Wednesday Newsletter – 20th March 2019

Wednesday Newsletter – 20th March 2019

 

Racing from Haydock, Chepstow & Market Rasen with Timeform below for the former.

At Market Rasen, Jedd O’Keeffe gets one out for the lumpers in Mr Scrumpy in the opener (14.00) – he showed up well enough in both bumpers to suggest he should go well enough on hurdling debut. Gillian Bonas’s Just Call Me Al also goes in that one at a big price – this one is a raw novice who could well be one for next season. He ran in a hot opening debut hurdle won by Rouge Vif and LTO was 4th of 7 with a promising effort petering out after an error 2 out. He could well end up on a very good opening handicap mark.

The veterans at Haydock go H2H in the (16.20) and HILLS OF DUBAI is the baby of the pack who goes very well around here and is place material on around 7’s behind Dartford Warbler who arrives in good form. We backed Don McCain’s charge LTO when pulled up at Ayr but with a clear round for Bryan Hughes should hopefully be in the mix.

We have one going for members below form Chepstow.

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge it’s currently a 32% win/place strike rate…..our bank is now £50.42 and stakes are now £6.36 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Haydock card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.10 Join Racing TV Now Novices’ Hurdle (Qualifier) (3) 1m7f144y

Timeform Top Rated
138p 2. CAPTAIN MOIRETTE Sue Smith Danny Cook
137 5. SKIDDAW VALLEYS Nicky Richards Brian Hughes
133 3. CHAMBARD Venetia Williams Charlie Deutsch

Analyst’s Verdict:
Captain Moirette left his hurdling debut behind when winning at Catterick and has the size and scope to go on progressing. Skiddaw Valleys stepped up on his belated comeback when runner-up at Kelso and is next best ahead of Chambard.

2.40 Racing To School Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (3) 2¾m177y

Timeform Top Rated
130 5. MISS DELIGHTED Oliver Greenall David England
129 2. VIVA VITTORIA Emma Lavelle Aidan Coleman
128p 1. SHAPIRO Anthony Honeyball Rex Dingle (5)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Miss Delighted confirmed the promise of her hurdling bow when runner-up at Huntingdon earlier this month, leaving the impression that a stiffer test of stamina would play more to her strengths. She can get off the mark. Viva Vittoria and Shapiro both arrive on the back of recent victories and are the obvious dangers.

3.15 Bravo Inns Chase (Novices’ Limited Handicap) (3) 2½m135y

Timeform Top Rated
153 1. WHOSHOTWHO Dr Richard Newland Sam Twiston-Davies
151p 2. SCORPION SID Jamie Snowden Gavin Sheehan
150 4. CAVE TOP Oliver Greenall William Kennedy

Analyst’s Verdict:
Scorpion Sid got no further than the third on his handicap debut last month, but had jumped well in the main when scoring here previously and will be suited by these conditions. He can resume winning ways. Cave Top may be the one to chase him home.

3.50 Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (4) 2¼m191y

Timeform Top Rated
128 3. ECEPARTI Venetia Williams Charlie Deutsch
127 4. DESTINED TO SHINE Kerry Lee Sam Twiston-Davies
123p 1. ETTILA DE SIVOLA James Ewart Brian Hughes

Analyst’s Verdict:
Ettila de Sivola’s profile is a positive one, winning each of his first 2 starts prior to shaping as if his latest third-placed finish would bring him on following an 11-week absence. Tried tongue tied, he can be expected to do better now his attentions are switched to handicaps. Eceparti ran his best race for present connections at Stratford recently and is feared, ahead of Destined To Shine..

4.20 Vulcan Village Veterans’ Handicap Chase (4) 2¾m204y

Timeform Top Rated
133 8. ONEIDA TRIBE Robin Dickin William Kennedy
130 10. BUFFALO BALLET N. W. Alexander Lucy Alexander
130§ 5. BOB FORD Alastair Ralph Sam Twiston-Davies

Analyst’s Verdict:
Oneida Tribe’s overall win record doesn’t really do him justice, beaten only by a thriving sort at Warwick last time, and he remains low mileage for a veteran. Dartford Warbler is feared most back down to a class 4, with Buffalo Ballet likely to place again.

4.55 Old Boston Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) (4) 2¾m177y

Timeform Top Rated
121 8. DULCE PANEM Rebecca Menzies Nathan Moscrop (5)
120 3. LESKINFERE Oliver Greenall David England
116+ 5. MORNING ROYALTY James Moffatt Callum Bewley

Analyst’s Verdict:
A tricky race in which it may pay to take a chance on Breizh Alko, who shaped as if better for the run back from a long absence at Ayr last month. Hear The Chimes needs to pull out more in a stronger handicap but is dangerous to dismiss give his current well-being. Dulce Panem would also be a player if taking up this engagement.

5.25 Hermitage Green Standard Open National Hunt Flat (4) 1m7f144y

Timeform Top Rated
117 1. FARRANTS WAY Venetia Williams Charlie Deutsch
103 3. FOXEY James Ewart Brian Hughes

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Farrants Way is sure to come into his own tackling obstacles, but there’s no reason why he cannot win a bumper along the way, and this is a really good opening judged on a much-improved showing on second start last month. With Foxey’s stamina a worry, even in this small field, Cheddleton could be the one to chase the selection home.

 

p commonly referred to as a small ‘p’; and the the horse is likely to improve
P commonly referred to as a large ‘P’; and the horse is capable of much better
+ the horse is possibly better than rated
? the rating is suspect or (used alone) the horse is out of form or cannot be assessed with confidence
§ the squiggle’ indicates the horse is unreliable (for temperamental or other reasons)
§§ the ‘double squiggle’ the horse is so unsatisfactory as to be not worth a rating
x a poor jumper