Thursday Newsletter – 17th May

Thursday – 17th May 2018

 

Day 2 of the Dante Meeting at York and looking back at yesterday where we had nothing going in terms of selections – Out Do did indeed out do Orion’s Bow from yesterday’s notes, whilst Visitant gave us no clue as to whether 12f is a target trip? Pedigree suggests not and with all wins up to 10f we will watch where he goes from here.

Anyone missing the speedmeisters notes, you can still download that for FREE at the York Dante Magazine link.

Elsewhere there is HQ on offer where one of our big winners…Fair Power kicks off his season (18.55) – we had a nice win about this one at Brighton last term and you can get ‘monster’ terms if wanting to get involved! More at home on the likes of Brighton & Epsom, we’ll be keeping an eye on these training runs at 11 and 12f and looking for when conditions are hopefully right – cue the ‘law of sod’ 🙂

At York, the second big handicap of the day (16.05 Hambleton) sees Original Choice go off as likely favourite on the back of a big performance at Wetherby in the ‘Thirsk Hunt Cup’,  – the going is a bit of an unknown and Roger Varian’s Cape Byron is disputing favouritism with that one and definitely likes this going. He comes in on the back of a wind op but neither any real EW value at 7/2 to 4’s.  AFFAK would be our preferred EW punt with a 2nd place on final showing last term to Lincoln winner, Addeybb who also won the bet365 mile.

Members have one in the opener with the SkyBet money back offer…….any questions please drop us a line at feedback@always-back-winners.com…. and any FREE SERVICE MEMBERS looking to receive today’s selections……..just follow the UPGRADE link

 

BOL (Best Of Luck!)

ABW Team

Here’s today’s free Timeform and the assist for the York card from the ‘speedmeisters’…..click on the highlighted link to take you through to your Betfair account……

2.20 Sky Bet First Race Special Jorvik Handicap (2) 1m3f188y

Timeform Top Rated

119 4. ISLAND BRAVE Heather Main Luke Morris
117 8. TUFF ROCK Ed Walker Edward Greatrex
116+ 5. CONTANGO Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy

Analyst’s Verdict:
Hamada highlighted why connections have been so patient when making light of a 19-month absence at Wolverhampton recently, notably travelling well and ultimately scoring readily. A 5 lb higher mark looks fair on that evidence and he can continue the good work back on turf. This is a competitive race of its type though, with Now Children and Crowned Eagle just 2 potential dangers.

2.55 Infinity Tyres Handicap (2) 6f

Timeform Top Rated

123 12. ORION’S BOW Tim Easterby David Allan
122 10. OWER FLY Ruth Carr James Sullivan
121 11. CLASSIC SENIORITY Marjorie Fife Barry McHugh

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Orion’s Bow is well treated on his best efforts and his promising reappearance third at Pontefract suggests a return to his peak form may not be too far away. Foolaad had the selection in behind when making it 8 wins in his last 10 starts at Pontefract and is likely to give another good account, while Richard Fahey holds a strong hand courtesy of Gin In The Inn, George Bowen and Private Matter.

3.30 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) (1) 6f

Timeform Top Rated

133 1. HARRY ANGEL Clive Cox Adam Kirby
130 6. TASLEET William Haggas Jim Crowley
129 2. BRANDO Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves

Analyst’s Verdict:
Harry Angel was ultra impressive when landing back-to-back Group 1 events last term, and whilst not at his very best at Ascot on his final start, he is fancied to concede weight all round and make a winning return. Abernant-winner Brando and last year’s winner Tasleet can do battle for the forecast spot.

4.05 Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (1) 1¼m56y

Timeform Top Rated

109p 1. CEILIDHS DREAM Ralph Beckett Harry Bentley
108 7. LUBINKA Peter Chapple-Hyam Oisin Murphy
103p 6. HIGHGARDEN John Gosden Frankie Dettori

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Impressive debut winner Highgarden had failed to meet expectations when third at Sandown on her return but there was still plenty of promise in her run, taking a while to get going but strong by the finish, and she’s taken to turn the tables with Give And Take. Ceilidhs Dream did well to overcome a slow start when edging out a well-touted newcomer at Newmarket and is another to consider.

4.35 Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (3) 7f

Timeform Top Rated

112p 2. COMMANDER HAN Kevin Ryan Kevin Stott
110p 12. CAVATINA William Haggas Harry Bentley

Analyst’s Verdict: 
This is almost certain to prove strong 3-y-o handicap form, but Commander Han chased home a patternrace performer in the making on the AW last month, and if he’s as effective on turf, the handicapper has taken a big chance with his opening mark. Desert Doctor and Citron Major head the opposition.

5.05 British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (3) 5f

Timeform Top Rated

97p 7. WORLD ORDER Declan Carroll James Doyle
91p 1. MAYSON MAC David O’Meara Daniel Tudhope
90p 2. DELFT DANCER Mark Johnston Jim Crowley

Analyst’s Verdict: 
World Order came clear with a subsequent winner when runner-up at Doncaster on debut last month and sets a high standard. Leoube and Rathbone hail from yards that have won this event in recent seasons and need keeping an eye on.

5.35 Oaks Farm Stables Handicap (4) 1m3f188y

Timeform Top Rated

103p 12. REVEREND JACOBS William Haggas James Doyle
102p 13. SKY EAGLE Ed Walker Pat Cosgrave
102 1. MUTADAFFEQ David O’Meara David Nolan

Analyst’s Verdict: 
Reverend Jacobs’ form didn’t take off last season, but he has the look of an improver this time around and appeals as the type to pay his way in staying handicaps. Sky Eagle, Zeelander and Okool all merit respect, particularly the firstnamed who’s a big strong colt clearly ahead of his mark.