Wednesday Newsletter – 23rd January 2019

Wednesday Newsletter – 23rd January 2019

 

There’s an inspection planned for Catterick Bridge races at 8.00am and looking at the forecast not much evidence of an early thaw so very much in doubt. However we do have a bit of interest there for members so will post just in case as we plan to visit.

There’s a tricky looking opener (13.20) with just 5 going to post and French import Enfin Phil ran well enough at Wetherby LTO to suggest he can win off mid 120’s. On third outing for the Micky Hammond yard with just 4 runners is obviously no EW value. As he outsider of the quartet we’ll note any progress for future runs.

Another 4 runner is the (15.35) where Achill Road Boy looks one for the lumpers – his wide margin win LTO wasn’t too heavily penalised by the handicapper and he could well be one for Sam Coltherd at around 11/8.

Timeform for Thursday is Hereford for those looking to a confirmed meet – there’s a decent looking 3m+ chase (15.20) to consider for members.

 

For those on the £1k to £10k challenge….we’re at a 35% win/place strike rate …..our bank is now £795.67 and current stakes are now £9.95 EW

 

Anyone wishing to contact us direct, please use the email address alwaysbackwinners2018@gmail.com or at feedback@ always-back-winners.com……any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive the latest premium service selections and join the next £1k to £10k quest.……just follow the UPGRADE link.

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the Hereford card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

1.10 Mansionbet Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (4) 2m53y

Timeform Top Rated
123 9. STAR OF RORY John Groucott Lee Edwards
122p 4. ANOTHER THEATRE Henry Oliver Jason Dixon (7)
121 2. MONDAY CLUB Dominic Ffrench Davis Miss Brodie Hampson (5)

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Valse Au Taillons shaped really encouragingly back hurdling at Exeter last month and, with improvement on the cards, she’s expected to go well on handicap debut. The Knot Is Tied is another interesting handicap debutant, with Star of Rory and Another Venture others to note.

1.45 Mansionbet Beginners’ Chase (4) 2½m194y

Timeform Top Rated
159 3. MULCAHYS HILL Warren Greatrex Gavin Sheehan
155 1. AINTREE MY DREAM Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
146p 6. PITON PETE Oliver Sherwood Leighton Aspell

Analyst’s Verdict:
Aintree My Dream bumped into a big improver at Uttoxeter last month, and given his straightforward nature, is marginally preferred to the talented but slightly quirky Mulcahys Hill. Wilde Blue Yonder will have to jump better than he did at Newbury, but he possesses the talent to be a factor in a race like this.

2.15 Mr & Mrs Chris Mayers Maiden Hurdle (4) 2m5f163y

Timeform Top Rated
136 3. DIOMEDE DES MOTTES Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
135 7. LORD DU MESNIL Richard Hobson Paul O’Brien (3)
133 2. BOLD PLAN Evan Williams Adam Wedge

Analyst’s Verdict:
A good race of its type with the vote in favour of Diomede des Mottes. Dan Skelton’s charge ran well when runner-up at Exeter on his penultimate start and likely would have finished closer at Newbury last time but for a late blunder. Morning Vicar is a likely improver and feared, as is Bold Plan.

2.50 Mansionbet Chase (Novices’ Limited Handicap) (3) 2m8y

Timeform Top Rated
151p 2. CESAR COLLONGES Evan Williams Adam Wedge
148 4. ENOLA GAY Venetia Williams Gavin Sheehan
147 1. HUNTSMAN SON Alex Hales Kielan Woods

Analyst’s Verdict:
Cesar Collonges took a big step forward from his chase debut when readily winning at Market Rasen 4 weeks ago and almost certainly has more to offer. Enola Gay went close at Wincanton last time and is feared most.

3.20 Mansionbet Handicap Chase (3) 3m1f44y

Timeform Top Rated
153 4. HENRYVILLE Peter Bowen Sean Bowen
152 5. ARTHUR’S GIFT Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
150 10. CONNA CROSS Johnny Farrelly Robert Dunne

Analyst’s Verdict:
It could be worth chancing Henryville, who has been given a chance by the handicapper, on his second start for new connections. Arthur’s Gift is worth another chance to build on his promising chase debut and is another to consider along with the in-form Conna Cross.

3.55 Eileen Bennett Memorial Open Hunters’ Chase (5) 2½m194y

Timeform Top Rated
141? 14. VILLAGE VIC Philip Hobbs Mr David Maxwell
134 4. SHOTAVODKA Miss H. Brookshaw Mr Tommie M. O’Brien
129 2. FULL TROTTLE Miss L. Thomas Mr Sam Lee (7)

Analyst’s Verdict:
Plenty of depth to this hunter and it could be worth taking a chance on Full Trottle to reverse placings from last year with Shotavodka. He’s yet to run a bad race in this sphere and seems sure to give another good account on his return. Shotavodka is fit from points and has a bang in-form rider up. Village Vic must prove he retains ability now going into hunters but could be a class apart if so.

4.25 Mansionbet Standard Open National Hunt Flat (5) 2m53y

Timeform Top Rated
106+ 5. THUNDERSTRUCK Emma Lavelle Leighton Aspell
95 2. FLOKI Dan Skelton Harry Skelton

Analyst’s Verdict:
Some interesting newcomers and the betting should be revealing. Blazer’s Mill gets the vote as things stand having chased home Birchdale, who won impressively on hurdles debut for Nicky Henderson last month, in a point last year. Piggy Winkle is another who makes plenty of appeal first time up. Sandownsecond Thunderstruck sets a good standard. 

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