, who put in good late work when third over this C&D last time. Remember Rocky has been knocking on the door and also has claims, but Jack Blane looks vulnerable under a penalty following last week’s Hamilton victory.