Wednesday Newsletter – 11th July 2018

Wednesday – 11th July 2018

 

It was another good ride from David Probert up top and a winner with KACHUMBA at Brighton yesterday to keep us ticking along through the £2k mark. Admittedly a little tight on our usual prices prices and it looked as though you backed it well coming in from 11/2 to 7/2 but that just reflected the days racing as we mentioned in our notes. It’s similar fayre today with not a whole load of 8+ runner races across the four turf cards – Lingfield being the worst case with the only one being a C6 two miler that doesn’t feature on our radar.

At Catterick this afternoon, Jason Hart should go close on Size Matters (16.45) – again that’s too tight on price for us and possibly one for you lumpers – he gets a handy draw and should be quickly away at the head of affairs on this good front runners track. We’ve one for members from a race earlier and there’s also Timeform for Yarmouth below for those looking outside of Catterick.

There’s also another minor matter of the 3 Lions this evening – bet 365 have offered another FREE £25 In-play bet so have taken the over 0.5 goals as the qualifier and will be looking for ex-claret Kieran Tripper to do us a ‘anytime goalscorer ‘Harry Maguire’ tonight with a best price 16’s again on that one 🙂

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge, it’s been 3 months of incremental profits…….our bank has grown by over 110% with an ROI of over 39%….current stakes are now £26.70 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com ……..any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Yarmouth card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.20 188Bet Mobile Bet10 Get20 Fillies’ Handicap (5) 1¼m23y

Timeform Top Rated
83 3. WINGED SPUR Mark Johnston Oliver Stammers (7)
77p 2. TREVENA Ed Walker Liam Keniry
73 1. SARVI Marco Botti Silvestre De Sousa

Analyst’s Verdict:
Winged Spur has improved tackling handicaps on turf of late, landing 2 of her last 3 starts prior to bumping into a big improver at Beverley most recently. She ought to make a bold bid to go in again, though Trevena caught the eye at Goodwood last month and shouldn’t be underestimated.

2.50 Enhanced World Cup Specials At 188Bet Novice Auction Stakes (5) 5f42y

Timeform Top Rated 
80 4. PINK ICEBURG Richard Hughes Andrea Atzeni
71p 5. AMOREENA Tom Clover Jack Mitchell

Analyst’s Verdict:
Pink Iceburg may have found 6f stretching her at Pontefract 4 weeks ago, certainly at this stage of her career, and with the return to the minimum trip expected to be in her favour, she can put her experience to good use. Feel The Noize and Scale Force are speedily-bred newcomers who require a market check, whilst Amoreena should improve for her respective debut effort.

3.20 JME Ltd of Lowestoft Handicap (5) 1¾m17y

Timeform Top Rated
92 1. ITS’AFREEBEE Richard Spencer Daniel Muscutt
91 3. HOPE IS HIGH John Berry Silvestre De Sousa
89 2. AZAM Michael Appleby Alistair Rawlinson

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Its’afreebee is threatening to come good soon in this sphere, conceding first run when runnerup at Chelmsford 3 weeks ago, so remains of interest. Galileo’s Spear can follow him home.

3.50 Moulton Nurseries of Acle Handicap (3) 1m1f21y

Timeform Top Rated
98 1. VALCARTIER John Gosden William Buick
96 4. BINT DANDY Chris Dwyer Silvestre De Sousa
95 6. THE EMPEROR WITHIN Martin Smith George Wood

Analyst’s Verdict:
Kaanoon is going the right way and can complete the hat-trick on his handicap bow. Valcartier has dropped to a good mark and may emerge as the biggest threat if first-time headgear has the desired effect.

4.20 World Cup Betting At 188Bet Novice Median Auction Stakes (5) 1m3y

Timeform Top Rated 
89 2. EXCELLERATION James Fanshawe George Wood
80p 5. RHIGOLTER ROSE William Haggas Silvestre De Sousa
68 4. BILLIE BEANE Dr Jon Scargill Jane Elliott (3)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Excelleration didn’t fare at all badly when third over shorter on handicap debut at Newmarket 12 days ago and he is fancied to put his experience to good use tackling this longer trip. Gratified makes appeal on paper and market support would need to be viewed positively, whilst Rhigolter Rose is open to improvement for her powerful stable.

4.55 188Bet Extra Place Races Handicap (6) 1m3y

Timeform Top Rated
78 2. ARENDELLE Ed Walker Richard Kingscote
77 3. WILD ACCLAIM Phil McEntee Rossa Ryan (3)
74? 4. TOP OFFER Patrick Morris George Wood

Analyst’s Verdict:
Arendelle was a pretty convincing winner at Windsor 9 days ago, and wisely turned out under a penalty, she is fancied to follow up. Luna Magic may emerge as the chief threat.

5.25 188Bet Casino Handicap (6) 7f3y

Timeform Top Rated
79 6. SHYJACK Christine Dunnett George Wood
75 3. CHETAN Charlie Wallis Joshua Bryan (5)
74 1. LA ISLA BONITA Richard Spencer Daniel Muscutt

Analyst’s Verdict:
Shyjack improved on his previous exploits when pushing a stablemate mightily close over C&D 6 days ago, and in the hope he can replicate that now, all looks set for a big run. La Isla Bonita and Chetan arrive in form also though, and should play their part.